I am in southeast Arizona. We have had less than five inches of rain since January 2020. Normal would be 12+. Prickly pear cactus and barrel cactus are dying. Saguaros are looking pretty sick. Heard there are 20 fires burning in Arizona. Interstate 10 was closed yesterday between Benson and Willcox because the walnut fire jumped the freeway. Reservoirs are at record low levels.

Meteorologists are saying there is a good chance this year will be better than last year. They are basing that forecast on the fact that 1929 was the only recorded year that was worse than last year. They aren't saying whether it will be average, above average or below average. Only that it will be better than last year. Pretty safe forecast.