Home Forums Hunting & Shooting Hunter's Campfire Another Fake News Poll -Impeach Trump 52%

Same FAKE NEWS POLLS said Hillary would win in a Landslide.

Published: Oct 15, 2019 4:20 p.m. ET

President Donald Trump has a love/hate relationship with polls, surveys and predictions. He loves the ones that paint him in a positive light, and, of course, he hates all those “fake” ones that don’t.

He’s going to absolutely adore this one.

According to Moody’s Analytics, Trump is headed toward another four years in the White House. And, if the numbers are right, it won’t even be close.

In fact, his Electoral College victory could very well be wider than the 304-227 margin he enjoyed over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.

Since 1980, Moody’s has managed to nail the outcome every time but once — like many, it didn’t see Trump coming.

“In our post-mortem of the 2016 presidential election model,” the report said, “we determined that unexpected turnout patterns were one of the factors that contributed to the model’s first incorrect election prediction.” Here’s Moody’s track record, including a 2016 adjustment for the turnout variable:



Will it return to its winning ways? The team takes into account how consumers feel about their finances, the performance of the stock market SPX, -0.20% and their job prospects. Essentially, today, they’re feeling pretty good.

“Under the current Moody’s Analytics baseline economic outlook, which does not forecast any recession, the 2020 election looks like Trump’s to lose,” the authors wrote. “Democrats can still win if they are able to turn out the vote at record levels, but, under normal turnout conditions, the president is projected to win.”

From the MarketWatch archives (August 2016): To professional economists, Trump isn’t even the second best candidate in the 2016 presidential election

Moody’s uses three models to come up with its forecast. In each case, Trump gets at least 289 Electoral College votes.

The “pocketbook” measure, which focus on how people feel about their money situation, is where Trump shines brightest, grabbing a whopping 351 electoral votes. “If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition,” the report said.

The stock-market model gives him the slightest edge of 289-249, as investors continue to navigate a volatile investing landscape. Then there’s the unemployment model, which leans heavily in his favor at 332-206.

Wow 12344mag, you must have been napping, that took a while to get your incredible brilliant response. I am going to have to get some ice for my black eye, that really hurt soooo bad.

I am not the lying fuqtard here, Drudge Report has it spread out on their liberal website, must be fake news.

Keep runnin' lyin' fuqktard.

Keep runnin' lyin' fuqktard.

I for one hope Trump is impeached, he will become the first Impeached President to be re-elected!

Onward liberal Soldiers.............

Clinton?

The Propaganda Corps is more of a threat to liberty than an invading army.

We are threatened more by our indifference than the most powerful foreign threat.

One thing you are consistent with is the stupid insults, I wish you would stop it is really hurting my feelings........I am kind of sensative. Maybe I will just wilt away so you can't hurt me anymore.

Keep on ignoring that our president is a dump ass idiot , what could go wrong?#forevertrumpers