“Ordinary speculation”is based on a number of facts... we only have one: it crashed..
Wrong.. we have more known and worth considering facts than you are aware of.
Facts apon which 'ordinary speculation" can be mounted aside from a confirmed crash, are..
- airframe is 40 yr old
- wings have folded on another C130 water bomber during FF ops.
Airframe history and history of crashes involving C130s and especially modified WB versions,
do form part of reasonable speculation.
... The only thing left to conclude is either you’re a psychic, or FOS.
One dont need to be psychic to narrow causes down
and speculate from there.
ie: machine failure, pilot failure,
Authorities quickly speculated that fuel may have been
the cause and set about checking such sources ASAP
to ensure other aircraft were not at the same potential risk.
.