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Much appreciated Doc, and much anticipated. Getting info from the "source" that is.

Loved you numbered lists of items. Easy, even for the non-scientifically trained to absorb I hope.

First list comments:

1, 50 years of underfunding by Congress, the we taxpayers elect (in theory?) Until the American public accepts having to fund "public health" by paying taxes, that situation might not change. Perhaps this crisis will spark a change?

4. See 1. above. Funding, and in the case of education, perhaps a change in culture as to what is important, really important in education. A return perhaps to the three R's along with some more emphasis on STEM?

7. Absolutely right, it sells ad time on the nightly news. I wonder what the ratings have been recently for the alphabet networks, up a bit I'd hazard a guess. However, this crisis is also being capitalized on by the non-mainstream media in attempts to get folks to go along with their viewpoints..........both side of the issue that is.

Second list comments:

Doc, gee that whole list sounds a lot like.....science, that which so many do not understand due to # 4 in your first list, as you so rightly stated.

#5 on you second list is very interesting. I wonder if these same therapies that show promise might work on the "common cold". Seems in my readings here lately, some of the controversy on use of the chloroquines is the possible damage from side effects. Apparently, at least according to one knowledgeable source here, most of those harmful effects are from long term use, not really an issue for getting over a cold faster. Maybe those therapies might work on other viruses too, even though not very similar to the Coronas?

Excellent post Doc, and quite timely too, before this place goes full "retard".

As others have said, stay safe and keep us informed when you have a chance.

Geno


The desert is a true treasure for him who seeks refuge from men and the evil of men.
In it is contentment
In it is death and all you seek
(Quoted from "The Bleeding of the Stone" Ibrahim Al-Koni)

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Originally Posted by kaywoodie
Thank you very much, Doc!!!

I wish others could write this coherently!! Very well written.



kaywoodie,

see #4 on Doc's first numbered list in his post.

Wish all you want, until that issue is addressed it's not going to happen.

Geno


The desert is a true treasure for him who seeks refuge from men and the evil of men.
In it is contentment
In it is death and all you seek
(Quoted from "The Bleeding of the Stone" Ibrahim Al-Koni)

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Originally Posted by Valsdad
Originally Posted by kaywoodie
Thank you very much, Doc!!!

I wish others could write this coherently!! Very well written.



kaywoodie,

see #4 on Doc's first numbered list in his post.

Wish all you want, until that issue is addressed it's not going to happen.

Geno


Don’t get me started Geno!!!!


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Have their round haunches gored."

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Thanks for the post . Just a few days ago I was thinking of you and the schooling that you gave here about getting or not getting the annual flu shots.

Many of us at that time did not think it was that important . You gave us your knowledge of the early 1900`s flu.. We did not understand may of the killed were young & healthy.

I appreciate your knowledge and hearing from you. Thanks

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Deleted. Dated reference.

Last edited by Steve; 03/26/20.

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Originally Posted by Steve
New paper co-authored by Dr. Fauci.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387

"This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively."


Published 28FEB. Much has changed since then.


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Oops. Sorry. I'll delete.


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Originally Posted by CharlieFoxtrot
Originally Posted by Steve
New paper co-authored by Dr. Fauci.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387

"This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively."


Published 28FEB. Much has changed since then.


And, given the lag time between research, writing, submitting, review, and final publication it's likely rather dated now.

Geno


The desert is a true treasure for him who seeks refuge from men and the evil of men.
In it is contentment
In it is death and all you seek
(Quoted from "The Bleeding of the Stone" Ibrahim Al-Koni)

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Doc,

Thx for reporting in. Keep well.


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Originally Posted by George_De_Vries_3rd
First of all, I wish you well and healthy. My former (I’m retired) administrator did mention to me Iowa’s allowing retired and “expired” (within five years) health care providers could be pressed into service. I highly doubt it here in Iowa where we have some hundred + cases and “only” one death to date as of last Tuesday. My hospital is only doing emergent surgery now and postponing all elective cases. But, who knows; where are we on the curve of critically ill people?

My wife and I are of the “vulnerable class” and remain mostly home-bound. Not worried or frenzied at all, but going by guidelines as particular to our state to be responsible. Re-evaluation of all this will be given plenty of time later.

As to China, there’s a good article on American Thinker today as to the different communist factions who have used the virus to maneuver for position before ever even acknowledging the virus itself. China is never, ever to be trusted as is true of all Marxist-communists. Cue in the despicable progressives and DNC leadership, who again, showed their true colors in cobbling up the “rescue” bill. https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/03/wake_up_america_emchinaem_is_the_pandemic.html

See also: https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/03/wake_up_america_emchinaem_is_the_pandemic.html

As to the economy, there is an interface somewhere between the efficiently sequestering everybody To minimize spread vs. the jump-starting of the economy again before serious failure occurs. Nobody, at this time knows where that point is. It’s clear Trump wants to get people back to work sooner rather than later.

The media? Mostly, without exception, a bunch of ignorant, deluded, deceptive incorrigibles. Which, along with their mother-arm, the DNC leadership and their progressives in this country remain far more insidious and dangerous than this virus will ever be.

