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Most accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or #15183601 08/31/20
Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 23,367 Atlanta hatari OP Campfire Ranger
OP hatari Campfire Ranger Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 23,367 Atlanta	Oooh, the trolls are not gonna like this. PrimaryModel.com has been accurate in 24 of the last 27 presidential elections. Based on strength of showings in the Primaries, they give Biden only a 9% chance of winning. For the record, they had Trump at 87% chance of winning in 2016. They also picked Obama in 2012 over Romney when Romney was up in many polls. Trolls will hate this video too. "The Democrat Party looks like Titanic survivors. Partying and celebrating one moment, and huddled in lifeboats freezing the next". Hatari 2017 "Hokey religions and ancient weapons are no match for a good blaster at your side, kid." Han Solo

GB1

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183607 08/31/20
Joined: Jun 2002 Posts: 131,556 USA T The_Real_Hawkeye Campfire Sage
The_Real_Hawkeye Campfire Sage T Joined: Jun 2002 Posts: 131,556 USA	I hope it's correct.

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183622 08/31/20
Joined: May 2013 Posts: 1,520 San Antonio, tx K Kellywk Campfire Regular
Kellywk Campfire Regular K Joined: May 2013 Posts: 1,520 San Antonio, tx	I really don't see where the polls are getting all the Biden voters. I work in a very Democrat part of the city where they usually carry 70% plus of the vote in this precinct but I'm seeing very few Biden stickers and signs, there's actually more Trump signs/stickers out and about

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183639 08/31/20
Joined: Feb 2004 Posts: 19,168 North of Des Moines kwg020 Campfire Ranger
kwg020 Campfire Ranger Joined: Feb 2004 Posts: 19,168 North of Des Moines	I see it as 51/49 with Trump barely pulling it out. I am one of the few that I know who is absolutely committed to Trump in my family and friends. I'm seeing that silent majority working 2 ways. We all know Biden is about spent and Harris is a control freak but too many folks just don't like Donald Trump. They hate his tweeting and what he normally has to say. They hate his New York attitude. Being brutally truthful is turning too many folks off. I guess they like the smoke being blown up their a$$es. I don't get it but none the less Mr. Trump had better be prepared to step up to the plate and start wooing some of those folks that currently don't like him or we will be saying "yes, madam president". I certainly hope I am wrong on this one. kwg For liberals and anarchists, power and control is opium, selling envy is the fastest and easiest way to get it. TRR. American conservative. Never trust a white liberal. Malcom X Current NRA member.

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183650 08/31/20
Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 6,875 s.tex R RIO7 Campfire Tracker
RIO7 Campfire Tracker R Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 6,875 s.tex	You are WRONG, on this one, don't want to argue your just WRONG. Rio7

IC B2

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or RIO7 #15183658 08/31/20
Joined: Nov 2003 Posts: 28,411 West, W. Fla. Republic O Old_Toot Campfire Ranger
Old_Toot Campfire Ranger O Joined: Nov 2003 Posts: 28,411 West, W. Fla. Republic	Originally Posted by RIO7 You are WRONG, on this one, don't want to argue your just WRONG. Rio7 Who is wrong, Rio ? The degree of my privacy is no business of yours. What we've learned from history is that we haven't learned from it.

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183679 08/31/20
Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 6,875 s.tex R RIO7 Campfire Tracker
RIO7 Campfire Tracker R Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 6,875 s.tex	The county I live in on the border with Mexico, is dark blue very few anglos, no Biden, signs any where, none of the mexiican' s I know are going to vote for Biden. They vote the democrat party line on local and state elections. Rio7

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183684 08/31/20
Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 6,875 s.tex R RIO7 Campfire Tracker
RIO7 Campfire Tracker R Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 6,875 s.tex	kwg020 Rio7

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or RIO7 #15183689 08/31/20
Joined: Dec 2003 Posts: 8,521 In the weeds, AZ RufusG Campfire Outfitter
RufusG Campfire Outfitter Joined: Dec 2003 Posts: 8,521 In the weeds, AZ	Originally Posted by RIO7 , no Biden, signs any where, I'm wondering if for this election people are posting their signs in their basement to show solidarity with Joe?

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183695 08/31/20
Joined: Jun 2020 Posts: 10,143 Michigan TheLastLemming76 Campfire Outfitter
TheLastLemming76 Campfire Outfitter Joined: Jun 2020 Posts: 10,143 Michigan	I’m cautiously optimistic. My area in Mid-Michigan is overwhelmingly pro Trump and was in 16’ also but I’m seeing more Trump signs, flags, and even homemade made banners this time. I can think of one maybe two Biden signs that I’ve seen total in my travels to and from work and around town compared to 15-20 Trump signs. Last edited by TheLastLemming76; 08/31/20.

IC B3

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or The_Real_Hawkeye #15183696 08/31/20
Joined: Jan 2002 Posts: 2,244 Michigan A acy Campfire Regular
acy Campfire Regular A Joined: Jan 2002 Posts: 2,244 Michigan	Originally Posted by The_Real_Hawkeye I hope it's correct. I hope he's 9% low on Trump's chances. 100% chance of Trump victory would suit me just fine.

