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Another note, algae production from ponds wasn't as productive as they hoped. However, in greenhouses it has proved to be more constistant and reliable. Exxon has recently invested several million dollars in greenhouse production.

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Kevin,


One of the things which have lead to the Oil Price swings are the perception of disruption not a real disruption and not a current shortage.

Drilling in the US where the political and �security� environment is relatively stable will help alleviate some of those fears and help hold prices down� especially for West Texas Intermediate.

And while you have a point about the proven reserves in the US I don�t for a second believe we have a clue how much is yet to be discovered.

All that said, the �yet to be discovered oil� may be more costly to get and may take a while to develop those fields.

IMO


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Originally Posted by Dixie_Dude
KevinGibson, what is your solution to the energy problem. Imported oil costs us billions. It is over half the trade deficit. Natural gas and diesel vehicle production are immediate and quick solutions, but not for the long term. Either synthetic fuel from coal or algae are the only viable long term solutions.

Electric vehicle have a recharging time problem and a range problem. Also they cost far more than either diesel or natural gas to produce. Infrastructure is in place for both except natural gas requires compressor stations that cost about $100,000 to install, thus fleet use is the quickest conversion. A home compressor would cost about $5,000 for nightly slow charging, but refilling if traveling is a problem unless service stations install the compressor stations. Working in a natural gas utiliy we are trying to get at least one service station to install a compressor, with us providing the compressor, in each of the towns and cities we service. Most service station operators are reluctant to do so. It is an uphill battle.


One of my favorite conservative business hero�s has it right; Fredrick Smith of FedEx. He sees energy independence as a national security issue and so do I; which is why I�m so passionate about getting the US off of foreign oil. For every $10.00 that oil goes up, our GDP takes a .02% hit (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/otheranalysis/aeo_2006analysispapers/efhop.html )
Put another way, every time oil goes up by $100.00, $75 billion exits our economy and is diverted to pay higher energy costs. Do you really want to continue along these lines?

You can find most of what I espouse here: http://www.secureenergy.org/energy-security-leadership-council/frederick-w-smith
Fred Smith is a leading conservative business man, and one of the largest consumers of energy on this planet; he might know a thing or two on the subject of energy. In short, the idea to use fossil fuel only for the things that can be run only with fossil fuel, big trucks and jets. For the rest, turn to
For highly urbanized areas, switch to electric. For suburban to rural areas a mix of gas/natural gas/bio & biomass fuel/electric hybrid. There are a number of very promising new technologies out there for alternative fuels; use them.
Switch the Northeast away from heating oil, to electric heating of their homes. Build more renewable electric plants, make use of tidal wave technology as a baseload supplement to Coal and Nuclear. And of course, don�t forget that we will always need coal and nuclear; but do whatever you can to minimize the use of coal and nuclear so as to minimize their undesirable side effects.
The idea is to make use of ALL technologies; rather than hang our hat on one (and we�re being screwed by that one technology now)

You make a point about current electric vehicle technologies; very valid point. But that technology is in its infancy and has a very promising future; invest in that future. If we get serious about investment in a future that sees the US energy self sufficient, the US can give the middle finger to the middle east (show my one American who doesn�t want that), and transform our economy into a robust economy free from foreign threat. We could reduce the size of our military significantly as we no longer have to keep the Middle East stable; they can take care of themselves. We would be energy independent, have a great economy, and safe from outside threats to our economy and way of life.

This is 100% doable, but conservatives need to join in with leading conservatives like Fred Smith and make this happen. Liberals won�t do it.

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Originally Posted by temmi
Kevin,


One of the things which have lead to the Oil Price swings are the perception of disruption not a real disruption and not a current shortage.
I have a saying, fundamentals set the course (bull or bear market), and technicals (speculators) set the price.

While the technical investors making speculations on the market can and do drive prices up, they only capitalize on an already established trend set by the fundmentals of the market. If the funamentals were't pointing to a higher price, then the fundamental investors would have stepped in and corrected the market from the speculators (which happens all the time).

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I'm all for drilling every well we can drill. It's our lifeblood here in W TX with 400 rigs drilling here now. The very first thing that needs to be done is to take crude oil, natural gas, and fuels off of the NYMEX and go back to a strictly supply/demand based price. Take the speculators out of it completely. At least it would give the industry some price stability to work on their long range drilling plans. This $145 then down to $30 oil price was ridiculous and uncalled for.


