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These guys may know about meteors, but they don’t know a damn about the weather. It’s raining, but it’s evaporating before it hits the ground. Then it’s not raining dickweed!!!

I love the 10 day forecast that changes daily , laf .

Whelenman

Which western state do you live in ?
What you mention is Idaho-like rain - you can see a raindrop hit then disappear within a few seconds . A monsoon there settles the dust for 20 minutes .

A whole lot of guessing going on in that business!!

It's called Verga-- rain that doesn't hit the ground.

Michigan!

We had a lady on staff who one day mentioned that her son was a meteorologist. I tried to comfort her by pointing out that he was young and would hopefully get his life straightened out. Her level of humor appreciation appeared to be low.

We have a whole herd of Meteorologists around here and they seldom get the forecast even close. Like Yogi said "It's hard to predicts things, especially when it's about the future".

I'm a meteorologist. 30 years experience, but 0 years of forecasting. I don't trust those fu kkers either.

They are using the GEOPOT height for forcasts.

500 hPa (GPDM) and MSLP Geopotential height which the US National Weather Service defines as: roughly the height above sea level of a pressure level. For example, if a station reports that the 500mb height at its location is 5600m, it means that the level of the atmosphere over that station at which the atmospheric pressure is 500mb is 5600 meters above sea level. This is an estimated height based on temperature and pressure data. Mean Surface Level Pressure (MSLP) is usually shown on the 500hPa GPDM plots with contours. The 500hPa plots are useful for a range of reasons, one being that computer models usually forecast this level better than surface conditions at longer ranges.

They're all equally incorrect; you may as well watch the ones that got a boob job instead of a degree.

People are surprised when the weather forecast is wrong and can't believe how meteorologists got it wrong. I'm of the opposite mindset I am actually blown away, in light of the nature of weather, how often they get it correct. Frankly, color me impressed.

Amen, BigSky. At six this morning, my online source said to expect rain beginning at 10:30 a.m. and it wasn't raining when I looked out at 10:20 but it was at 10:45. That's pretty damn good in my book.

Shaman,

you may want to do a spell check on that.

It's "virga"

Verga has an entirely different meaning.

https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=La%20verga


Geno

I absolutely agree with that, but some could still benefit from the use of a window. 😉

For our area "they" get pretty close most times. It has to be difficult for them figuring out how much moisture is going to get squeezed out by the Cascades to the west and what will remain for us. If they predict less than an inch of snow, it's usually pretty dang close.

My wife has an "app" on her phone that gives us predictions like Rocky's, somedays they nail it, others not so much.

The funniest are the ones my relatives get from "The Weather Channel" on their phones predicting "Heavy Snow" in our area when we have a chance of 1/2" coming. I'm not sure if they have the same definition of heavy as we do here. For me, the Weather Channel is a joke.

Geno

Ha! "beat" me to it.🤣

Yeah,

Not sure I want to say the "verga" fell out of the sky!

La verga se cayo del cielo.

Geno

Around here, after all these years, I finally noticed how they figure how many inches of snow to forecast for. Whatever they call for I just cut it in half and I'm usually closer to correct than they are. Example - They call for 4 to 6 inches of snow........ So I figure we're gonna get 2 to 3 inches; and that's what it usually turns out to be. Then, recently I realized that if we get more than predicted; lots of people get angry and bitch about it; but if we get less there's no complaints. So they routinely over estimate those things as a C.Y.A. move.

We had a weatherman up here that got fired from the TV station after doing a commercial for someone. Station manager said it "impugned his credibility".

To which the fired guy replied, in essence, " Credibility? WTF- I'm a Weatherman!"

I "trust" Wunderground's 10 day about 3 days out - unless they are changing it daily. We get a lot of uncertainty from the north Pacific....

But frequently the 10 day comes thru as advertised. Surprising, when one considers the state of the art- and it is an art - from 40,50 years ago.

Someone once asked a weather bureau how they arrived a their percent chances for different types of weather predictions.

Their reply was, "there are ten meteorologists here. We all go look out the window and if all ten agree it's 100%, if five agree it's 50%, or if only two agree it's 20% chance."