Good points.

My prayer is that what is hidden will be revealed. There is an undertow of darkness trying to squeeze us into submission. Pure evil.

Great insight, DocRocket. Appreciate your taking the time to produce an excellent piece.

I enjoyed your Africa writing more... wink But this piece was timely, well done and well received.

Stay safe, use your PPE's, don't get careless. Ya can't get in a hurry, gotta follow the protocols, even when you're tired and pressed.

Mass testing is the answer, so we'd know the "denominator" before we start calculating percentages. As is, the RR,
CFR and the Ro numbers are skewed because we don't have a good handle on the affected population. I liked the points you make about prevalence vs. incidence. So, until we get a better handle on the depth of the problem, we're just guessing.

I enjoyed the President scolding reporters following some very negative and loaded questions. MSM loves sensationalism as it promotes them, their power and importance. To heck with truth and balanced news. Agendas rule, unfortunately.

We ARE at war, not only with this virus but with forces than seek to conquer, dominate and control.

It is indeed a strange time, the likes of which we've never seen.

DF

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Originally Posted by DocRocket

............
As of midnight GMT last night the USA had 69,047 confirmed COVID-19 cases. This is a gross underestimate (more on that later). Total deaths, 1037 (Case Fatality Rate [CFR] = 1.5%). Compared to other countries, we are doing really, really well: Italy's numbers stand at 74,386 and 7503 (CFR 10%) , Iran's at 29,406 and 2234 (CFR 7.8%), China's at 81,285 and 3287 (CFR 4%). So far, the USA is doing well.
............


Thanks for posting Doc. Nice to hear from someone knowledgeable in the middle of it who considers a lot of good points.

Regarding the numbers you listed in the quote above, do you have a link that individuals can go to check these? Not fact checking...I'd like to watch the numbers day to day.

Thanks again and take care of yourself.

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I just read a long post elsewhere that says they can test for corona, but cant differentiate c19 from others. Also the antibodies are oresent in a lot of us

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Given the relative newness of C-19, I really can't imagine how anyone would really think much about it to be settled science.

But my son is a PA & his fiance is an MD at U-W hospital in Milwaukee, & their comments to us more or less follow what DR has said here.

Going to be a longer haul that most want to hear about to get enough of a treatment drug(s) to the masses & for sure a very long time frame for a possible vaccine & it will likely run its course, either way it turns out, by that time.

And the economic toll of the country will be staggering.................even if were to only be the $2 trillion bail out plan.

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Thanks Doc,

Appreciate your thoughts.

Bb

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Originally Posted by DocRocket

4) Once we have a handle on RR and CFR, we can concentrate our isolation/quarantine efforts on segments of the population who are at high risk, and lift restrictions at populations at low risk;

5) Use the new anti-viral treatment protocols (hydroxychloroquine, hydroxychloroquine + azithromycin, hydroxychloroquine + zinc sulfate) to treat high-risk and seriously ill patients to keep them out of the hospitals and ICU's. (The new anti-viral protocols are the most important development in the pandemic response to date. We can thank doctors in Israel and France for this development, by the way.)

President Trump told us a couple of days ago he expects we will be able to lift the restrictions "by Easter". I doubt he would have made that statement if he didn't have knowledge from the C19TF to inform his decision. And that knowledge isn't restricted to the C19TF... as I said in the beginning of this piece, there are a LOT of doctors and medical researchers out there who are reaching this same conclusion.

Again: the science isn't settled by any means. But we know more every day than we did the day before, and the epidemiologists and infectious disease specialists who are working on the medical solution to this mess are going to come up with a good response. So far it appears that the CDC, the C19TF, and President Trump are listening to that consensus. And that is a good thing.

Please be clear: we are NOT at the point of being able to lift social isolation/quarantine yet. People who disregard the measures in place are unquestionably hastening the spread of the epidemic, and putting our nation's hospitals at risk of being overwhelmed. So keep doing the positive things, my friends, and wait for the smart guys to figure this out. I am confident they will.


DocRocket, Thanks so much for this thoughtful, informative write up.

A couple questions?

What, in your opinion, are the chances that it will be safe for high risk individuals, or their close family members, to go out in public by Easter?

We are all anxious to hear of a successful treatment regimen. Are we actually seeing positive results yet from such treatments beyond the initial reports we heard a week or so ago?

And thanks so much for the last two paragraphs. Especially the last. That is so important for the public to understand.

Thank you for your service on the front lines of this battle. I am sure the worst is yet to come for your location. Good luck, and stay safe.


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Many thanks, Doc.

Paul


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Originally Posted by CharlieFoxtrot
Originally Posted by Steve
New paper co-authored by Dr. Fauci.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387

"This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively."


Published 28FEB. Much has changed since then.

Actually everything he said is holding true.
The death rate is much lower than what is being reported since not everyone is being tested.


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Thank you sir for taking the time to post that. Excellent info

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Your report was much needed, many thanks and please update as pertinent information becomes available.

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Thanks for your service on the front lines of this pandemic.

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