Sam Wang gives Democrats a 72 percent chance of keeping control of the Senate. It's not a widely held view, but he did accurately predict every Senate race in 2012. Here's why the pundits may be underestimating Democrats this year.

He currently gives them a 72% chance of holding on to the Senate. While this is certainly a contrarian point of view at the moment, it�s worth noting that Mr. Wang did accurately predict the outcome of every Senate election in 2012

By early September 2010, there were signs that Democrats were abandoning races that it was clear they could not win. This time, there�s no evidence of that, and, given how close the polls are in the states where the battle for control of the Senate is likely to be decided, it�s unlikely that will happen.


There is simply no evidence for the kind of strongly pro-Republican electoral movement that we would expect to see if November is, in fact, going to result in a Republican take over of the Senate.

Things slow in glennallen tonight? Drive to the hub get yourself a burrito and coffee...

I assume you are happy with that prediction. That said - WHY are you happy? It seems to me the policies of the Democrats have really not worked very well. Can you point out some success stories for me? America has suffered under Democrat rule.

You caught me! Yes it is slow. Just finished up cutting caribou and have time to kill, thought I would spend it with you! 3 motor bags to cut tomorrow.

Gibby. I've been doing this for Walt since last fall. It helps him get views on his threads, and he appreciates It immensely.

Nice work here, mog75!

Nice jeep, but not as nice as naughty school girls.