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Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 12,439
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 12,439 |
What all you doofi keep missin bout TX is that, less the Cruzer gets over 50% of the vote (he won't), the delegates are awarded proportionally.
So, even if the Cruzer "wins" w/34%, he will only get a few more delegates than DT, depending.
Which means he loses, in the only state where he has a chance.
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Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 23,530
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 23,530 |
If Kasich wins Ohio and Rubio wins Florida, they still project that Trump will lead in the delegate count but it will virtually guarantee a brokered convention with Rubio being a close second to Trump, Cruz a distant 3rd
That means the establishment will push for Rubio
Unfortunately for Cruz fans, there is no current realistic scenario where Cruz takes the lead or even gains enough delegates to pass Rubio.
Last edited by KFWA; 02/25/16.
have you paid your dues, can you moan the blues, can you bend them guitar strings
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Joined: Nov 2002
Posts: 21,680
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Nov 2002
Posts: 21,680 |
Trump is ahead. But caucuses are not elections. If he does well on Super Tuesday he will actually have gotten ahead. But Texas wil show what he can draw in an open election. trump can easily lose the general to hitlery or Bernie Stalin
Last edited by BMT; 02/25/16.
"The Church can and should help modern society by tirelessly insisting that the work of women in the home be recognized and respected by all in its irreplaceable value." Apostolic Exhortation On The Family, Pope John Paul II
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Joined: May 2010
Posts: 14,936
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 14,936 |
Tomorrow is the last day to vote early FWI.
--- CAUGHT IN THE CROSSFIRE --- A Magic Time To Be An Illegal In America---
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Joined: Mar 2006
Posts: 11,663
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Mar 2006
Posts: 11,663 |
By the way,...you probably don't want Rubio hear you say that you want to pull for him.
He'll grin and get his peter out. With those friggen ears of his, he probably did hear it.
Broncos are officially the worst team in the nation this year.
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Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 62,043
Campfire Kahuna
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Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 62,043 |
trump can easily lose the general to hitlery or Bernie Stalin
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Nonsense.
Trump is actually the only one who can win the general election.
The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.
William Arthur Ward
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Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 62,043
Campfire Kahuna
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Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 62,043 |
If he does well on Super Tuesday he will actually have gotten ahead.
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You mean Cruz doing well? Where?
The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.
William Arthur Ward
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 24,239
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 24,239 |
What all you doofi keep missin bout TX is that, less the Cruzer gets over 50% of the vote (he won't), the delegates are awarded proportionally.
So, even if the Cruzer "wins" w/34%, he will only get a few more delegates than DT, depending.
Which means he loses, in the only state where he has a chance No question that Cruz will win the most delegates if you have a clue about Texas and how the delegates are apportioned. There are 36 Districts in Tx and each district awards 3 delegates like this: Win over 50% in the district and take all 3. Win 20% and participate in the proportional distribution if no candidate has 50%. 108 delegates are awarded in this manner. An additional 47 bonus delegates are won by rules only a Texas Lawyer can explain.[he may not understand them, but he will explain them] All 155 delegates are awarded on Mar 1. Is Trump likely to win 50% in any District? Same question to Cruz and Rubio. Is Trump likely to miss the 20% cutoff in any District? Same question to Cruz and Rubio. Rubio needs to get his 20% in each District to keep Trump's delegate count down.
Never holler whoa or look back in a tight place
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Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 62,043
Campfire Kahuna
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Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 62,043 |
Looks like it will be a close delegate division between Trump and Cruz.
The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.
William Arthur Ward
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Joined: May 2008
Posts: 25,430
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: May 2008
Posts: 25,430 |
Looks like it will be a close delegate division between Trump and Cruz. ...which is a win for Trump in Cruz's home state! Pretty funny seeing that many Texans voting for a New Yorker. Just reinforces Trumps momentum.
�Politicians are the lowest form of life on earth. Liberal Democrats are the lowest form of politician.� �General George S. Patton, Jr.
