Solar IR has been declining since about 2000. It takes about 14 years for this to affect the earths temp. The earth then had 2 years of El Nino which had helped warm the earth and that is appearing to end.
http://notrickszone.com/2013/10/07/...ation-due-to-solar-activity-experts-say/
http://notrickszone.com/2013/10/07/...