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Joined: Jan 2016
Posts: 95,889 Likes: 14
Campfire Oracle
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Campfire Oracle
Joined: Jan 2016
Posts: 95,889 Likes: 14 |
I'm all for taking care of one's health and that of others as well, but this Coronavirus issue seems overblown and, as some speculate, a ripe opportunity for overbearing government intrusion. My simple calcs to date seem to indicate that the current death rate in this "epidemic" is about one-half of one percent of the cases result in death. What is your calc? What is the usual death rate from a widespread virus occurrence? Your calcs are well off reality. It is far higher. In the early stages of an epidemic the average victim is in the early stages. As the epidemic builds the death rate will increase. Yep. Probably well over 300, 000 infected and 10,000 dead.
Ecc 10:2
The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but that of a fool to the left.
A Nation which leaves God behind is soon left behind.
"The Lord never asked anyone to be a tax collector, lowyer, or Redskins fan".
I Dindo Nuffin
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Joined: Apr 2001
Posts: 6,273
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Apr 2001
Posts: 6,273 |
Current numbers are 69,186 confirmed cases and 1,669 confirmed deaths.
If this gets going good your odds of survival will be much better if you catch it early before the health care system becomes overwhelmed with serious to critical cases. I’d be utterly shocked if those numbers were anywhere near accurate. Figure they’re off by a factor of 3-5. Perhaps even more.
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Joined: Jan 2016
Posts: 95,889 Likes: 14
Campfire Oracle
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Campfire Oracle
Joined: Jan 2016
Posts: 95,889 Likes: 14 |
Ecc 10:2
The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but that of a fool to the left.
A Nation which leaves God behind is soon left behind.
"The Lord never asked anyone to be a tax collector, lowyer, or Redskins fan".
I Dindo Nuffin
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Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4,127
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4,127 |
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Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 28,411
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 28,411 |
I just hope this bug wipes out the entire North Korea population and solves us a problem. Hmmm. And what goes around can easily come around. Wishing pestilence ain’t too cool.
The degree of my privacy is no business of yours.
What we've learned from history is that we haven't learned from it.
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Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 15,576 Likes: 7
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 15,576 Likes: 7 |
Do viral outbreaks such as this normally kill about 3% of those who contract the virus?
NRA Member - Life, Benefactor, Patron
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 37,949 Likes: 5
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 37,949 Likes: 5 |
"...if the gentlemen of Virginia shall send us a dozen of their sons, we would take great care in their education, instruct them in all we know, and make men of them." Canasatego 1744
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