The CPC picked up 26 seats this election with Sheer at the helm. A gain that was destined to be, not because of how good or bad the Conservative leadership was, but because voters were angry with Trudeau's Liberals. It was clearly a message from Canadians to the sitting government.

The Conservative gains would have been more, but for the arrival of the PPC. According to the CSSA (TEAM CSSA E-NEWS | OCTOBER 24, 2019), the PPC caused a vote split which cost the Conservatives 7 seats. They should have gained 33. Regardless, the Conservatives now have 26 more MPs, and everyone here would agree this is a positive change.

WRT those gains, we knew that the election would be close. Pundits predicted (correctly) that the Liberals would be punished for not performing, but not thrown out. That seemed to be the case: the polls hardly changed throughout the 40 days of campaigning. This steady state put them neck and neck with the Conservatives. The polls were not indicating a Liberal ouster, but they were down from 2015. In the end, the Liberals got handed a big slice of humble pie. With a minority government, they will have to watch themselves. It has been argued by political scientists that minority governments often turn out better than majority ones. The downside is, they generally don't last long - typically less than two years.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_minority_governments_in_Canada

In another thread in the Canada forum, some posters said that all the polls were skewed, but they were wrong. I believe that the election result was a simple message from Canadians to Justin Trudeau - Smarten the f*ck up!

The next step for the Liberals is to re-think how they will govern. Trudeau's handlers will read him the riot act. Part of the bad news will be that you probably won't be around in two years unless you perform superbly, but that ain't gonna happen.

And the Conservatives? Well, despite the gains in the HoC, Sheer will be held responsible for not winning. It's one of the things about leadership that sucks. Sometimes, even though it isn't your fault, you pay with your head. The Cons will consider replacing him, but it's a bit early yet to know if that will happen.

And the media? Nothing will change. They will continue to misreport much of the news. smile


Safe Shooting!
Steve Redgwell
www.303british.com

Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please. - Mark Twain
Member - Professional Outdoor Media Association of Canada
[Linked Image from i.imgur.com]