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Covid has finally gone exponential! #14853000 05/06/20
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irfubar Offline OP
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Exponentially down that is....




The peak was 4/11/20 with 12,986 deaths

On 5/2/20 the numbers are ......631 deaths


Total..... 44,016 deaths

They keep this up and it will catch up with the flu.... wink


https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm


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Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853029 05/06/20
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CDC has a lag, which is the reason it shows what it does particularly in the more recent weeks. It will catch up. John Hopkins is reporting 71k. Go with whatever number you want, but it's still a lot of dead folks and my sympathy goes out to the families.


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Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853058 05/06/20
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CDC web site says: Total Cases 1,171,510, Total Deaths 68,279

see: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

Don't understand the discrepancy.

Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853061 05/06/20
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Raeford Offline
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Read Doc's Rona update......

Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: Calvin] #14853354 05/06/20
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Originally Posted by Calvin
CDC has a lag, which is the reason it shows what it does particularly in the more recent weeks. It will catch up. John Hopkins is reporting 71k. Go with whatever number you want, but it's still a lot of dead folks and my sympathy goes out to the families.

Even the CDC data is showing the bottom falling out of the Covid crisis. Scroll down to the middle of the CDC Weekly link below. There is an interactive map of the U.S. Updated on a weekly basis. Shows more than 40 states, including NY state, at "Low" to "Minimal" for ILI, Influenza Like Illness activity. Even NYC has been down graded to "Moderate". Only NJ, DC, and MD remain at "High."
CDC Covid Weekly Summary...


The Kentucky State Covid dashboard shows a very similar trend. Yellow bar chart in bottom right quadrant.
KY Covid Dashboard...


"A lie doesn't become truth; wrong doesn't become right; evil doesn't become good, just because it's accepted by the majority." - Rick Warren
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Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: Raeford] #14853402 05/06/20
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Originally Posted by Raeford
Read Doc's Rona update......

Exactly.

For those who would rather read it here

Quote
1. No, The CDC Is Not Deliberately Lying To Us

Last weekend CDC released its confirmed CoV2 umbers, and a whole bunch of people got their panties twisted up over it.

Yes, 37,000 confirmed deaths seemed like a huge downshift from 68,000 deaths… but most folks didn’t read the entire bulletin. Which wasn’t very long, and there was no excuse for not reading it, but lots of folks (including me!!) didn’t do so at first.

One of the CDC’s jobs is tracking epidemics. They do this with many diseases, including measles, pertussis, and influenza every year. They do NOT publish flu infection and death tallies in the middle of influenza season and say that’s the final word, because the epidemic is ongoing. But in every year in May they DO publish their summary findings of the previous winter’s flu season. (This past week they published that summary btw, and there were over 80,000 confirmed influenza deaths in the US. That’s a bad flu season.)

Last week’s CDC numbers on CoV2 were collated in the same manner as they do flu and measles. They are still collecting data, because the epidemic is ongoing. They simply announced the tally of confirmed CoV2 deaths as of 4/25 was about 37,000. They further suggested that, based on their experience in tracking epidemics, this extrapolates to about 65,000 actual CoV2 deaths to date, but this is only an estimate.

So calm down. CDC might have screwed up the CoV test kits back in Feb/Mar, and they may have been giving out contradictory recommendations on how to deal with this virus, but this isn’t a sign of malfeasance. They are a small agency with limited resources trying to deal with a once-in-a-lifetime occurrence.

Mistakes are bound to happen. CDC is tracking the numbers, and they are the best in the business at that. Give them time to figure it out. We aren’t done yet.


My bold, not Doc's

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Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853428 05/06/20
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Ejp1234 Offline
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Irfubar is clearly obsessed.... he posts nonstop about covid using charts and articles he doesnt understand.


Even his beloved President said today its the worst and deadliest attack ever....

But its all a big ruse right buddy? You need some xanax my man...

Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853435 05/06/20
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Originally Posted by irfubar
Exponentially down that is....




The peak was 4/11/20 with 12,986 deaths

On 5/2/20 the numbers are ......631 deaths


Total..... 44,016 deaths

They keep this up and it will catch up with the flu.... wink


https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm

from the link provided
Quote
Table 2. Deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), pneumonia, and influenza reported to NCHS by jurisdiction of occurrence, United States. Week ending 2/1/2020 to 5/2/2020.*

CDC says 1700 deaths from C 19 on 5-2-20. Somebody is publishing falsified data.

Last edited by Idaho_Shooter; 05/06/20.

My ideal as a conservative:

That each person may reap as he/she has sown.
Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: Ejp1234] #14853444 05/06/20
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Raeford Offline
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It's also tracking along like a BAD FLU year, CDC says 80K for 19/20[flu].

Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853455 05/06/20
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An additional note of interest from the same link, considering all the comments concerning falsified reporting of C 19 deaths.
Quote
How it works

The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) uses incoming data from death certificates to produce provisional COVID-19 death counts. These include deaths occurring within the 50 states and the District of Columbia. COVID-19 deaths are identified using a new ICD–10 code. When COVID-19 is reported as a cause of death – or when it is listed as a “probable” or “presumed” cause — the death is coded as U07.1. This can include cases with or without laboratory confirmation.


My ideal as a conservative:

That each person may reap as he/she has sown.
IC-B

Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: Raeford] #14853464 05/06/20
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Originally Posted by Raeford
It's also tracking along like a BAD FLU year, CDC says 80K for 19/20[flu].

My reading is that number is for flu deaths not related to C 19.


My ideal as a conservative:

That each person may reap as he/she has sown.
Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: Raeford] #14853477 05/06/20
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Valsdad Offline
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Originally Posted by Raeford
It's also tracking along like a BAD FLU year, CDC says 80K for 19/20[flu].


And that is their yearly total, right?

As of this moment, according to the worldometer site, US =1526 today, 73797 total and we're only 6 days into the fifth month of 12 in a year.

It does appear, as Doc's post suggests, that the medical establishment has gotten better with caring for and treating cases that do come in. So perhaps carrying the early numbers out to 150K plus/minu by year's end might be a bit premature.

But if it turns out to be 120K dead? or 1.5 times as bad as a "BAD FLU" year will folks still think it's not too bad?

Just a thought.

Geno


The desert is a true treasure for him who seeks refuge from men and the evil of men.
In it is contentment
In it is death and all you seek
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Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853489 05/06/20
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Looking better for most of planet, we have no active cases in our county and only a dozen or so state wide. The last dozen cases were mostly snow birds returning home I think.


"Life is tough, even tougher if your stupid"
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Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853497 05/06/20
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Valsdad Offline
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Sonofabish,

reporting must be heating up near the end of the business day back east.

Numbers just jumped to 1736 dead for the day just in the few minutes since my last post.

Maybe today will top out over yesterday when the Western states shut down for the day?


The desert is a true treasure for him who seeks refuge from men and the evil of men.
In it is contentment
In it is death and all you seek
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Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853545 05/06/20
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deflave Online Content
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irfubar,

I understand exponential but what about efficacy?

Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: deflave] #14853550 05/06/20
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Valsdad Offline
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Originally Posted by deflave
irfubar,

I understand exponential but what about efficacy?


dictionary.com


The desert is a true treasure for him who seeks refuge from men and the evil of men.
In it is contentment
In it is death and all you seek
(Quoted from "The Bleeding of the Stone" Ibrahim Al-Koni)

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Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: deflave] #14853556 05/06/20
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irfubar Offline OP
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Originally Posted by deflave
irfubar,

I understand exponential but what about efficacy?


Flave that is a question for Kingston....... above my pay grade... wink


A good conservative will give you the shirt off his back.

A good liberal will give you the shirt off someone else's back.

~Molɔ̀ːn Labé Skýla~
Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: Ejp1234] #14853557 05/06/20
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irfubar Offline OP
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Originally Posted by Ejp1234
Irfubar is clearly obsessed.... he posts nonstop about covid using charts and articles he doesnt understand.


Even his beloved President said today its the worst and deadliest attack ever....

But its all a big ruse right buddy? You need some xanax my man...


Thanks for participating, your trophy is in the mail..... hahahahhahaha


A good conservative will give you the shirt off his back.

A good liberal will give you the shirt off someone else's back.

~Molɔ̀ːn Labé Skýla~
Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853561 05/06/20
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Valsdad Offline
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Originally Posted by Valsdad
Originally Posted by deflave
irfubar,

I understand exponential but what about efficacy?


dictionary.com

Originally Posted by irfubar
Originally Posted by deflave
irfubar,

I understand exponential but what about efficacy?


Flave that is a question for Kingston....... above my pay grade... wink

get with the program dude.

Kingston will probably say

webstersdictionary.com


The desert is a true treasure for him who seeks refuge from men and the evil of men.
In it is contentment
In it is death and all you seek
(Quoted from "The Bleeding of the Stone" Ibrahim Al-Koni)

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Re: Covid has finally gone exponential! [Re: irfubar] #14853564 05/06/20
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Valsdad Offline
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Originally Posted by irfubar
Originally Posted by Ejp1234
Irfubar is clearly obsessed.... he posts nonstop about covid using charts and articles he doesnt understand.


Even his beloved President said today its the worst and deadliest attack ever....

But its all a big ruse right buddy? You need some xanax my man...


Thanks for participating, your trophy is in the mail..... hahahahhahaha



we live in a new world now.....................



everyone gets a trophy

just ...............because.


The desert is a true treasure for him who seeks refuge from men and the evil of men.
In it is contentment
In it is death and all you seek
(Quoted from "The Bleeding of the Stone" Ibrahim Al-Koni)

member of the cabal of dysfunctional squirrels?
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