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Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16377857 08/26/21
Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger
PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA	Let's see how this changes over time. 11 EDT 26 AUG INIT 26/1500Z 16.9N 79.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 18.2N 80.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 27/1200Z 20.3N 82.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 28/0000Z 22.5N 83.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND 48H 28/1200Z 24.4N 86.0W 65 KT 75 MPH...OVER WATER 60H 29/0000Z 26.1N 88.1W 80 KT 90 MPH 72H 29/1200Z 27.7N 90.0W 95 KT 110 MPH 96H 30/1200Z 30.5N 92.0W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND 120H 31/1200Z 33.7N 91.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND

GB1

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16378735 08/26/21
Joined: Aug 2014 Posts: 4,991 H Hogwild7 Campfire Tracker
Hogwild7 Campfire Tracker H Joined: Aug 2014 Posts: 4,991	I have been through a bunch of them working 38 years in the Gulf of Mexico. Even a 2 can tear up a lot near the eye.

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16379529 08/27/21
Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger
PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA	They have bumped up the intensity at landfall. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/0900Z 20.0N 81.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 27/1800Z 21.5N 82.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...OVER ISLE OF YOUTH 24H 28/0600Z 23.4N 84.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 28/1800Z 25.3N 86.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 29/0600Z 27.1N 88.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 60H 29/1800Z 28.7N 90.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 30/0600Z 30.1N 91.1W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND 96H 31/0600Z 33.0N 90.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 120H 01/0600Z 35.0N 88.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16379710 08/27/21
Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 15,874 N. La. Oldman03 Campfire Ranger
Oldman03 Campfire Ranger Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 15,874 N. La.	Paul, looks like you better 'batten down the hatches'. Latest forecast I saw had it going in about Morgan City and that's gonna put you right in the bullseye for the bad winds and rain. Do you think the levees are gonna hold? Will the pumps work? If the current forecast are right, by the time the center gets this far north, it will be way east of us. Looks like gust to maybe 50 and a little rain is all we'll get. Keep your head down. Old Turd- Deplorable- Unrepentant Murderer- Domestic Violent Extremist Just "Campfire Riffraff and Trash" This will be my last post! Flave 1/3/21

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16379715 08/27/21
Joined: Jan 2019 Posts: 3,398 eastern nc blindshooter Campfire Tracker
blindshooter Campfire Tracker Joined: Jan 2019 Posts: 3,398 eastern nc	Good luck, hope it fizzles. I'm not afraid of them however I have great respect for potential damage they can bring. Make damn sure the insurance is up to date.

IC B2

Re: Hurricane time Oldman03 #16380277 08/27/21
Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger
PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA	Originally Posted by Oldman03 Paul, looks like you better 'batten down the hatches'. Latest forecast I saw had it going in about Morgan City and that's gonna put you right in the bullseye for the bad winds and rain. Do you think the levees are gonna hold? Will the pumps work? If the current forecast are right, by the time the center gets this far north, it will be way east of us. Looks like gust to maybe 50 and a little rain is all we'll get. Keep your head down. The house that I am in didn't flood during Katrina. It is one of 4 in the neighborhood that did not. The recent levee upgrade cut my flood insurance rate in half. I think I am reasonably well protected from flooding. I am sitting on ready to evacuate. Also well prepared to hunker down.

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16380284 08/27/21
Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger
PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA	Let's see how this changes over time. 11 EDT 26 AUG INIT 26/1500Z 16.9N 79.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 18.2N 80.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 27/1200Z 20.3N 82.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 28/0000Z 22.5N 83.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND 48H 28/1200Z 24.4N 86.0W 65 KT 75 MPH...OVER WATER 60H 29/0000Z 26.1N 88.1W 80 KT 90 MPH 72H 29/1200Z 27.7N 90.0W 95 KT 110 MPH 96H 30/1200Z 30.5N 92.0W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND 120H 31/1200Z 33.7N 91.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND INIT 27/0900Z 20.0N 81.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 27/1800Z 21.5N 82.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...OVER ISLE OF YOUTH 24H 28/0600Z 23.4N 84.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 28/1800Z 25.3N 86.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 29/0600Z 27.1N 88.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 60H 29/1800Z 28.7N 90.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 30/0600Z 30.1N 91.1W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND 96H 31/0600Z 33.0N 90.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 120H 01/0600Z 35.0N 88.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND INIT 27/1500Z 20.7N 82.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 28/0000Z 22.2N 83.7W 65 KT 75 MPH...OVER WESTERN CUBA 24H 28/1200Z 24.0N 85.8W 75 KT 85 MPH...OVER WATER 36H 29/0000Z 25.9N 87.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 29/1200Z 27.6N 89.7W 105 KT 120 MPH 60H 30/0000Z 29.0N 90.8W 105 KT 120 MPH 72H 30/1200Z 30.3N 91.3W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 96H 31/1200Z 33.3N 90.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 120H 01/1200Z 35.2N 87.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW NOAA is several steps behind in their intensity forecast and have been from the onset.

