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Will Ebola find it's way to America and do you think it will be a few cases here and there. Or a full blown, ass kicking, Epidemic ?


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Originally Posted by Hotload
Will Ebola find it's way to America and do you think it will be a few cases here and there. Or a full blown, ass kicking, Epidemic ?
It seems to thrive best in the tropics, so likely it will not do particularly well in the United States, but you never know. No reason to tempt fate by intentionally bringing it in, that's for damned sure.


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TRH - Agreed ... some Doctor wants to go to west Africa and fight Ebola
that is all well and good. But if they get it then cure it in Africa.


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It's already been here.

Got here in a shipment of monkeys almost 20 years ago. But luckily, it was a strain from the Phillipines, and while it is very similar to Ebola Zaire (the really nasty strain with 90% mortality) the Reston strain is only deadly to monkeys.

It will get here, and we best learn how to fight outbreaks.


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Until it goes airborne, we don't have much to worry about. If it goes airborne, there is likely to be several million (if not billion) less people on this celestial rock.


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"Give us your Plagues, your AIDS and your yellow fever. Give us your malaria, your scabies and your tuberculosis. Give us your EBOLA and your Dengue fever. Give us all of your filthy and deadly diseases yearning to be freed on the American people."

- Barack Hussein Obama


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Originally Posted by The_Real_Hawkeye
Originally Posted by Hotload
Will Ebola find it's way to America and do you think it will be a few cases here and there. Or a full blown, ass kicking, Epidemic ?
It seems to thrive best in the tropics, so likely it will not do particularly well in the United States, but you never know. No reason to tempt fate by intentionally bringing it in, that's for damned sure.


Yeah, an Influenza isn't likely to do well either because it originates in China and it doesn't speak English worth a damn.


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Originally Posted by MILES58
Originally Posted by The_Real_Hawkeye
Originally Posted by Hotload
Will Ebola find it's way to America and do you think it will be a few cases here and there. Or a full blown, ass kicking, Epidemic ?
It seems to thrive best in the tropics, so likely it will not do particularly well in the United States, but you never know. No reason to tempt fate by intentionally bringing it in, that's for damned sure.


Yeah, an Influenza isn't likely to do well either because it originates in China and it doesn't speak English worth a damn.

The historical pattern of outbreaks of the deadly form of ebola is that of a tropical disease. The tropics is where conditions sustaining its outbreaks are found, particularly the tropical regions of Africa. Not saying it's not possible for it to be transmitted to people in the US. I said quite the opposite, in fact, i.e., that it's stupid in the extreme to bring active patients into the US, or to send US soldiers in large numbers there, due to this threat of transmission, especially to healthcare workers, their families and close associates.


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Technically, it's already here; we've brought several aid workers back for treatment. If it does get out, we may get some fatalities, but I don't expect it to take off the way it did in Africa. From what I've been reading, antibiotics, IV, etc. are largely effective. Give obamacare a few years to work, and the answer may change, but I would expect some fatalities, a lot of panic, but nothing close to apocalyptic.


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Originally Posted by bucktail
Technically, it's already here; we've brought several aid workers back for treatment. If it does get out, we may get some fatalities, but I don't expect it to take off the way it did in Africa. From what I've been reading, antibiotics, IV, etc. are largely effective. Give obamacare a few years to work, and the answer may change, but I would expect some fatalities, a lot of panic, but nothing close to apocalyptic.
Antibiotics should be ineffective against it, since it's a virus. Main treatments amount to supportive care, preventing dehydration, giving the body time to mount its own defenses via the immune system's production of specific antibodies.


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it's unavoidable that Ebola will be in America, and I am pretty certain it will be a real problem. We have great health care facilities and doctors, but they could be quickly overwhelmed.


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The U.S. Centers for disease control and prevention are now saying the Ebola epidemic
could infect up to 500,000 people by the end of January 2015.


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Originally Posted by Hotload
The U.S. Centers for disease control and prevention are now saying the Ebola epidemic
could infect up to 500,000 people by the end of January 2015.
Yeah, but almost all in the tropics I bet.


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If it does well in the tropics, you guys in the South need to be worried. If it's going to thrive anywhere in the US, it's in the southeastern states.