It is irrelevant what you think. What matters is the TRUTH.
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Or we could just take America's demand out of the equation... and NEVER have to rid this train again.

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Originally Posted by KevinGibson
Now we can talk for days (and I�m sure we will, because people here are just incapable to sticking to the subject) about why we should drill domestically for oil.

But I would like to keep this discussion focused on domestic drilling and how it lowers the price of oil or gas at the pump. The intent is to bust the myths associated with this subject.


I'll take a different tack.

Given that it's a finite resource, the wise long term plan seems to this lunk to be to continue to buy other people's oil, since we can afford it, and reserve our own reserves for the future, when the finite resource begins to tap out and things get desperate.

There are various estimates of when the world will begin to get real desperate for oil, but we KNOW that day is coming. Why not absorb a little pain now in the form of MAYBE slightly higher prices, while husbanding what we can of the resource, for the wee 'ittle children of the future?

I know, I know... crazy talk. Our needs RIGHT NOW trump any future generations needs.. just look at our economic and environmental policies for proof...


The CENTER will hold.

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Originally Posted by saddlesore
Ok,If oil companies only operate at 90% , because they have to do maintence on the other 10% ,isn't that operating at 100% of thier capacity if the 10% is always of off line.Seems like easy math to me.
If they refine a 900 barrels a day and must keep the maintence going,then to refine 1000 barrels a day,they have to have a capacity to refine 1100 barrels a day in rounded off terms.
In a stretch, theoretically,they could never reach the 100% design capacity ,so in reality theyare producing 100% of what they can.


"Nameplate Capacity" is an official term in the production business and based on the plant design. It's typically a production rate such as gallons per minute or gallons per day, etc. Obviously the plant doesn't run 24/7/365 so the actual rate will be something less than the annual nameplate capacity.


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Originally Posted by Jeff_O
Given that it's a finite resource, the wise long term plan seems to this lunk to be to continue to buy other people's oil, since we can afford it, and reserve our own reserves for the future, when the finite resource begins to tap out and things get desperate.


That's also known as the 'hide under the rug' approach.


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Originally Posted by jorgeI
Originally Posted by JOG
Why would oil companies risk billions of dollars in exploration, drilling, infrastructure, and refining capacity, all for the privilege of charging less money for their products?


Do you know the difference between profit and profit margin and more importantly do you know what the average profit margin the oil companies work with? The real issue is what I alluded to regarding the Saudis. Here's a hint, their profit margins are HUGE and where domestic production has to deal with OSHA,higher wages for the American worker and of course the ever present pestilence of unions, the Saudis can always have better control of the price. Still, when speculators can roll the dice by only exposing six cents on the dollar, we are going to have a volatile market. Also, higher prices recently are due to the huge decline in the dollar's value (about 30%) and of course we pay almost fifty cents/gallon to the Feds in the way of taxes. Bottom line still remains, drill here, drill now, pay less.


Stability? While states and feds may play with the tax structure, no-one is going to "nationalize" the fields. Obama would love to, but it ain't gonna happen. Spot-market speculators, as noted, have a large influence on it.

Also to be considered in the domestic-drilling equation are the benefits of jobs in our sphere, and the well being of Alaska's Permanent Fund. (Screw the rest of you. :))

Oh, and NoDak/NE MT area is BOOMING!


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Originally Posted by KevinGibson
For highly urbanized areas, switch to electric. For suburban to rural areas a mix of gas/natural gas/bio & biomass fuel/electric hybrid. There are a number of very promising new technologies out there for alternative fuels; use them.


While I agree 100% and have been preaching the same thing for years - good luck. There is one solution to the price of gasoline: Competition.

However, in addition to all the politics of competing with oil, all competitors will be faced with the same and seemingly insurmountable problem of infrastructure.


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Originally Posted by Jeff_O
Given that it's a finite resource, the wise long term plan seems to this lunk to be to continue to buy other people's oil, since we can afford it, and reserve our own reserves for the future, when the finite resource begins to tap out and things get desperate.