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16380461 08/27/21
Joined: Dec 2011 Posts: 3,641 South of I-10 B Borchardt Campfire Tracker
Borchardt Campfire Tracker B Joined: Dec 2011 Posts: 3,641 South of I-10	One year ago today Laura hit SW LA. Lake Charles had 2 hours of 150 mph wind, the destruction was epic, no power for 3 weeks and a month later Delta. Much of LC is still ruins, Google “Capital One building pics”, I’m told it is not salvageable and will be imploded. Since Calcasieu Parish didn’t vote for our Democrat governor or Bidet, outside help has been almost non-existent. Imagine a corporate oligarchy so effective, so advanced and fine tuned that its citizens still call it a democracy.

Re: Hurricane time Borchardt #16380550 08/27/21
Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger
PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA	Originally Posted by Borchardt One year ago today Laura hit SW LA. Lake Charles had 2 hours of 150 mph wind, the destruction was epic, no power for 3 weeks and a month later Delta. Much of LC is still ruins, Google “Capital One building pics”, I’m told it is not salvageable and will be imploded. Since Calcasieu Parish didn’t vote for our Democrat governor or Bidet, outside help has been almost non-existent. NOAAs forecasting is lagging with this one just like it did with Laura and Michael. I think this one will make Cat 5. Laura was nasty. It peeled bricks off houses. I don't know why it didn't get much press.

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16380803 08/27/21
Joined: Dec 2004 Posts: 17,226 Northern Louisiana JPro Campfire Ranger
JPro Campfire Ranger Joined: Dec 2004 Posts: 17,226 Northern Louisiana	I pulled and cut a big dead oak a couple weeks ago that was leaning over my camp. Was all my truck winch could hold to keep it off the roof. Glad it's down before this storm rolls in. Hurricane Laura put down 5 trees all around my house, but I was very fortunate on how they fell. Now with even more aplomb

IC B3

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16380923 08/27/21
Joined: Apr 2011 Posts: 151,003 Texas hanco Campfire Savant
hanco Campfire Savant Joined: Apr 2011 Posts: 151,003 Texas	Better hunker down!!!

Re: Hurricane time hanco #16380932 08/27/21
Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger
PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA	Originally Posted by hanco Better hunker down!!! I'll make my final decision in the morning. Hunker down or haul ass.

Re: Hurricane time PaulBarnard #16381101 08/27/21
Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger
PaulBarnard Campfire Ranger Joined: Oct 2004 Posts: 26,422 Metairie, LA	Originally Posted by PaulBarnard Originally Posted by Borchardt One year ago today Laura hit SW LA. Lake Charles had 2 hours of 150 mph wind, the destruction was epic, no power for 3 weeks and a month later Delta. Much of LC is still ruins, Google “Capital One building pics”, I’m told it is not salvageable and will be imploded. Since Calcasieu Parish didn’t vote for our Democrat governor or Bidet, outside help has been almost non-existent. NOAAs forecasting is lagging with this one just like it did with Laura and Michael. I think this one will make Cat 5. Laura was nasty. It peeled bricks off houses. I don't know why it didn't get much press. NOAA is still chasing its tail on this one. INIT 26/1500Z 16.9N 79.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 18.2N 80.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 27/1200Z 20.3N 82.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 28/0000Z 22.5N 83.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND 48H 28/1200Z 24.4N 86.0W 65 KT 75 MPH...OVER WATER 60H 29/0000Z 26.1N 88.1W 80 KT 90 MPH 72H 29/1200Z 27.7N 90.0W 95 KT 110 MPH 96H 30/1200Z 30.5N 92.0W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND 120H 31/1200Z 33.7N 91.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND INIT 27/0900Z 20.0N 81.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 27/1800Z 21.5N 82.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...OVER ISLE OF YOUTH 24H 28/0600Z 23.4N 84.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 28/1800Z 25.3N 86.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 29/0600Z 27.1N 88.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 60H 29/1800Z 28.7N 90.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 30/0600Z 30.1N 91.1W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND 96H 31/0600Z 33.0N 90.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 120H 01/0600Z 35.0N 88.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND INIT 27/1500Z 20.7N 82.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 28/0000Z 22.2N 83.7W 65 KT 75 MPH...OVER WESTERN CUBA 24H 28/1200Z 24.0N 85.8W 75 KT 85 MPH...OVER WATER 36H 29/0000Z 25.9N 87.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 29/1200Z 27.6N 89.7W 105 KT 120 MPH 60H 30/0000Z 29.0N 90.8W 105 KT 120 MPH 72H 30/1200Z 30.3N 91.3W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 96H 31/1200Z 33.3N 90.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 120H 01/1200Z 35.2N 87.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INIT 27/2100Z 22.1N 83.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 28/0600Z 23.5N 84.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 24H 28/1800Z 25.3N 86.9W 105 KT 120 MPH 36H 29/0600Z 27.1N 89.0W 115 KT 130 MPH 48H 29/1800Z 28.6N 90.6W 120 KT 140 MPH 60H 30/0600Z 30.0N 91.3W 80 KT 90 MPH...INLAND 72H 30/1800Z 31.5N 91.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 96H 31/1800Z 34.4N 89.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 120H 01/1800Z 36.0N 86.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LO

