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Global Warming: The Imminent Crisis That Never Arrives

Kerry Jackson - 6/26/17 - IBD

It's summer 2017 and the Arctic was supposed to be ice-free, hurricanes were going to be more frequent and more deadly, and sea levels should be rising alarmingly. Al Gore swore in his 2006 science fiction movie, "An Inconvenient Truth," that within a decade there would be a "true planetary emergency."

"Unless we act boldly and quickly to deal with the underlying causes of global warming, our world will undergo a string of terrible catastrophes," said Gore in the movie's introduction.

The grand storyteller also predicted in 2011 that "there will be no more snows" on Mt. Kilimanjaro "within the decade."

Four years earlier, the Guardian of Britain reported that the United Nations was warning that we had "as little as eight years left to avoid a dangerous global average rise of 2C or more." Three years and more than 1,000 days ago, then French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius — a socialist, of course — advised us that "we have 500 days to avoid climate chaos."

We could go on. But we have neither the space nor time to rack up all the missed global warming predictions. So we will merely point out that instead of these disasters, we have the climate alarmist community admitting that there has indeed been a pause in the warming and that its models failed to predict it.

Yes, that's right. The alarmists are acknowledging in the abstract of a research paper that was published this month in Nature Geoscience that there have been "differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates."

"In the early twenty-first century, satellite-derived tropospheric warming trends were generally smaller than trends estimated from a large multi-model ensemble," wrote the climate scientists led by "climatista" Benjamin Santer and including the litigious Michael Mann, purveyor of the hockey-stick graph that supposedly proves human-produced carbon dioxide is overheating the planet.

"It's more than a little shocking," say Michael Bastasch and Ryan Maue in their post in the Watts Up With That climate blog. They are calling this admission "the new 'consensus' on global warming."

What must be particularly galling is that this confession "settles" the claim made by Trump Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Scott Pruitt, who noted in written comments after his Senate confirmation that "over the past two decades satellite data indicates there has been a leveling off of warming."

Naturally, when Pruitt made his statements, condemnation "was swift," David Whitehouse, science editor of the Global Warming Policy Foundation, wrote in Canada's Financial Post, and "a study was quickly put together for the journal Nature Scientific Reports to disprove Pruitt's comments."

And, of course, the study "concluded that Pruitt was wrong and many media outlets reported that conclusion." Will they be just as aggressive in reporting that Pruitt was right?

Not a chance.

Meanwhile, Steven Hayward at Powerline wrote that "while it is evident that the authors have done all the necessary contortions that essentially say 'our models are just a little off' so as to convey a 'nothing to see here' conclusion, the abstract can hardly be reassuring because it has to concede the problem."

As Leslie Eastman of the Legal Insurrection blog noted, "the fact that Ben Santer authored this piece is a fascinating development."

"He is a climate researcher at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and former researcher at the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit. His former place of employment was the center of the first 'Climategate' scandal, in which hacked emails showed that the scientists were allegedly manipulating data that would have undermined their global warming assertions," Eastman wrote.

On some level the admission is shocking, as Bastasch and Maue say. Yet we've long known that at some point the confession had to be made. The alarmists couldn't carry on the charade forever.

My sense is that we're seeing some warming, and there are numerous geologic records suggesting we've warmed and cooled before. The eventual effects, and the current root cause though are still up for questioning.

^^^^^ this.

Farmers around here routinely make hay 3+weeks earlier than they used to.
Maple syrup is getting hard to make. Used to tap in Feb. and March, would run through April. Now trees run in December and January, its over by April now.
We used to worry about frost untill June, now last frost is often early May. The orchards have problems with frost now, because the warm weather in M arch and April gets the trees going too early.

They had to postpone the end of the earth when they found out the USA wasn't' going to pay for it to be saved. In the old days when someone came to town professing to be able to make it rain we'd tar and feather them and run them out of town. Now we gi e them $200m. Think we need to blame ourselves.

