With Bravazo closing in at the finish, he almost caught Justify. A bit longer race and he might have. I don't think Justify gets it done in the Belmont.
Not being negative, just pointing out what I saw Saturday. He only beat Bravazo by 3/4 of a length who was closing. Another 1/16 of a mile ( the Derby distance ) and it may have been a different story but we'll see in 3 weeks.
Officially by 31 lengths. This is undoubtably the greatest sporting event that I have ever witnessed. I made $100 in bets at work and back in '73 that was a lot of money.
Much longer race, can't know track condition at post time, can't know how well Justify will recover*, and there are always a lot of fresh horses at Belmont.
*I've read that the recovery time for a horse after one of these races is greater than the interval between them. That's a compromise.
Then again, if I was a bettor, I'd put money on Justify.
The Belmont (the longest race at 1.5 miles long) has brought the downfall of many Triple Crown hopefuls. I'd sure like to see Justify win the Triple Crown though.
He certainly could win at Belmont. Did Smith turn him loose, or just do what it took to win? He WAS getting run down, at the end, but of course Bravazo ALSO just ran a race....I'd defiantly put a win bet on Justify, but cover the bases, with a couple of other bets. Depends on what the odds are, too. Winning anything is good, but winning more, is better. I never bet a whole bunch, though. Just what I would spend for any other day of entertainment.