Home Forums Hunting & Shooting Hunter's Campfire Ukraine’s “Counter-Offensive” Major Belly Flop

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

Nicole Wolkov, Grace Mappes, Christina Harward, Kateryna Stepanenko, and Karolina Hird

April 21, 2024

US Senate Intelligence Committee Chairperson Senator Mark Warner reported on April 21 that US provisions of military aid to Ukraine, including long-range ATACMS missiles, will be in transit to Ukraine “by the end of the week” if the Senate passes the supplemental appropriations bill on April 23 and US President Joe Biden signs it by April 24.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated on April 21 that the swift delivery of US military aid to Ukraine could allow Ukrainian forces to stabilize the frontline and seize the initiative.
Ukrainian forces struck and damaged the Russian Black Sea Fleet’s (BSF) Kommuna submarine support ship – the world’s oldest active-duty naval vessel – in occupied Sevastopol, Crimea on April 21.
US-sanctioned, pro-Kremlin Moldovan politician Ilan Shor created the new pro-Russian Moldovan Victory electoral bloc on April 21, which plans to run a candidate in the October 20 Moldovan presidential election.
The Victory electoral bloc will likely allow the Kremlin to focus on a unified political effort in Moldova instead of maintaining relations with multiple pro-Russian Moldovan actors and parties, as it has done recently.
The Russian and Chinese navies signed a memorandum of understanding and cooperation on April 21 amid recent reports of China’s increased support for Russia’s war in Ukraine.
The Kremlin blocked domestic access to the website of the French non-governmental organization Reporters Without Borders (RSF), depriving Russians of access to independent assessments of Russian freedom of speech and press.
Russian forces recently advanced near Kreminna and Avdiivka and in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area.
Russian forces have increased their use of small, lightweight, off-road vehicles along the frontline.

Ukraine first
Open borders and America last

Traitors on here praise this madness

Denmark will deliver all its F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine

https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1782412859374186605


An old uranium well flooded in the Russian Kurgan region, radioactive mud may have entered the Tobol River

https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1782394639602905300


Duda: Poland is ready to host US nuclear weapons

https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1782328940599632344


The UK just announced a new £500 million ($620 million) aid package for Ukraine, the single largest announced by the country.

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1782557999686422977


A fire broke out in an industrial building in Moscow region. It has spread to 1,200 square meters - Russian emergency services.

https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1782289200391365051


Also, a large-scale fire broke out in Voronezh. The electromechanical plant "ELMASH" is on fire. Over 3000m² is already burn

https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1782301589320987009


The US is considering deploying additional DoD personnel in form of advisors to the US Embassy in Kyiv, the Pentagon told VOA.

https://x.com/Archer83Able/status/1782371420720316657


Putin is afraid to leave the Kremlin and his residences after the "elections"

https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1782323433679847666

And as a bonus, they get two governments gettin white people ta kill other white people.

The main threat to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, against the backdrop of low morale, is the risk of a massive surrender of its soldiers, and a collapse of defense positions, which will trigger a domino effect along the entire front.

Bankovaya is trying to discourage the soldiers from surrendering. To do this, they launch fake videos of Russians shooting captured Ukrainians (supposedly filmed from a UAV, etc.), but the soldiers figured out that it was a staged act.

So, the order came down from Gaylensky ta shoot any possible deserter.

tater head: Situation in outer wherethefk. The orks (Russians) have taken another village.

Ol poof: Wtf? We just sent them another 80 billion. How could they possibly be losing?

tderp: it wasn't enough, send more.

SSDD

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

Angelica Evans, Karolina Hird, Christina Harward, Kateryna Stepanenko, and Frederick W. Kagan

April 22, 2024


The Kremlin is conducting a concerted air and information operation to destroy Kharkiv City, convince Ukrainians to flee, and internally displace millions of Ukrainians ahead of a possible future Russian offensive operation against the city or elsewhere in Ukraine.
Kremlin mouthpieces are seizing on concerns about a future Russian offensive operation against Kharkiv City to conduct a likely coordinated information operation in an effort to create outsized panic among Ukrainians. ISW assesses that the likelihood of a successful Russian ground offensive against Kharkiv is very low if Ukraine receives renewed US military aid rapidly.
Russia is intensifying strike and information operations against Ukrainians in Kharkiv City to exploit ongoing constraints on Ukrainian air defenses and heightened tensions in Ukraine in the likely relatively brief window before the anticipated arrival of US military assistance to frontline areas.
Russian forces appear to be aiming to make a wide penetration of Ukrainian lines northwest of Avdiivka, Donetsk Oblast, but their ability to do so will likely be blunted by the arrival of US and other Western aid to the frontline.
The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported on April 22 that Finland is taking concrete steps to protect itself against Russian hybrid operations weaponizing Russian-manufactured migrant crises on the Russian-Finnish border.
The Kremlin appears to be highlighting its relationship with Azerbaijan while downplaying deteriorating Russian-Armenia relations following Russia’s failure to prevent Armenia’s loss of Nagorno-Karabakh in September 2023.
Russian forces recently advanced near Chasiv Yar, Avdiivka, and Donetsk City and in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area.
The Russian state “Sudoplatov” volunteer drone initiative is reportedly equipping Russian military personnel operating in the Bakhmut direction with cheap and defective first-person view (FPV) drones.

