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Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 29,834
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 29,834 |
For those that don't want to digest the state's statistics themselves, the link below does a fair job of outlining ones chances. Tag allocations and such may change things in the end, but the numbers are likely close in most instances. Oregon Tag Drawing Odds
1Minute
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Joined: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,010
Campfire Regular
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Campfire Regular
Joined: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,010 |
I have 17 points going into the 2014 Hart Mt antelope draw.
It seems to me I have 4 more years before I draw???!!!!
When the tailgate drops the BS stops.
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Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 29,834
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 29,834 |
If all applicants stay in the pool and tag allotments remain constant that sounds close. The displayed stats suggest there are 201 applicants with 17 or more points in line. With a 40 tag allotment that's 5 years to satisfy those folks if all 40 went to high points. Only 30 tags annually (75% of the allotment), however, go to the highest point holders, so it just might take a bit longer.
I'm in line with you on points but am interested in a different unit that I can pull down at will. Given 2 dry years and the possiblity of an even worse one in 2014, I may hold off.
Good luck,
1Minute
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Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 4,742
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 4,742 |
That's cheating! I've already, as you say, "digested" the stats. Isn't that supposed to be half the fun of the app game?
Campfire Pistolero x2
Only one human captain has ever survived battle with a Minbari fleet. He is behind me. You are in front of me. If you value your lives, be somewhere else. -Ambassador Delenn, Babylon 5
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Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 3,691
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 3,691 |
For those that don't want to digest the state's statistics themselves, the link below does a fair job of outlining ones chances. Tag allocations and such may change things in the end, but the numbers are likely close in most instances. Oregon Tag Drawing Odds It's a great resource.... I've already spent several hours pouring over it!
BT53 "Where do they find young men like this?" Reporter Savidge, Iraq Elk, it's what's for dinner....
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Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 29,834
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 29,834 |
Isn't that supposed to be half the fun of the app game? macrabbit: I agree, and always like working with the raw numbers myself.
1Minute
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