Home Forums Hunting & Shooting Hunter's Campfire Key points of Tucker Putin Interview: this is what they don't want you to hear.

Brother Fubar,

Thank you for the compliment.

Yes, my position if founded deep thought, reason, and experience; the experience of a former Intelligence Analyst covering primarily Strategic Level Soviet and Post Soviet issues, and among other things, responsible daily theater level threat assessments. So with the simple question you asked, I could quite literally wrong a book on the second and third order knock on effects of the various decisions we could make.

So instead of writing a book lets break this down to the most common value, most common perspective we share.

Now I'm making some assumption based on our previous conversations and your previous posts, so please correct me where I misrepresent your position or beliefs.

You and I want strong borders that protect our America, our people, and our interests. You are in favor of building a fence to contain the bad actors coming attempting to cross our southern border. We need surveillance so we know who's coming and going, check points do we can stop the criminals, the drugs and disease, terrorist, Jihadists, and the undesirables.

Tall fences make good neighbors, but there's more than one way to contain a pack of several thousand rabid dogs living in open space. Sure you could build a fence around your property, but what if your wife walks to the store, or your kids go play with the neighbors, now what? So instead, you build a fence around them. Same concept of what you want with Mexico, just a different application.

Now imagine those dogs break the the fence and one of your partner is willing to kill them, and all you have to do is keep handing him ammo. Your wife and kids don't have to leave the house and face any real danger, just hand these guys ammo and let them get bit? You have a whole bunch of self ammo you need to rotate out for new any way, so why not give to him to kill dogs? So you start kicking out new reloads and giving him your old stuff. Now some of his neighbors have bought your reloads in the past, and would like some fresh ammo, so they agree to give him their old stuff (F-16's), and you'll sell them new stuff (F-35's).

And these guys keep killing dogs, and all his neighbors keep buying more of your stuff, for which you will sell them the spare parts that your son makes, so he has a job, and his neighbors build their fences higher and stronger.

Now the other side of the open space has feral cats (Chinese). Some of these cats are big and shoot fireballs out of their eyes and lightning out the arse (SSBN's). But you have friends over there who let you set up a sensor network (First Island Chain SOSUS) so you keeps tabs on them, give you a place to say (Bases) and feed you when you're in the area (refuel your ships. Our Carriers are nuclear, but their escorts are not. The unclassified range of an Arleigh Burke is only 5100 miles at 20 knots, much less at combat speeds).

You have both the cats and dogs on pretty good lock down, and they can't get close enough to your property to do any real damage, and the dogs keep dying. Eventually the dogs may get this on family, but they'll be too depleted to pose a significant threat for another 30 years. This could lead to the next "peace dividend" or at least half a dividend, at least for the next 30 year, during which time they will be ignored, not hunted. Hopefully they are not able to rebuild their numbers (Both Russia and China's birth rates are well below replacement) to threatening levels. Regardless the Cat's see what's happening as well, and realize they need to reevaluate their situation.

But what happens if you pull out of this structure?

We loose allies. We lose bases. Our ability to project power is compromised. Gaps appear in our forward sensing networks. We suffer significant impairments to our ability to track Russian and Chinese Naval assets.

We'll see more resistance to US presences with critical partners. Japan nicely bottles up the Russian Pacific Fleet headquartered in Vladivostok. Taiwan's a critical brick in the First Island Chain wall around China. Singapore, Philippines, various allies in the Middle East, many who don't like being mentioned, all contribute to our ability to project power, maintain open sea lanes, and not fight wars on American Soil.

Since the Civil war there's been two major events on US soil, Pearl Harbor and 9/11.

Both during periods of strong isolationism sentiment.

When dealing with unreasonable peoples on the international stage there's two interesting strategies for us.

One is ignore our threats and respond after a whole bunch of Americans die and then do something. The other is containment them, and from time-to-time give them a good proactive stomping, then leave (Gulf War I). If someone else will do the stomping and take the bites for us, that even better.

One, this was hardly an interview. Putin talked about what he wanted to talk about and Carlson served as his video stenographer. The 'interview' happened in Russia so this is hardly surprising.

Two, the transcript has been available several days. On the premise it is accurate, anybody can read it and form their own opinions.

I’m still trying to process all the things Putin revealed in that performance. He reinforced a lot of what I thought was true. CIA, Nordstream, the magic knee grow, the coup in Ukraine, never ending wars, US manipulation of global economy and many other things. And yes asking about the US journalist was very ballsy. I sensed a level of mutual respect between the participants.