I hope the Russians don’t cause too much panic in Ukraine otherwise all the packed nightclubs and bars will suffer a mass casualty event when all those 20 something young men drop their umbrella drinks and trample each other on their way out the door…

We should probably send them another $100 billion just in case.

In the video I posted a couple days ago, 9 Ukraine soldiers said they were shot at by other Ukrainian troops as they were in the process of surrendering to the Russians.

The UAF are teetering on a pinhead.

For our ISW fans:

US Congress Approves New US Military Aid for Kiev Regime, Pentagon to Send More US Troops to Ukraine, Ukraine Military Sitrep, more...

https://marksleboda.substack.com/p/...ment&r=1ieaer&triedRedirect=true

Slava anti American idiots toot

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates


Karolina Hird, Riley Bailey, Christina Harward, Angelica Evans, Annika Ganzeveld, and Frederick W. Kagan

April 23, 2024


Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu highlighted ongoing Russian offensive operations near Chasiv Yar, Avdiivka, and Donetsk City and announced Russia’s intent to intensify its strike campaign to disrupt Ukrainian logistics.
Shoigu also discussed ongoing Russian military reforms during his April 23 MoD collegium address, cloaking ongoing expansion efforts in an information operation meant to falsely frame all Russian military activity as inherently defensive and responsive to supposed NATO aggression.
Iranian Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Akbar Ahmadian traveled to St. Petersburg on April 23 to attend the 12th Russian International Security Summit.
The Chechen Republic appears to be trying to align itself more closely with Iran over the backdrop of intensifying bilateral security cooperation between Russia and Iran.
United Kingdom (UK) Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced the UK’s largest ever package of military assistance to Ukraine valued at 500 million pounds (around $662 million) on April 23.
Moldovan authorities confiscated over one million dollars from Kremlin-linked Moldovan opposition politicians at the Chisinau airport on the night of April 22 to 23, and the opposition politicians likely intended to use to bribe protestors and voters.
Russian federal censor Roskomnadzor is blocking 150 virtual private network (VPN) services in Russia, another step in the Kremlin’s efforts to further censor and control the Russian information space.
Ukrainian drone strikes and recent flooding in Russia have reportedly brought weekly Russian oil refining to an 11-month low, although the decrease in refining output has so far been marginal.
Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Chasiv Yar (west of Bakhmut) and Russian forces recently advanced near Donetsk City.
Prominent Russian milbloggers continue to complain about the ineffectiveness of Russian drones on the battlefield.

@RishiSunak
TO ANNOUNCE LARGEST-EVER MILITARY AID PACKAGE TO #UKRAINE ON VISIT TO POLAND

https://x.com/PGMcNamara/status/1782525451707043915


Russian Deputy Defense Minister Timur Ivanov detained on suspicion of taking bribes, - Russian Investigative Committee

https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1782840163908854102


russkie nazis
Rehearsal of the "Victory Parade" to be held on May 9 took place in St. Petersburg, on Palace Square

https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1782828348944621649


The Senate just passed the Ukraine-Israel-Taiwan aid bill.

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1782945789762842752


The US will likely send Ukraine long range ATACMS variants for the first time as part of the new planned $1 billion aid package, per reporting by CNN.

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1782867809652933057


One 9S19M Imbir (HIGH SCREEN) or 9S32M/ME Grill Screen acquisition radar destroyed.

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1782775313836941528


Incendiary munition rains down over Chasiv-Yar. Russians are attempting to occupy the city. They have been ordered to occupy it before the 9th of May by Russian leadership.

https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1782666370112540697


View from a Ukrainian drone as several M30A1 GMLRS rockets slam into a Russian S-300VM/S-400 radar station, each rocket detonating feet over the Russian group, sending hundreds of thousands of tungsten fragments into a Russian 9S19M High Screen radar and supporting vehicles.

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1782775309122568296

Not one geolocation and zero pics or video documentation

Of anything



Toothouston caught lying again

Why do worship us open borders, chuck Schumer and pelosi you pos??

The US officially announced a new, $1 billion-worth military aid package for Ukraine.

https://x.com/Archer83Able/status/1783156806644101191


A drone struck an oil depot in the Smolensk region of Russia. A heavy fire started there.

https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1783017587741249749


Footage of the Russian Rosneft oil terminal heavily burning in Yartsevo, after a Ukrainian drone attack this morning.

