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Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 262
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Campfire Member
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Posts: 262 |
I don't know what will happen nation wide but Obama will not win one single southern state.
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Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 11,569 Likes: 2
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Jan 2009
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525, wow. Thanks.
edit,
Wikipedia has Reagan at 489 and Carter at 49,
Talk about an ass-kicking.
Last edited by Kenneth; 10/31/12.
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Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 10,011 Likes: 4
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 10,011 Likes: 4 |
There have been some big numbers.
George the 1st 426 in 1988
Reagan 525 in 1984
Reagan 489 in 1980
Nixon 520 in 1972
LBJ 486 in 1964
Eisenhower 457 in 1956
Eisenhower 442 in 1952
Roosevelt 432 in 1944
Roosevelt 449 in 1940
Roosevelt 523 in 1936
Roosevelt 472 in 1932
Hoover 444 in 1928
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Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 1,266
Campfire Regular
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Campfire Regular
Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 1,266 |
I am not really sure of the final score, but if numb nuts wins again, we are gone as a nation!! Vote early, vote often.
The foundation for old age is good memories.
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Joined: May 2009
Posts: 5,628
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 5,628 |
I have a lot of respect for some of the political junkies on here, they are very knowledgeable. Please dear God let them be correct, Amen.
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Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 8,557
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Nov 2006
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"My Prediction For The Election..."
I predict a Romney win.
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Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 2,723
Campfire Regular
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Campfire Regular
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 2,723 |
I live 17 miles north of Charlotte NC....The Romney yard signs out number the Obama sighs 100 to 1 !!!! NC will go to Romney. 
“When you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.”
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Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 5,222
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Jan 2008
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It will be tight race to 270 electoral votes, Romney will take NC, FL, and possibly VA and CO but it won't be enough without OH. Looking at Rove's most recent electoral map my prediction is. Romney 257 Obama 281  If Romney manages to take OH, then. Romney 275 Obama 263 It's that close.  ![[Linked Image]](http://rove.com/images/0000/1231/Romney-Obama10.29MAP.jpg)
"Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence". John Adams
"A dishonest man can always be trusted to be dishonest". Captain Jack Sparrow
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Joined: Jun 2003
Posts: 42,642 Likes: 4
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Jun 2003
Posts: 42,642 Likes: 4 |
That map is dated. Rove is on the record Romney will take Fla,NC,AZ and VA and he now leads in OH and is within the margin of error everywhere but Nevada. Still, I always expect the worst as I have little confidence in the voting public's ignorance.
A good principle to guide me through life: “This is all I have come to expect, standard lackluster performance. Trust nothing, believe no one and realize it will only get worse…”
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Joined: May 2009
Posts: 5,628
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: May 2009
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The look on Obamas face yesterday at the red cross told me he saw some very bad internal poll numbers.
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Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 5,222
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 5,222 |
"Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence". John Adams
"A dishonest man can always be trusted to be dishonest". Captain Jack Sparrow
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Joined: Jun 2003
Posts: 42,642 Likes: 4
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Jun 2003
Posts: 42,642 Likes: 4 |
Don't care, it's still dated per Rove's comments last night.
A good principle to guide me through life: “This is all I have come to expect, standard lackluster performance. Trust nothing, believe no one and realize it will only get worse…”
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Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 18,994
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 18,994 |
Here is my state by state predictions that will be carried by Romney.
N/Hamp.............................4
PENNSYLVANIA.......................20
VIRGINIA...........................13
W/Virginia.........................5
N/Carolina.........................15
S/Carolina.........................9
Georgia............................16
FLORIDA............................29
Kentucky...........................8
Tenn...............................11
Alabama............................9
OHIO...............................18
Indiana............................11
MICHIGAN...........................16
Miss...............................6
WISCONSIN..........................10
IOWA...............................6
Missouri...........................10
Arkansas...........................6
Louisiana..........................8
N/Dakota...........................3
S/Dakota...........................3
Nebraska...........................5
Kansas.............................6
Oklahoma...........................7
Texas..............................38
Montana............................3
Wyoming............................3
COLORADO...........................9
Idaho..............................4
Utah...............................6
Arizona............................11
Alaska.............................3
Romney gets 331 electoral votes and will take the popular vote by roughly 5%.
Michigan is a tie.
Romney is up in Penn.
Wisconsin has a recent history of defeating LIBS by electing a republican governor, defeating a recall, and defeating big unions. Romney is well within the margin of error. Either down by 1 or 2 points or is tied right now.
Romney is up in Virginia.
Romney is up in Florida.
Romney is tied in Iowa.
Romney is up in Colorado.
Nevada will likely go Bammy imo. Romney down by 4 to 6 points there. Too much big union influence in the Vegas area. Nevada won`t be needed imo.
When states are statistically a dead heat and within the margin of error, the majority of undecideds always historically go with the challenger. Especially this time because the economy and jobs are at the top of most everyone`s priority list.
Most lib polling sources oversample demoCRAPS by 7% or more.
Since the first debate, Romney has virtually closed the gap completely with women voters. Was down by 16 points with women. Now is a tie.
Romney is up by at least 9 points with independents.
Romney is up by 10 points overall among men.
Romney is up by about 14 points among white blue collar men.
Romney is up by 16 points in handling the economy better.
