It is all about expectations as several have mentioned... There is no reason to worry about draw odds because nonresidents are both virtually assured of drawing a tag and able to fill in after the drawing closes in many cases.

That said, Kodiak and the AK Penninsula are not going to be cheap dates. The best units with the more established guides can easily set you back close to $20K by the time you put all the stuff together.

And there is little fishing in the spring in most areas.

SE and interior AK where hibernation lasts longer and the feed bag is a bit less rich produces smaller bears. Your money, your call, how much do you want to spend?
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Mark Begich, Joaquin Jackson, and Heller resistance... Three huge reasons to worry about the NRA.