I’ve wondered how many
Model 99-375s Savage produced. Lacking any real numbers, I’ve attempted to estimate a reasonable range of how many were made and came up with an estimate of 800-1200. I’d like your feedback on the how I came up with this, and any recommendations you might have for improving on the estimate.
• I assumed between 20k-30k 99s were built in 1980, and that all Model 99-375 were made in 1980 (I think there might have been a handful made in 1981).
• I estimated an approximate production percentage split for each model based on gut feel and cross-checked it against observed counts of models in JB Boren’s price sheet xls.
First I looked at the 1967 and 1968 serial number observations and estimated that Savage made about 47k 99s in 1967 and roughly 27k in 1968.
• 1967 start roughly 1,113,000; ended roughly 1,160,000
• 1968 – 11mo of 99 SNs, 1 month mixed product serial numbers. Start roughly 1,160, 000 end: roughly 1,185,000 = 25,000 in 11 months, or about 27K grossed up for 12 months
• Given the market trend and increasing cost to produce, I assumed the range of 1980 model 99 production to be between 20k-30k.
Here is the table showing the assumed 1980 total 99 production, and estimated model percentage splits, and resultant model production counts.