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183703 08/31/20
Joined: Dec 2008 Posts: 8,300 NW MT Stormin_Norman Campfire Outfitter
Stormin_Norman Campfire Outfitter Joined: Dec 2008 Posts: 8,300 NW MT	CNN “ Biden by 10%, book it” Trumps going to win the electoral votes but loose the popular vote just like last time. The difference will be the dems will contest this election, and there will be blood. I’m tired of the public discrimination against conservatives, this might the time to force some changes. I think we are in for than a political fight. "Life is tough, even tougher if your stupid" John Wayne

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or RufusG #15183754 08/31/20
Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 26,478 Blue Ridge Mtns-Smokey Mtns R Raeford Campfire Ranger
Raeford Campfire Ranger R Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 26,478 Blue Ridge Mtns-Smokey Mtns	Originally Posted by RufusG Originally Posted by RIO7 , no Biden, signs any where, I'm wondering if for this election people are posting their signs in their basement to show solidarity with Joe? ROR FJB & FJT

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or Kellywk #15183758 08/31/20
Joined: Sep 2008 Posts: 7,339 Squidge Campfire Tracker
Squidge Campfire Tracker Joined: Sep 2008 Posts: 7,339	Originally Posted by Kellywk I really don't see where the polls are getting all the Biden voters. I work in a very Democrat part of the city where they usually carry 70% plus of the vote in this precinct but I'm seeing very few Biden stickers and signs, there's actually more Trump signs/stickers out and about This election isn't about Biden, it'll be a referendum on Trump and his handling of Covid-19 and economy. Remember why, specifically, the Bill of Rights was written...remember its purpose. It was written to limit the power of government over the individual. There is no believing a liar, even when he speaks the truth.

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or Squidge #15183774 08/31/20
Joined: Feb 2002 Posts: 18,666 S sse Campfire Ranger
sse Campfire Ranger S Joined: Feb 2002 Posts: 18,666	Originally Posted by Squidge Originally Posted by Kellywk I really don't see where the polls are getting all the Biden voters. I work in a very Democrat part of the city where they usually carry 70% plus of the vote in this precinct but I'm seeing very few Biden stickers and signs, there's actually more Trump signs/stickers out and about This election isn't about Biden, it'll be a referendum on Trump and his handling of Covid-19 and economy. nothing could be more true

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or The_Real_Hawkeye #15183780 08/31/20
Joined: Aug 2004 Posts: 69,600 Not In The City rockinbbar Campfire Kahuna
rockinbbar Campfire Kahuna Joined: Aug 2004 Posts: 69,600 Not In The City	Originally Posted by The_Real_Hawkeye I hope it's correct. Yeah. Me too. Molɔ̀ːn Labé Skýla!

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183797 08/31/20
Joined: Jan 2008 Posts: 17,305 Durham, CA Higginez Campfire Ranger
Higginez Campfire Ranger Joined: Jan 2008 Posts: 17,305 Durham, CA	Biden is the Dems version of Bob Dole. Kamala is not likable in much the same way as HRC. The Trump train has picked up momentum from the RNC yugely! Michael Moore and Bill Mahhhr can see the writing on the wall. It's Bidens turn in the Dem barrel and he knows it. Screw you! I'm voting for Trump again! Ecc 10:2 The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but that of a fool to the 24HCF.

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183837 08/31/20
Joined: Jul 2015 Posts: 2,061 PA M marktheshark Campfire Regular
marktheshark Campfire Regular M Joined: Jul 2015 Posts: 2,061 PA	Took a count of yardsigns on my way to the jobsite this morning. 14 mile trip and 37 Trump signs vs a whopping 3 Biden signs. Its like this all around here. Dont thinks Slow Joe has a prayer in this area lol. As others have said Im seeing ALOT more Trump signs then i did in 2016.

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or Higginez #15183847 08/31/20
Joined: Jun 2004 Posts: 34,162 MN S steve4102 Campfire 'Bwana
steve4102 Campfire 'Bwana S Joined: Jun 2004 Posts: 34,162 MN	Originally Posted by Higginez Biden is the Dems version of Bob Dole. Kamala is not likable in much the same way as HRC. The Trump train has picked up momentum from the RNC yugely! Michael Moore and Bill Mahhhr can see the writing on the wall. It's Bidens turn in the Dem barrel and he knows it. Doubful, he doesn’t even know his own name. Give a man a fish and he eats for a day. Give a man a welfare check, a forty ounce malt liquor, a crack pipe, an Obama phone, free health insurance. and some Air Jordan's and he votes Democrat for a lifetime.

Re: MOst accurate Presidental poll over the last 100 years chooses......Trump at 91% chance or hatari #15183900 08/31/20
Joined: Dec 2008 Posts: 2,385 H HitnRun Campfire Regular
HitnRun Campfire Regular H Joined: Dec 2008 Posts: 2,385	Count the flags on cars and trucks, that will tell you where the election is headed. Democrats hate the flag. Originally Posted by RJY66 I was thinking the other day how much I used to hate Bill Clinton. He was freaking George Washington compared to what they are now.

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