Petola will garner the Native vote. Basically 20% of the total. The non-Native Libs will vote Petola. That's half of the rest of the voters. Begich and Palin split the conservative vote and lose.
Petola is it.
Nope Peltola has to pull 50% plus one vote to win outright... that ain't happening. I doubt Sarah comes in third so either Peltola or Begich get kicked to the curb. If Peltola gets kicked out I suspect Begich will get far more of her votes than Sarah. If Begich gets kicked out Sarah will get most of his votes. With four in the race it may have gone differently by a lot.