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~Molɔ̀ːn Labé Skýla~
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Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 363
Campfire Member
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Campfire Member
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 363 |
Texas all in for Trump. Texans are tough & smart, thus the support for Trump.
Principle Above All Else
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Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 27,799
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 27,799 |
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Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 24,179
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 24,179 |
PRESIDENT TRUMP 2024/2028 !!!!!!!!!!
Posted by Bristoe
The people wringing their hands over Trump's rhetoric don't know what time it is in America.
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Joined: Jun 2003
Posts: 42,583
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Jun 2003
Posts: 42,583 |
Yes, the pro homo JOOS have already weighed in for Rubio, we should fall in line as well.
Bigoted AND stupid. How fitting, Darrell..
A good principle to guide me through life: “This is all I have come to expect, standard lackluster performance. Trust nothing, believe no one and realize it will only get worse…”
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 24,239
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 24,239 |
Looks like it will be a close delegate division between Trump and Cruz. I don't believe it will be all that close, but I could be wrong. So it doesn't sound like "sour grapes" after the election, I'll point out something about Trump voters in this Primary: For all of my early voting years, I voted in the Dem Primaries because there was no R Primary here. Even after the R's started holding Primaries, they ran no candidates for local offices, so I still had to vote in the Dem Primary. Now that situation is reversed in many places in Texas. If a Democrat wants any say in local matters, he has to vote in the R Primary, then in the General Election he will vote a straight Dem ticket. Now... if Trump is the Nominee, Texas will go for him in the General, just as if he were a genuine Republican. Nobody wants Hillary or Bernie. But a good bit of Trump support in this Primary will be from Dem voters in the cities. Rubio should pick up quite a few delegates in the RGV from Dem voters, along with some bona fide Hispanic Republicans. There really are quite a few of them in Texas. Drive thru the Mexican part of town and you can bet the guy who runs the used tire place, and the owners of the pawn shops are Republicans. But don't believe that Trump drawing Dem voters in Texas is a reliable indicator of his ability to do it Nationwide.
Never holler whoa or look back in a tight place
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Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 22,884
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 22,884 |
Trump is consistently pulling more Hispanic support than either of the two Hispanics in the race.
Cruz is done; Rubio is next.
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 24,239
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 24,239 |
Trump is consistently pulling more Hispanic support than either of the two Hispanics in the race.
Cruz is done; Rubio is next. You really got "it" bad. Maybe the most afflicted one around this campfire.
Never holler whoa or look back in a tight place
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Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,863
Campfire Regular
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Campfire Regular
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,863 |
But a good bit of Trump support in this Primary will be from Dem voters in the cities.
Rubio should pick up quite a few delegates in the RGV from Dem voters, along with some bona fide Hispanic Republicans. There really are quite a few of them in Texas. Drive thru the Mexican part of town and you can bet the guy who runs the used tire place, and the owners of the pawn shops are Republicans.
But don't believe that Trump drawing Dem voters in Texas is a reliable indicator of his ability to do it Nationwide.
If this is the case, I'm leaning more towards a Trump victory. And Trump will be pulling democrat voters in the general election as well, nationally. MI, NJ, NY, RI, CT, just to name a few.
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Joined: Feb 2002
Posts: 32,044
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Feb 2002
Posts: 32,044 |
Trump is consistently pulling more Hispanic support than either of the two Hispanics in the race.
Cruz is done; Rubio is next. You really got "it" bad. Maybe the most afflicted one around this campfire. you might as well face reality, Cruz isn't going to be the GOP Candidate to face Hillary in NOV.
A Doe walks out of the woods today and says, that is the last time I'm going to do that for Two Bucks.
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Joined: May 2008
Posts: 25,430
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: May 2008
Posts: 25,430 |
Yes, the pro homo JOOS have already weighed in for Rubio, we should fall in line as well.
Bigoted AND stupid. How fitting, Darrell.. You're now a pro-homo apologist?
�Politicians are the lowest form of life on earth. Liberal Democrats are the lowest form of politician.� �General George S. Patton, Jr.
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~Molɔ̀ːn Labé Skýla~
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