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16381374 08/27/21
Joined: Jul 2011 Posts: 1,800 Delcambre, LA M Mike70560 Campfire Regular
Mike70560 Campfire Regular M Joined: Jul 2011 Posts: 1,800 Delcambre, LA	Looking like Cocodrie, Dulac, and Houma will endure the brunt of the storm. Lot of folks in the Houma area. We are just far enough west at this point to be ok, maybe, as long as it does not turn west at all.

Re: Hurricane time Mike70560 #16381386 08/27/21
Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 15,874 N. La. Oldman03 Campfire Ranger
Oldman03 Campfire Ranger Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 15,874 N. La.	Originally Posted by Mike70560 Looking like Cocodrie, Dulac, and Houma will endure the brunt of the storm. Lot of folks in the Houma area. We are just far enough west at this point to be ok, maybe, as long as it does not turn west at all. You cutting it mighty thin on the 'being ok' part. Old Turd- Deplorable- Unrepentant Murderer- Domestic Violent Extremist Just "Campfire Riffraff and Trash" This will be my last post! Flave 1/3/21

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16381444 08/27/21
Joined: Jan 2010 Posts: 23,530 Southern Ohio KFWA Campfire Ranger
KFWA Campfire Ranger Joined: Jan 2010 Posts: 23,530 Southern Ohio	Hate to be buying plywood with these prices today have you paid your dues, can you moan the blues, can you bend them guitar strings

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16381453 08/27/21
Joined: May 2016 Posts: 60,207 Montana J Jim_Conrad Campfire Kahuna
Jim_Conrad Campfire Kahuna J Joined: May 2016 Posts: 60,207 Montana	How all these coonasses sposed to quarantine and lock down wit a hurrycane coming? I am MAGA.

Re: Hurricane time Oldman03 #16381465 08/27/21
Joined: Nov 2003 Posts: 28,411 West, W. Fla. Republic O Old_Toot Campfire Ranger
Old_Toot Campfire Ranger O Joined: Nov 2003 Posts: 28,411 West, W. Fla. Republic	Originally Posted by Oldman03 Originally Posted by Mike70560 Looking like Cocodrie, Dulac, and Houma will endure the brunt of the storm. Lot of folks in the Houma area. We are just far enough west at this point to be ok, maybe, as long as it does not turn west at all. You cutting it mighty thin on the 'being ok' part. Yes he is but Mike is no stranger to hurricanes,,just hope it doesn’t stall and ease westward. Good luck, Mike. Just got back from the fish camp, had to run back down and get the boat and tie everything down. The camp is north of Morgan City about 22 miles as the crow flies and the eye of Ida as currently projected will go right over us. It’s guessed to hit Morgan City as a category 3-4 with a 10-14’ surge depending on who you listen to. There’s an Ole Boy that lives by himself right across from me and right on the Lake facing south who insists on staying. He’s had a stroke and is handicapped.Tried to get him to load up and come north with me but he wouldn’t come. Told me that he’s got 3 cases of Miller Lite iced down and he wasn’t worried. I’ll be checking on him via cell phone. Traffic on interstate 10 is a mofo westbound. The degree of my privacy is no business of yours. What we've learned from history is that we haven't learned from it.

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16381485 08/27/21
Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 15,874 N. La. Oldman03 Campfire Ranger
Oldman03 Campfire Ranger Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 15,874 N. La.	Hope the fellow on the lake makes it ok. Think you'll be far enough north to be ok? Old Turd- Deplorable- Unrepentant Murderer- Domestic Violent Extremist Just "Campfire Riffraff and Trash" This will be my last post! Flave 1/3/21

Re: Hurricane time _B78_ #16381494 08/27/21
Joined: May 2016 Posts: 60,207 Montana J Jim_Conrad Campfire Kahuna
Jim_Conrad Campfire Kahuna J Joined: May 2016 Posts: 60,207 Montana	I wouldn't like a hurricane....but I think I would like to watch one make its way to shore. I am MAGA.

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