I'm sitting here in my office, security cameras trained on the coastline of the Arctic Ocean, and see lots of ice. The channel between us and the barrier islands 2 miles to the north is basically broken up but much ice still remains floating in the bay. Out beyond the islands is sea ice as far as the eye can see. Haven't seen the ice stay this long in my 4 1/2 years on this project. In late May/early June we had 3 or 4 days when we got nearly an inch of new "global warming".

[quote=1minute]My sense is that we're seeing some warming, and there are numerous geologic records suggesting we've warmed and cooled before. The eventual effects, and the current root cause though are still up for questioning. [/quote

I'm no scientist but I'm thinking a ball of mud anchored by magnetic axis spinning in a vacuum for all eternity has something to do with it.

I'm shocked - shocked, I say!

Where the hell did those mile-high Continental glaciers go anyway (at least 5 times). They were here just a minute ago.....

Well, less than a minute ago, if 4 billion years of climate change were put on a 24hour time line.

This truely is a case of "Nothing to see here folks....."

Models? GIGO.

The Arctic zone where they find frozen mammoths haven't yet warmed to the point that temperate climate plants can grow. That's what's found in the mammoths' stomaches.

A friend has a theory that God evolved Man to put those locked up hydrocarbons back in circulation where they belong.

Who are we to question God's will? . Inshallah!

Even if the planet continued to warm for the next 500 years and the poles nearly melted, it would confirm nothing other than that we are in an interglacial period. Glaciation works on a scale of tens of thousands and even hundreds of thousands of years. Five hundred year blips up or down are pretty much statistically insignificant on the glacial scale. We have pretty good ice core data going back about 400,000 years. A casual perusing of this data will show several extreme cooling and warming events in the absence of human industrial activity. The lack of big picture outlook on the part of the left telling.

Of course. It's a huge scam for the purpose of transferring the national wealth of First World nations to the globalists. Anyone with any sense, who has looked into the scam that is the modern world, knows that.

There has been global climate change for millions of years and that will continue for millions of years.
People ought to get used to it and quit trying to "control" all of us.

I believe the last ice age started around 100,000 years ago and it receded around 11,000 - 14,000 years ago ( and created the Great Lakes around me). So what brought about the warming that melted the ice sheet way back then - were the cavemen driving around SUV's?

Climate change is nothing more than the current way they are trying to scare everyone into a global taxation system and take America's wealth.

Here's all the proof you need- there was global warming and ice age cycles long before humans and technology ever existed.

........ Exactly.......... ten or fifteen years ago the plan was to transfer vast amounts of wealth to fight off the oncoming crisis. Then; when the crisis never arrives they can say that they saved the planet and give us some more money so we can avert another future crisis.

Can they tell us, please, which is NORMAL.....

Trees on Baffin Island or a Frozen wasteland!?!?!?

It seems there have been both from time to time.....

before there were SUVs............ so which is normal?

I guess 50 Billion year climatology must be easier, 'cause they sure can't tell with much certainty whats going to happen day after tomorrow!

Proof of global warming:

Study: Warm oceans caused hottest Dust Bowl years in 1934/36
Anthony Watts / May 4, 2015

"Two ocean hot spots have been found to be the potential drivers of the hottest summers on record for the Central US in 1934 and 1936. The research may also help modern forecasters predict particularly hot summers over the central United States many months out.
The unusually hot summers of 1934/36 broke heat records that still stand today. They were part of the devastating dust bowl decade in the US when massive dust storms travelled as far as New York, Boston and Atlanta and silt covered the decks of ships 450km off the east coast.
Research by Dr Markus Donat from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and colleagues has revealed that unusually warm sea surface temperatures occurring at exactly the same time in two very specific locations were likely responsible for creating the record breaking heat."

Taking a look at an earth temperature graph for the last 100,000 to a million years or so, will shoot recent global warming down hard.