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1782977356673511441


Earlier today, Lithuania successfully delivered another shipment of M113-based M577 Command Post Carriers to Ukraine.

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1782891085649350839


CNN reports that long-range ATACMS will be included in the next U.S. military aid package for Ukraine.

https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1783126381687197702


Russian Deputy Defense Minister Timur Ivanov at the court.

https://x.com/Archer83Able/status/1783065304949526734


The United Kingdom may send #PavewayIV bombs to #Ukraine as part of the next military package, as reported by BBC correspondent Jonathan Beale.

https://x.com/KyivPost/status/1783066819462385737


Ambassador: Ukraine, US in talks to set up joint production of Patriot systems.

https://x.com/KyivIndependent/status/1782877305032912965


Russkie Nazis

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GL3f2BcXwAATBGP?format=jpg&name=900x900

Absolutely hilarious! Just WTF would those broke dik Ukrainians contribute? Manpower? Don't have any. Money? They only have ours. Land? They have nothing a Khinzel won't reach. Resources? They don't even have any electric except what the Russians allow them to have.

Ukraine has lost support of Poland and other nations. The EU has been drained of resources at our request. We cannot afford any additional assistance yet our hapless Congress is convinced they must sacrifice their own constituents and jeopardize our freedom to fight the pentagon’s proxy war with the “evil empire” that was defeated decades ago.
The mindless twits here that stoically defend this insanity have a death wish for our nation.
Pity..
It’s over for Zelensky and crew. You just haven’t buried the trash yet.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates


Riley Bailey, Nicole Wolkov, Angelica Evans, Grace Mappes, and Frederick W. Kagan

April 24, 2024


US President Joe Biden announced on April 24 that the US will begin sending military equipment to Ukraine “a few hours” after signing a bill that will provide roughly $60 billion of assistance to Ukraine.
The United States reportedly provided an unspecified number of long-range ATACMS missiles to Ukraine in March 2024, some of which Ukraine has already used to strike Russian targets in deep rear areas.
The arrival of long-range ATACMS missiles in sufficient quantities will allow Ukrainian forces to degrade Russian logistics and threaten Russian airfields in deep rear areas, although months of delay may have provided the Russian military time to offset the potential operational impacts that ATACMS will afford Ukraine.
Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted successful drone strikes against Russian energy and industrial facilities in Smolensk and Lipetsk oblasts on the night of April 23 to 24.
Russian authorities arrested Deputy Defense Minister Timur Ivanov on April 24 on charges of accepting bribes, although other Russian sources reported that Ivanov is suspected of treason.
Ivanov’s arrest prompted Russian information space speculation about a new round of personnel changes in the Russian military and claims that the arrest is part of Kremlin factional conflicts.
Russian ultranationalist milbloggers largely celebrated Ivanov’s arrest and used it as an opportunity to publicly criticize the Russian MoD.
The Kremlin explicitly threatened Armenia if Armenia does not resume active engagement in the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) and resume its pro-Kremlin alignment.
Kremlin-appointed Children’s Rights Commissioner Maria Lvova-Belova deliberately misrepresented recent Qatari-mediated negotiations between Russia and Ukraine as the first face-to-face negotiations on the return of Ukrainian children forcibly removed and deported by Russia, likely in an effort to minimize Russia’s responsibility for the coordinated removal and deportation of Ukrainian children.
Moldovan authorities filed a criminal case against Yevgenia Gutsul, the Kremlin-affiliated governor of the pro-Russian Moldovan autonomous region of Gagauzia, for campaign finance violations as Moldovan officials continue to warn about Russia’s threat to Moldova.
Russian forces recently marginally advanced near Avdiivka, Donetsk City, and Robotyne.
Russian State Duma Committee on Information Policy Head Alexander Khinshtein stated on April 24 that unspecified Russian officials will soon submit a draft law to the State Duma that would ban the extradition of foreigners who have fought in Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine if the foreigners face prosecution for their military service in their home countries.

The issue of corruption was directly raised with Zelensky in a meeting last January in Kiev with CIA Director William Burns.

His message to the Ukrainian president, I was told by an intelligence official with direct knowledge of the meeting, was out of a 1950s mob movie.

The senior generals and government officials in Kiev were angry at what they saw as Zelensky’s greed, so Burns told the Ukrainian president, because “he was taking a larger share of the skim money than was going to the generals.”

Burns also presented Zelensky with a list of thirty-five generals and senior officials whose corruption was known to the CIA and others in the American government.

Zelensky responded to the American pressure ten days later by publicly dismissing ten of the most ostentatious officials on the list and doing little else.

“The ten he got rid of were brazenly bragging about the money they had—driving around Kiev in their new Mercedes,” the intelligence official told me.

Analysts from the Central Intelligence Agency put the embezzled funds at $400 million last year, at least; another expert compared the level of corruption in Kiev as approaching that of the Afghan war, “although there will be no professional audit reports emerging from the Ukraine.”