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Joined: Nov 2008
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Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 16,610 |
Massive blood in the streets on energy stocks for obvious reasons. The XLE spider went down about 75%. Supply gluts everywhere. What I'm wondering is whether we are seeing a once in a lifetime opportunity to buy investments when no one wants anything to do with them?
"Hey jackass, get your government off my freedom." MOLON LABE
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Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 24,132
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 24,132 |
oil prices went up a bit today and I saw a decent rise on my oil stocks in the morning. Im certainly no expert but I have price alerts set for XOM, CLR ( very risky as just downgraded) and OXY and plan to slowly pick up more but Im looking years out.
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Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 12,834
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Jan 2002
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The question is, is this temporary, or is this permanent. The problem with “energy” funds is that they are really fossil fuel funds.
The lifetime question is how fossil fuel stacks up, economically, to things like solar and wind. To paraphrase an old saying “they are not building those windmills with losses”. The cost of installed solar is continuing to come down by about 3% per year. Over a lifetime, that means the cost of solar will come down by 80% or more. And the installed cost of industrial solar (in high sun areas) is now considerably below $0.05 /KWH.
Whatever it does, the cost of fossil fuels is not on a continuing cost reduction path. A major competitor is. Bet accordingly?
Sic Semper Tyrannis
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Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 69,599
Campfire Kahuna
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Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 69,599 |
Most oil investments are minimally limited to those individuals that are "accredited". But you can still buy oil company stocks as shares, or get into a pooled investment with other unaccredited people. Careful which company you pick.
Molɔ̀ːn Labé Skýla!
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Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 24,132 |
Without heavy govt ( tax payer) subsidies solar and wind don't per form that well, not that reliable required constant maintenance and was expensive. And I lived off the grid on wind and solar for 15 years. The question is, is this temporary, or is this permanent. The problem with “energy” funds is that they are really fossil fuel funds.
The lifetime question is how fossil fuel stacks up, economically, to things like solar and wind. To paraphrase an old saying “they are not building those windmills with losses”. The cost of installed solar is continuing to come down by about 3% per year. Over a lifetime, that means the cost of solar will come down by 80% or more. And the installed cost of industrial solar (in high sun areas) is now considerably below $0.05 /KWH.
Whatever it does, the cost of fossil fuels is not on a continuing cost reduction path. A major competitor is. Bet accordingly?
Last edited by ribka; 03/31/20.
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Posts: 12,153
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Mar 2001
Posts: 12,153 |
I've bought some oil company stocks over the last couple of weeks, BP, XOM, and RDS-A & B. $20 oil isn't going to stay that way long so I grabbed some at the cheap prices.
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Joined: Nov 2008
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Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Nov 2008
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I wish Trump would expand the capacity of the strategic petroleum reserve and max that out at these low prices.
"Hey jackass, get your government off my freedom." MOLON LABE
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Joined: Apr 2017
Posts: 528
Campfire Regular
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Campfire Regular
Joined: Apr 2017
Posts: 528 |
I've been thinking of buying some Vanguard Energy ETF(VDE) if it dips below its current 52wk low. Though we shall see. In the next 10 years, electric vehicles will become increasingly common.
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Joined: Feb 2009
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Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
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I've bought some oil company stocks over the last couple of weeks, BP, XOM, and RDS-A & B. $20 oil isn't going to stay that way long so I grabbed some at the cheap prices. RDS/a pay tax on dividends to the Dutch. I would stick with b shares. Read recently that some missiles were intercepted over Saudi Arabia. A few direct hits would send oil sky high. Hasbeen
hasbeen (Better a has been than a never was!)
NRA Patron member Try to live your life where the preacher doesn't have to lie at your funeral
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Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 28,411
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 28,411 |
I wish Trump would expand the capacity of the strategic petroleum reserve and max that out at these low prices. He has and is as we speak.
The degree of my privacy is no business of yours.
What we've learned from history is that we haven't learned from it.
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Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Jan 2001
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Pipe line stocks usually pay good dividends as well.
1Minute
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Posts: 28,411
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 28,411 |
Pipe line stocks usually pay good dividends as well. Which ones ?
