Home Forums Hunting & Shooting Hunter's Campfire Oroville aux spill to fail within the next 60 min!!

Where is your neck of the woods? I'm down in Hollister.

Fremont

Is it going to hold or not

Yes.

Agreed. I can provide a link if desired.

Heard Victor Davis Hansen on the radio the other day. He explained how they've squandered the opportunity and the money to fix this thing (and some other stuff) over the years.

Reminds me of the old joke about the guy who complained about his roof leaking. Couldn't fix it because it was raining, he said. When asked why he didn't fix it when it wasn't raining, he said it didn't leak then.

Maybe, maybe not...it was never in any danger of failure from the series of events that transpired last week...But winter isn't over yet...the rainy season won't end for a while and there's still a decent snow pack in the Sierras. If we were to get a weeks worth of heavy tropical monsoon type rain like we did in 86, it would be hard to wrap my mind around what would happen.

Some good reads are on line relating to this subject...I think I may have posted this earlier in the thread...
http://csat.au.af.mil/2025/volume3/vol3ch15.pdf
It's a bit dated....for anybody interested, google "weather as a weapon of war"....there's tons of research going on...

Here's some dam pictures.

http://www.mercurynews.com/2017/02/...-show-damage-to-dams-emergency-spillway/

Time to go gold panning with all that heavy erosion!

I'd pass...

Right after it calms down.......

Somewhat related - the last time we drove I5 over Shasta Lake it was looking low - very low. Am thinking that the Feather flows to the Sacramento and not to Lake Shasta - so how has the recent precip affected Shasta? Will it get back to high normal?

CCCC,

Shasta also got dangerously high a few days ago, within a few feet of the top, but not as bad as Oroville. They had to greatly increase the outflow from the dam for the past week, which has caused all the local flooding in the Redding area.

They had to get it down before the next storms hit, the worst of which is supposed to hit tomorrow.

Just like Oroville, Shasta has now been brought down to 15.6' below the top, down from 7 or 8' a few days ago. They have gotten Oroville down over 40 feet by now. Their target was 50 feet, because the top 30' at the emergency spillway is weakened.

For flood control reserves, at this date annually they want Shasta to be about 30 feet below the top.

The Sacramento river and a few smaller rivers flow into Lake Shasta. The Sacramento river flows through Sacramento on its way to San Francisco Bay. The Feather River joins the Sacramento River just north of the city of Sacramento.

From Redding to Sacramento is about 160 miles, and then another 60 miles or so to the north end of San Francisco Bay.

If it continues to rain...and especially if we get a "pineapple express" in the near future, I won't be surprised if they start evacuating the more rural farmlands and intentionally breaching levees.

Forecast has about 4" by tuesday.

https://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:95965.1.99999

A section on I-5
http://www.sacbee.com/news/local/article133675254.html

It will not be long before Our great goobermint starts drain all of our Reservoirs to save them from speculated rain and then it will not rain and they will be empty for this summer when we need the water.

They have done it in the past and we have suffered due to their miss management.

Looks like th Valentine's Day flood of 1986

I have fond memories of that flood

I've seen a few in my time, most recent biggie was the Reno flood, New Year's Day 1997. It was a rain-on-snow event, too. I remember the Truckee River went from 750 cfs to 19,000 cfs in about 2 days.