You didn't use logic or reason to get into this opinion, I cannot use logic or reason to get you out of it.

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Originally Posted by Mannlicher
it's unavoidable that Ebola will be in America, and I am pretty certain it will be a real problem. We have great health care facilities and doctors, but they could be quickly overwhelmed.
Apparently, human to human transmission is difficult enough that, outside of the tropics, its transmission is almost exclusively through close contact, like that required of healthcare workers with patients, thus outbreaks outside the tropics shouldn't be possible. Within the tropics, by contrast, there appear to be other modes of transmission supported by environmental conditions there, thus encouraging and sustaining outbreaks. Still no reason to intentionally bring it here, as who knows how modes of transmission can change via mutation. Why tempt fate?


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The World Health Organization said that the outbreak is increasing so rapidly
that the total number is almost certain to be much higher.


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Originally Posted by The_Real_Hawkeye
Originally Posted by Mannlicher
it's unavoidable that Ebola will be in America, and I am pretty certain it will be a real problem. We have great health care facilities and doctors, but they could be quickly overwhelmed.
Apparently, human to human transmission is difficult enough that, outside of the tropics, its transmission is almost exclusively through close contact, like that required of healthcare workers with patients, thus outbreaks outside the tropics shouldn't be possible. Within the tropics, by contrast, there appear to be other modes of transmission supported by environmental conditions there, thus encouraging and sustaining outbreaks. Still no reason to intentionally bring it here, as who knows how modes of transmission can change via mutation. Why tempt fate?


You've studied evolution. The problem with bacteria and viruses is they go through generations quickly, and as a result evolve quickly. If it gets here, we will have to kill it quickly or well have a real problem on our hands.


You didn't use logic or reason to get into this opinion, I cannot use logic or reason to get you out of it.

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Originally Posted by antelope_sniper
If it does well in the tropics, you guys in the South need to be worried. If it's going to thrive anywhere in the US, it's in the southeastern states.
True, but even Key West is quite a bit north (by over a thousand miles) of the northernmost location of any recorded Ebola outbreak. It historically clusters very neatly between 20 degrees north and 20 degrees south of the equator. One must assume there's an environmentally-based reason for that.


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Jesus, Mary and Joseph on a piggy powered pogo stick!

How the f--k do you people get from one day to the next without your head exploding from all the stupid??? The only thing I can figure is that leaking it out in posts like these relieves the pressure.

Ebola is extremely unlikely to evolve into something more deadly. How the f--k is it going to get more deadly??? it already kills between 50 and 90 percent of those infected depending on strain and locale. And, at that it kills them in about ten days, less when untreated, and only a little more with treatment.

Ebola has a tropical host species. That species is not humans in that the disease dies out in humans for years at a time. That has absolutely no bearing on whether the disease can or will do well outside the tropics. Ebola is spread by person to person contact and contaminated equipment/facilities with which people come in contact. It appears to have a limited period of viability on surfaces of days, not weeks. Tincture of time has in all prior outbreaks seemingly rendered the facilities/equipment non-infectious. Provide those conditions elsewhere and you can only expect similar results.

As far as Ebola "going airborne"...This is stupid deluxe! It has to change it's entire process. Ebola is a wet disease. Ebola is not a disease of the respiratory system. Ebola is a septicemia like process, it is blood borne and breaks down the smallest of vessels, vessels feeding the mucosa, vessels lining the gut, vessels around the eyes. Ebola does not produce pustules that dry up and release dry particles like pox viruses. The pathology of Ebola is a complex interaction between the cells the virus infects which once infected are retasked to producing massive quantities of virus particles, and your immune system trying to kill off those particles. The virus particles themselves ARE NOT direct actors. For Ebola to change that much to "go airborne", it would become a wholly new disease. Most viruses, and there are millions of types, produce minor or no disease. Simply put, what kills people infected with Ebola is their immune system waging chemical warfare on a massive scale. The byproducts of that war do you in.