More than 60% say that the country is headed in the wrong direction.
No nationwide poll has given Obama more than 47%. Historically and aside from Clinton in `92 who won with 42% of the vote (3 man race), no one has ever gotten elected with only 47% of the vote in a two man race.
According to Rush this morning, Romney up in Ohio by about 7 points among early voters. Dems think that early voting is their BIG ace in the hole?????......NOPE! Not so fast!
Among the swing states and nationwide as well, total demoCRAP voter registration is down 5% VS in `08.
Republican registration is UP!
Mitt-mentum will not be reversed just because Bammy NOW decides to stay in the White House situation room to monitor hurricane Sandy for strictly political reasons.
ROMNEY WINS...........331 electoral votes.
Falls right in line with an analysis done by a firm who has correctly predicted the electoral college count since 1980. They predict a 320 to 340 Romney win. Dick Morris also predicts a bare minimum 300 Romney win.
What he said...
Leo of the Land of Dyr
NRA FOR LIFE
I MISS SARAH
“In Trump We Trust.” Right????
SOMEBODY please tell TRH that Netanyahu NEVER said "Once we squeeze all we can out of the United States, it can dry up and blow away."
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Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 837
Campfire Regular
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Campfire Regular
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 837 |
Romney wins with 272 votes to Obama's 266.
Obama takes all the "usual" D states (California, NY, etc) and he also takes Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Minnesota, and Michigan.
Romney takes what's left, including Ohio, Florida and Nevada. Even if he doesn't take Nevada, it's a 266 to 266 tie and the House will elect Romney as President.
So, in my model, Romney MUST take Ohio AND Florida (unless he gets Pennsylvania, then he only needs to get either of Ohio and Florida). No other state that is "in play" has enough electoral college votes to change the outcome.
Anybody else want to make a prediction? Go for it! 266 to 266 doesn't add up. A tie would be 269 to 269
shhh. be vewy vewy quiet. i'm hunting deer. uhhh uhhh uhhhh.
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Joined: Apr 2008
Posts: 5,087
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Apr 2008
Posts: 5,087 |
Romney will win!! It won't be Reaganesque but it will be a win!
ddj
Many men go fishing all their lives without knowing that it is not fish they are after. - Henry David Thoreau
The best part of hunting and fishing was the thinking about going and the talking about it after you got back. - Robert Ruark
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Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 10,084
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 10,084 |
Romney wins with 272 votes to Obama's 266.
Obama takes all the "usual" D states (California, NY, etc) and he also takes Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Minnesota, and Michigan.
Romney takes what's left, including Ohio, Florida and Nevada. Even if he doesn't take Nevada, it's a 266 to 266 tie and the House will elect Romney as President.
So, in my model, Romney MUST take Ohio AND Florida (unless he gets Pennsylvania, then he only needs to get either of Ohio and Florida). No other state that is "in play" has enough electoral college votes to change the outcome.
Anybody else want to make a prediction? Go for it! Interesting... and If it works out it is good, welcome news How did you figure it out? Snake
That which does not kill us makes us stronger
Friedrich Nietzsche
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Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048 |
Don't care, it's still dated per Rove's comments last night. Yep. I saw that last night too. McRomney scored some more points setting aside (or at least giving the appearance) the campaign trail to work storm relief efforts. People are going to notice that. I don't fall for it 100% but believe he did it from the heart none the less. Looks caring and Presidential. I predict obama will make an effort to copy-cat the gesture attempting (for a change... and for the first time in his career) to look Presidential but more people will recognize it as hollow and based on phony sentiment than do not (the few remaining true believers grasping at the last remaining straws) and it'll work contrary to his expectations and hopes pushing more fence sitters over to McRomney. Nothing particularly remarkable about doing what any POTUS would do given the circumstances. Considering his history, which more people are aware of than ever before, obama's doing it will be the only thing peculiar. You can only fake "Presidential" for so long. Obama is horrible at a lot of things. Acting, while it may have once been a strong point, is now near the top of the list.
BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG!
PERVERTS OFFEND ME!
"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!"
---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress
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Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 46,747
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 46,747 |
You might be right on with that.
Camp is where you make it.
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Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 5,659
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 5,659 |
The people see that Obama is full of it and Romney wins 300+
"Far better it is to dare mighty things, to win glorious triumphs, even though checkered by failure, than to take rank with those poor spirits who neither enjoy much nor suffer much" Teddy Roosevelt
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Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 18,994
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 18,994 |
There have been some big numbers.
George the 1st 426 in 1988
Reagan 525 in 1984
Reagan 489 in 1980
Nixon 520 in 1972
LBJ 486 in 1964
Eisenhower 457 in 1956
Eisenhower 442 in 1952
Roosevelt 432 in 1944
Roosevelt 449 in 1940
Roosevelt 523 in 1936
Roosevelt 472 in 1932
Hoover 444 in 1928
Anybody remember these electoral counts? 1980 Reagan/Bush 489 Carter/Mondale 49 1984 Reagan/Bush 525 Mondale/Ferraro 13
Leo of the Land of Dyr
NRA FOR LIFE
I MISS SARAH
“In Trump We Trust.” Right????
SOMEBODY please tell TRH that Netanyahu NEVER said "Once we squeeze all we can out of the United States, it can dry up and blow away."
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