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For those that don't want to digest the state's statistics themselves, the link below does a fair job of outlining ones chances. Tag allocations and such may change things in the end, but the numbers are likely close in most instances.

Oregon Tag Drawing Odds
I have 17 points going into the 2014 Hart Mt antelope draw.

It seems to me I have 4 more years before I draw???!!!!

If all applicants stay in the pool and tag allotments remain constant that sounds close. The displayed stats suggest there are 201 applicants with 17 or more points in line. With a 40 tag allotment that's 5 years to satisfy those folks if all 40 went to high points. Only 30 tags annually (75% of the allotment), however, go to the highest point holders, so it just might take a bit longer.

I'm in line with you on points but am interested in a different unit that I can pull down at will. Given 2 dry years and the possiblity of an even worse one in 2014, I may hold off.

Good luck,
That's cheating!
I've already, as you say, "digested" the stats. Isn't that supposed to be half the fun of the app game? grin
Originally Posted by 1minute
For those that don't want to digest the state's statistics themselves, the link below does a fair job of outlining ones chances. Tag allocations and such may change things in the end, but the numbers are likely close in most instances.

Oregon Tag Drawing Odds


It's a great resource.... I've already spent several hours pouring over it!
Quote
Isn't that supposed to be half the fun of the app game?


macrabbit: I agree, and always like working with the raw numbers myself.
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