Why Democrats will keep the Senate: A contrarian analysis of the 2014 midtermswww.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/De...contrarian-analysis-of-the-2014-midtermsAnd not by your average liberal rag...Christian Science Monitor..This will leave a mark!!!
Sam Wang gives Democrats a 72 percent chance of keeping control of the Senate. It's not a widely held view, but he did accurately predict every Senate race in 2012. Here's why the pundits may be underestimating Democrats this year.
He currently gives them a 72% chance of holding on to the Senate. While this is certainly a contrarian point of view at the moment, it�s worth noting that Mr. Wang did accurately predict the outcome of every Senate election in 2012
Lets see why.....
By early September 2010, there were signs that Democrats were abandoning races that it was clear they could not win. This time, there�s no evidence of that, and, given how close the polls are in the states where the battle for control of the Senate is likely to be decided, it�s unlikely that will happen.
There is simply no evidence for the kind of strongly pro-Republican electoral movement that we would expect to see if November is, in fact, going to result in a Republican take over of the Senate.
Begich by 8 points?