The degree of my privacy is no business of yours.
What we've learned from history is that we haven't learned from it.
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Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Dec 2008
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Pipe line stocks usually pay good dividends as well. Which ones ? KMI might be worth a look at these prices, I think they have a good balance sheet and a 7% dividend. They pump and transport gas and oil, so demand is down but if they survive with the current dividend in place it's a nice buy. They got smacked during the last oil turn down and have been lowering debt the last five years or so. As long as gas and oil are flowing they get paid, but expect a bad quarter or two with demand down.
"Life is tough, even tougher if your stupid" John Wayne
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Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 4,606 |
Low oil prices will cure low oil prices. The Middle East will become more and more unstable with low oil prices. The Saudis are whistling past the graveyard by engaging in a price war with Russia and the rest of OPEC. They’ll run out of cash within six to nine months and their kleptocracy will collapse just as soon as they run out of cash just like the rest of the kingdoms in the gulf. When that powder keg blows the price of oil will skyrocket. The Russians aren’t much better. Russia and OPEC/Saudi Arabia will make a deal sooner rather than later.
‘TO LEARN WHO RULES OVER YOU, SIMPLY FIND OUT WHO YOU ARE NOT ALLOWED TO CRITICIZE’
Conspiracy theorists are the ones who see it all coming…
You are the carbon they want to eliminate !
I’m Uber Deplorable Ultra MAGA !
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Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 28,411
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Nov 2003
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Pipe line stocks usually pay good dividends as well. Which ones ? KMI might be worth a look at these prices, I think they have a good balance sheet and a 7% dividend. They pump and transport gas and oil, so demand is down but if they survive with the current dividend in place it's a nice buy. They got smacked during the last oil turn down and have been lowering debt the last five years or so. As long as gas and oil are flowing they get paid, but expect a bad quarter or two with demand down. Thanks Norm. Have been looking at some royalty trust just for grins also .
The degree of my privacy is no business of yours.
What we've learned from history is that we haven't learned from it.
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Joined: Mar 2010
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Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 24,132 |
Pipe line stocks usually pay good dividends as well. Which ones ? KMI might be worth a look at these prices, I think they have a good balance sheet and a 7% dividend. They pump and transport gas and oil, so demand is down but if they survive with the current dividend in place it's a nice buy. They got smacked during the last oil turn down and have been lowering debt the last five years or so. As long as gas and oil are flowing they get paid, but expect a bad quarter or two with demand down. thanks
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Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 6,203
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 6,203 |
have bene considering dipping my toe in vanguard energy. No cash in real life now, but I have some cash equiv in my retirement left.
10 year horizon, thinking I am in good shape with an energy buy.
Quit giving in inch by inch then looking back to lament the mile behind ya and wonder how to preserve those few feet left in front of ya. They'll never stop until they're stopped. That's a fact.
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Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 16,610 |
Not sure if I would count on any of these stocks keeping the current dividend. That being said, whenever this virus stuff passes, the demand comes back, and a couple players implement some price strategies, oil will double in price or more.
Last edited by OutlawPatriot; 03/31/20.
"Hey jackass, get your government off my freedom." MOLON LABE
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Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 28,411
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 28,411 |
Not sure if I would count on any of these stocks keeping the current dividend. That being said, whenever this virus stuff passes, the demand comes back, and a couple players implement some price strategies, oil will double in price or more. Don’t worry about Exxon dividends.
The degree of my privacy is no business of yours.
What we've learned from history is that we haven't learned from it.
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Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
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I've bought some oil company stocks over the last couple of weeks, BP, XOM, and RDS-A & B. $20 oil isn't going to stay that way long so I grabbed some at the cheap prices. RDS/a pay tax on dividends to the Dutch. I would stick with b shares. Read recently that some missiles were intercepted over Saudi Arabia. A few direct hits would send oil sky high. Hasbeen Yes, if your in the US always buy RDSb not a. Unless your a European citizen you pay a 15% tax on a share dividends. b shares are from the British exchange and don't have the 15% dutch tax. I had to explain this to my broker a few weeks ago. He tried to buy me a shares because that's what he had just bought himself. I insisted on b shares. Bb
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