Nobody has any idea what's going on with C-19 either nationwide or globally.
The best idea is to keep track of what's going on within a 100 mile radius of yourself and act accordingly.
How?
We really aren't testing.
Test kits just landed here last week. 8. For a county of 50k, situated on
2 major E/W interstates running together, and the only exit for 50 miles, a minor interstate going N/S also.
If a doctor orders a test, they have to contact CDC to use a kit.
Several tests have been declined. Told to quarantine, call if breathing
gets difficult.
So of course, it ain't here!
Maybe!
This is direct from a family practitioner, and an ER nurse.
If there is a major failure in this, it's testing.
Without it, everything is just SWAG. And ineffectual.