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Fauci warns 100–200K Americans could die from virus, but says projections are “moving target” - Axios

“Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said on CNN's "State of the Union" Sunday that models suggest the coronavirus will infect millions of Americans and could kill 100,000–200,000, though he stressed that the projections are "such a moving target."
Why it matters: Fauci has been the coronavirus task force's most outspoken advocate for emergency social distancing measures to stop the spread of the coronavirus, sometimes contradicting President Trump's more optimistic outlook.”


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Numbers from “Experts” are all over the map on this stuff

From 3.5 Million Americans will die to 100 to 200K now.

Who do we believe???


"Allways speak the truth and you will never have to remember what you said before..." Sam Houston
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What's the full context of his comments?

He's saying 100K+ under what circumstances?


You didn't use logic or reason to get into this opinion, I cannot use logic or reason to get you out of it.

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Sure.

They’ll count them like hurricane deaths. Every 80+ year old invalid that gives up the ghost will be tested, and if positive, will be a Corona death. Even with 9 and 1/2 toes already in the grave.


“Life is life and fun is fun, but it's all so quiet when the goldfish die.”
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I don’t think any of the MFer’s know!

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Originally Posted by hanco
I don’t think any of the MFer’s know!


PREZACTLY! And that was my point Hanco!

I’m so sick of hearing how many will die!!!


"Allways speak the truth and you will never have to remember what you said before..." Sam Houston
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I don't know what to believe.

My guess is that a lot of the elderly, smokers, alcoholics, drug addicts, obese, AIDS ridden, diabetics, and others in poor health will be taken down by this virus. And there is no shortage of those type of people in this country.

If Doc Fauci says it, I believe that HE believes it. And he is pretty much one of the 'duty experts'.

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Originally Posted by chlinstructor
Originally Posted by hanco
I don’t think any of the MFer’s know!


PREZACTLY! And that was my point Hanco!

I’m so sick of hearing how many will die!!!

I'm with this sentiment.

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I do believe that there are too many of us on the big merry-go-round.

Mother nature re-balances things via disease and starvation. Surprise , surprise....we are not immune to the laws of nature.

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In the USA, Wednesday there were 1000 dead. Saturday night it hit 2000. Might be something to be concerned about.


"I can't be canceled, because, I don't give a fuuck!"
--- Kid Rock 2022


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The context for this matters:

60,000 Americans die from the flu every year. About 40,000 die in car accidents, 20,000 die in homocides and 60,000 die from suicide. Meanwhile, 600,000 die from cancer and 650,000 die from heart disease every year.

I think if those numbers were mentioned alongside any projected COVID-19 death rates, it would cause us all to settle down a bit.

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All a hammer can see is a nail. Fauci predictions are worst case. Hasbeen


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From what I am seeing in our ICU right now and over the last week, and considering the flu killed 34k people in 2018-2019, and comparing prevalence of severe illness and respiratory failure between the two viruses... yeah. 100-200k dead is very possible.

It is a moving target because there are a lot of factors involved. This keeps spreading and acting like it’s acting, a lot of people are going to keep dying. This is way worse than any flu I’ve seen in 8 years here

The rest of the state is still doing ok, it may subside, this may turn out to be a local uptick. But it has our attention for sure




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Well, I think worse case would be around 1% of the population...which would work out to about 3.3 million.

So 100K-200K seems somewhat conservative in my mind. Less that 1/10th of 1% of the population.

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Originally Posted by huntinaz
From what I am seeing in our ICU right now and over the last week, and considering the flu killed 34k people in 2018-2019, and comparing prevalence of severe illness and respiratory failure between the two viruses... yeah. 100-200k dead is very possible.

It is a moving target because there are a lot of factors involved. This keeps spreading and acting like it’s acting, a lot of people are going to keep dying. This is way worse than any flu I’ve seen in 8 years here

The rest of the state is still doing ok, it may subside, this may turn out to be a local uptick. But it has our attention for sure



Thanks for the first hand account.


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If his comment is based on the Imperial Modeling done in England I’d say he is way wrong. That study is flawed based on what I’ve read. Human response to the virus doesn’t seem to back up that number of people dying here. Subtracting Chinese data and considering infection rates and the reason for those rated in the hardest hit countries our response is demonstrating a different outcome with better survival rates.

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Originally Posted by TX35W
The context for this matters:

60,000 Americans die from the flu every year. About 40,000 die in car accidents, 20,000 die in homocides and 60,000 die from suicide. Meanwhile, 600,000 die from cancer and 650,000 die from heart disease every year.

I think if those numbers were mentioned alongside any projected COVID-19 death rates, it would cause us all to settle down a bit.


Yep. Instead of making it sound like we’re All Gonna DIE !


"Allways speak the truth and you will never have to remember what you said before..." Sam Houston
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Originally Posted by MadMooner
Sure.

They’ll count them like hurricane deaths. Every 80+ year old invalid that gives up the ghost will be tested, and if positive, will be a Corona death. Even with 9 and 1/2 toes already in the grave.



^ this


Originally Posted by Archerhunter

Quit giving in inch by inch then looking back to lament the mile behind ya and wonder how to preserve those few feet left in front of ya. They'll never stop until they're stopped. That's a fact.
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Originally Posted by TX35W
The context for this matters:

60,000 Americans die from the flu every year. About 40,000 die in car accidents, 20,000 die in homocides and 60,000 die from suicide. Meanwhile, 600,000 die from cancer and 650,000 die from heart disease every year.

I think if those numbers were mentioned alongside any projected COVID-19 death rates, it would cause us all to settle down a bit.



But the issue is that deaths from the virus could be in addition to those figures. It isn't a trade off.


"The whole problem with the world is that fools & fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubt" Bertrand Russell

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