Originally Posted by mathman
Originally Posted by denton
Range (what shooters call ES) is directly convertible to standard deviation. As stated earlier, estimates at variation based on small samples can quite far off.


I'm not a statistician, but having been a theorem proving mathematician in a prior life I "feel a disturbance in the force" when I see something like that stated without the caveat hypotheses. grin


I could be wrong, but I think denton's statement is correct if we assume a normal distribution. Problem is, that's a poor assumption for this stuff. I've seen plenty of results in shooting that do not fit a normal distribution at all, with all sorts of common causes like mixed headstamp brass, mixed batches of components, etc. Theory like this falls apart when the assumptions don't match reality.

I don't worry about ES too much other than as an indication of inconsistent powder burn at low pressures. Otherwise I go by results on target and fine tune as needed.