"So what is it that makes the 147g 9mm carbine load better?"
I'd go back and re-read the part about 147gr expanding bullets and especially the subsonic part. �
OK�
The attraction of the whisper/blackout is the ability to use the same bolt and mags as a 5.56. As far as terminal ballistics with subsonic ammo, a 9mm carbine is a much better option with today's 147gr expanding bullets. If you look at supersonic performance, the 125gr loads are comparable to the 7.62x39 which is a fine mid-range deer round.
We definitely agree on the same bolts and mags but would I add that the ability to use supersonic and subsonic loads with the same gas port setting (i.e. a fixed port) is also an advantage.
We also agree on the use of lighter bullets at supersonic velocities, which are not just comparable to the 7.62x39 but beat it handily, as it does a .30-30 with FP or RN bullets.
That leaves the question of subsonic performance with 147g (or pick your weight) projectiles.
From �Federal HST Duty Ammo�, written by Mike Doyle, published in January, 2011, and available here:
http://www.hendonpub.com/resources/articlearchive/details.aspx?ID=208216 I was never impressed with the original crop of 147-grain 9mm subsonic loads from any manufacturer. But if your preference runs to heavy bullets, the new premium loads represent a quantum leap in performance and the HST version may be the best. Even from the slightly shorter barrel of the HK USP Compact, this load clocked 1022 fps. The serrations on the 147-grain HST bullet are longer than those on the 124-grain bullets, which no doubt facilitates expansion at lower velocities. When fired through a four-layer denim barrier into ordnance gelatin, this load expanded to .60 caliber and penetrated to a depth of 14.5 inches.
Here�s an abstract on �Rise and Fall of the 9mm Subsonic Hollowpoint�, written in 1992 by E. Sanow, a name I think you�ll recognize. The abstract is available here:
https://www.ncjrs.gov/App/publications/Abstract.aspx?id=138913 When the 9mm, 147 grain subsonic hollowpoint was introduced in September 1987, it was hailed as the solution to a tough stopping-power problem. Thousands of police agencies adopted the 9mm subsonic as a duty load based on lab tests performed by a single agency, the same agency that claimed to have identified the stopping-power problem. Now, after 5 years of heavy street use, the problems with the 9mm subsonic are apparent. It has a poor stopping-power record. It overpenetrates in soft tissue and underpenetrates against bone and vehicles. It does not function reliably with police automatic pistols. This poor performance is not brand specific. Based on 200 actual shootings, the street results from all 147 grain loads from Federal, Remington, and Winchester are statistically identical. The solution to this officer-survival issue is also not brand specific. Every ammo company that makes a 147 grain subsonic hollowpoint also makes standard pressure and +P+ pressure ammo, which is much more suited to police use. The best loads for the 9mm are the Federal/U.S. Border Patrol 115 grain +P+ and the Winchester/Illinois State Police 115 grain +P+.
OK, the Sanow article was written 12 years ago and there are better bullets now. The question remains regarding today�s best subsonic 9mm/147g loads vs. subsonic .300 Blackout/220g versatility and performance. If we look ***ONLY*** at subsonic performance, a 9mm/147g load with today�s best bullets may be a better choice in some applications. I am not, however, anywhere near convinced that such a load in a carbine is better in all cases or even in the majority of cases. They may be great in handguns but I�m old school and run 115g +P+ loads in mine. (I may want to rethink that.)
Back to the carbines, I�d prefer to rely on the heavier mass of the 220g for penetration against a variety of barriers, including multiple barriers (walls and heavy clothing, for example). Since I�m not LE and live in the country, I�m not too worried about over-penetration � shooting bad guys near crowds isn�t a likely scenario. Nor is needing a subsonic round to begin with, which brings up the ***OVERALL*** versatility of the .300 Blackout. A .223 isn�t legal for big game hunting in Colorado while the .300 Blackout is, and that is a more like scenario for me than a need for suppressed or subsonic loads.
For my needs (country living again), a supersonic defense round is preferred, one that will double for varmints and hunting. The Barnes 110g TAC-X looks pretty good and I bought a box of 125g Nosler Ballistic Tip bullets to try. Here are some results from barrier tests with a Barnes 110g TTSX:
� But I do love the enthusiasm of the 300BK crowd...
Never been a big fan of the 9mm, although I own one and carry it daily in my car, and carry a .380 a lot. That said, I feel best protected when carrying my .45.
In a limited use case, a carbine with 9mm/147 subsonic rounds and newer bullets might be preferred � but in terms of overall versatility I much prefer the .300 Blackout. Let�s face it, the likelihood is that 100% of my shooting will be at the range or in the field and the chances of my needing a subsonic round for defense are vanishingly small. In the event that I ***DO*** need to use the .300 Blackout the last thing I�m going to worry about is whether I�m shooting subsonics or supersonics � but in either event I have confidence it will perform as needed.
A subsonic 147g 9mm generates 360fpe @ 1050fps where a 220g Matchking generates 539fpe at the same velocity. At 100 yards a Hornady XTP is down to 299fpe while the 220g Matchking, at 501fpe, retains 68% more energy. In fact, the 220g Matchking has more energy at 1,000 yards (317fpe) than the 9mm/147g has at 70 yards (314fpe).
Is �with subsonic ammo, a 9mm carbine is a much better option with today's 147gr expanding bullets� really the case? Perhaps in crowded urban areas. While I think they might make fine loads for handguns, I�m not convinced they are any better or even necessarily as good as a subsonic 220g .308� for my more rural needs.