The profound ignorance that suggests f--k 'em, let 'em all die over there is truly mind boggling. There is no way to isolate any portion of the world today. At least not in the real sense of anything larger than a very small village. The thought of trying to enforce a quarantine of an area the size of the north central United States is laughable. Would that we had enough people in uniform to establish a blockade on land, in the air, on the sea, we would be putting millions of armed personnel into much more dangerous (disease wise) situations than sending in a limited number to set up field hospitals as proposed. Anyone who can't figure that one out probably needs to take their shoes off to count past ten. And... the little consequence of exposing so many people to the disease would just create a whole new vector. Trying to stop it at our borders will cost an ungodly amount of money, and given that fact that we haven't managed to stop any disease at our borders doesn't even give us a working model to apply to this disease. The last disease we tried to stop at our borders was HIV, another "tropical" disease. Tell me how well that worked out.

Lastly, the though of someone like TRH teaching children anything with the absurdly illogical thought processes he exhibits here is truly stunning. How the f--k can a person provide answers when he clearly cannot grasp the question(s) is one thing. But to go off like he has here with no basis, no comprehension of what he's talking about, and no logical connection between what he says and reality... This people is the land of too stupid to live in the most literal sense of the word, and TRH is king.

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Originally Posted by MILES58
Jesus, Mary and Joseph on a piggy powered pogo stick!

How the f--k do you people get from one day to the next without your head exploding from all the stupid??? The only thing I can figure is that leaking it out in posts like these relieves the pressure.

Ebola is extremely unlikely to evolve into something more deadly. How the f--k is it going to get more deadly??? it already kills between 50 and 90 percent of those infected depending on strain and locale. And, at that it kills them in about ten days, less when untreated, and only a little more with treatment.

Ebola has a tropical host species. That species is not humans in that the disease dies out in humans for years at a time. That has absolutely no bearing on whether the disease can or will do well outside the tropics. Ebola is spread by person to person contact and contaminated equipment/facilities with which people come in contact. It appears to have a limited period of viability on surfaces of days, not weeks. Tincture of time has in all prior outbreaks seemingly rendered the facilities/equipment non-infectious. Provide those conditions elsewhere and you can only expect similar results.

As far as Ebola "going airborne"...This is stupid deluxe! It has to change it's entire process. Ebola is a wet disease. Ebola is not a disease of the respiratory system. Ebola is a septicemia like process, it is blood borne and breaks down the smallest of vessels, vessels feeding the mucosa, vessels lining the gut, vessels around the eyes. Ebola does not produce pustules that dry up and release dry particles like pox viruses. The pathology of Ebola is a complex interaction between the cells the virus infects which once infected are retasked to producing massive quantities of virus particles, and your immune system trying to kill off those particles. The virus particles themselves ARE NOT direct actors. For Ebola to change that much to "go airborne", it would become a wholly new disease. Most viruses, and there are millions of types, produce minor or no disease. Simply put, what kills people infected with Ebola is their immune system waging chemical warfare on a massive scale. The byproducts of that war do you in.

The profound ignorance that suggests f--k 'em, let 'em all die over there is truly mind boggling. There is no way to isolate any portion of the world today. At least not in the real sense of anything larger than a very small village. The thought of trying to enforce a quarantine of an area the size of the north central United States is laughable. Would that we had enough people in uniform to establish a blockade on land, in the air, on the sea, we would be putting millions of armed personnel into much more dangerous (disease wise) situations than sending in a limited number to set up field hospitals as proposed. Anyone who can't figure that one out probably needs to take their shoes off to count past ten. And... the little consequence of exposing so many people to the disease would just create a whole new vector. Trying to stop it at our borders will cost an ungodly amount of money, and given that fact that we haven't managed to stop any disease at our borders doesn't even give us a working model to apply to this disease. The last disease we tried to stop at our borders was HIV, another "tropical" disease. Tell me how well that worked out.

Lastly, the though of someone like TRH teaching children anything with the absurdly illogical thought processes he exhibits here is truly stunning. How the f--k can a person provide answers when he clearly cannot grasp the question(s) is one thing. But to go off like he has here with no basis, no comprehension of what he's talking about, and no logical connection between what he says and reality... This people is the land of too stupid to live in the most literal sense of the word, and TRH is king.


Relax Francis.

I think you know what you're talking about. And I agree with your assessment of the disease.

Could have been a tad nicer about it. Just sayin

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