I got brainwwashed in college in 1971 that by 2000 all fossil fuel would be exhausted and 20% of the earths population would be killed by pollution. IIRC that was a full up professor and the book was "The limits of growth".
I came out of there and built a super insulated solar house and 5,000 sq ft garden. When I started doing consulting engineering, I had to be fastidious about what I knew and why I thought I knew it. I suddenly realized I have all kinds of perceived risks affecting my values, that should have been calculated risks.
Having designed all kinds of solar and wind powered alternative energy equipment in the early 80s, I now believe in a completely market driven energy policy.
I know some people that own oil wells. I know some people that speculate in oil futures. I am fine with all of them.
I play a game at the gas pump. I look for someone who can hear me and say, "This is getting expensive".
I almost always get and angry response.
The way that politics works is:
1/3 of the electorate is well informed and committed liberals.
1/3 of the electorate is well informed and committed conservatives.
1/3 of the electorate is ill informed and uncommitted independents.
Those independents seem to really care about gas price.
I hope gas gets really expensive so we can get rid of Obama.


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Per Mark Levin, who is Jewish and therefore is smarter than most of us...

20% of the electorate identify theyselfs as liberals
40% of the electorate identify themselves as conservatives
The rest are up for grabs.

By the way, unlike Obongo I am not angry at Jews. I am angry at the Obongo admin and its rayciss and pro commie policies.

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Mark Levin has dwarf genes.
I have big muscles.
Who you gonna believe?


There is nothing noble in being superior to your fellow man; true nobility is being superior to your former self. -Ernest Hemingway
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Originally Posted by KevinGibson

There isn't enough oil in the US to change the supply/demand dynamics; that's my point.


You are a retard. Read up on the issue.

First you said you "work in the industry" and now you say you "buy oil". Well I buy oil too dumbass.

It seems you started this thread just to cause arguments.

Moderators, I think this gentleman is abusing the forum.

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Originally Posted by Clarkm
Mark Levin has dwarf genes.
I have big muscles.
Who you gonna believe?


Michelle Obongo has big muscles too.

Maybe I hsould believe her/it.

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Originally Posted by 500grains


You are a retard. Read up on the issue.

First you said you "work in the industry" and now you say you "buy oil". Well I buy oil too dumbass.

It seems you started this thread just to cause arguments.

Moderators, I think this gentleman is abusing the forum.


No Kevin is not abusing the forum, he is just someone trying to disabuse some of you of your inaccurate assessment of our true energy situation. It isn't pretty, it isn't easily understood, and it isn't easily addressed.

This annoys some to no end. We aren't used to having problems that can't be solved (or at least present the appearance of being solved) with demagoguery and bluster.

So we get threads like this one where imaginary theories and conjured facts get tossed around like so many poker chips. The biggest liar ends up making more talking points and declares himself the winner. :p

Will


Smellin' a lot of 'if' coming off this plan.
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There are several reasons we should drill domestically:

Oil prices are based on supply and demand, increasing the worldwide supply, prices drop

Oil field workers are highly paid, why wouldn't we want as many highly paid American workers, working in American?

The Fed and various State governments collect royalties on oil, why wouldn't we want to reduce our personal tax burdens by having part of the cost of oil going to the US fed and state governments vs. foreing governments?

More importantly, what compelling reasons do have not to increase domestic production?

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Electric heat cost about double than what fuel oil does.It is triple what natural gas cost.At least here in Colorado.To say the NE should switch to electric heat shows a very nieve assessemnt of the problem. Everyone says to switch to electric cars,but no on ever admits to what it takes to produce electric to charge them with. Wind turbine and solar isn't going to cut it.

I'd like to see every oil well sunk that could be both on and off shore. But the enviornmantalist are not ever going to let that happen.Thier position to solve the problem is to let gas rise to $10 a gal and then people will stop using it.

China and India will suck up every gal of oil that the US does not buy and in the future it wil get worse.Supply will never meet the demand. Most are basing the figures on what is used today,but deny themselves the thought that in a short time the population will double what it is now.


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Originally Posted by KevinGibson


For highly urbanized areas, switch to electric.


RETARDED.

Natural gas is far cheaper, more efficient, and pollutes less per BTU consumed.

Quote

For suburban to rural areas a mix of gas/natural gas/bio & biomass fuel/electric hybrid.


Mandating this is socialism, plain and simple. No wonder I thought I smelled Obongo weenie on someone's breath.

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