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The probability of 1 hen is the same as 1 rooster. If either of those happen, regardless of the arrangement, the other 3 are the other sex. Can't see how anyone can argue otherwise, unless I'm missing something.


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Classic.


Progressives are the most open minded, tolerant, and inclusive people on the planet, as long as you agree with everything they say, and do exactly as you're told.
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Originally Posted by JakeBlues
The probability of 1 hen is the same as 1 rooster. If either of those happen, regardless of the arrangement, the other 3 are the other sex. Can't see how anyone can argue otherwise, unless I'm missing something.


That's good for when on a given egg the probability of a rooster is the same as the probability of a hen. If it's not 50/50 then while there are the same number of ways to get one rooster as there are for one hen in four tries, but the probability is skewed.

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50/50 -- they are either hens or roosters -- there are no other choices, unless of course you get some LGBTQ 123 chickens.


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Originally Posted by mathman
Originally Posted by JakeBlues
The probability of 1 hen is the same as 1 rooster. If either of those happen, regardless of the arrangement, the other 3 are the other sex. Can't see how anyone can argue otherwise, unless I'm missing something.

That's good for when on a given egg the probability of a rooster is the same as the probability of a hen. If it's not 50/50 then while there are the same number of ways to get one rooster as there are for one hen in four tries, but the probability is skewed.

For the farm folks here, is the chance of getting a hen or rooster the same? Serious question, I don't know.


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Originally Posted by the_shootist
50/50 -- they are either hens or roosters -- there are no other choices, unless of course you get some LGBTQ 123 chickens.


They're either hens or roosters, true. But the probability that a given egg will produce a rooster may not be 50%.

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I don't know what the accepted single egg probability is.

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I have never heard other than 50/50 odds on chickens.

In some species, semen is selected for gender before artificial insemination. The breeders are very successful selecting for males when breeding cattle for bull farms.


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Originally Posted by persiandog
independent events , this like asking lotto numbers probability based on last week numbers.


What are the events being labeled independent?

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Originally Posted by mathman
Originally Posted by persiandog
independent events , this like asking lotto numbers probability based on last week numbers.


What are the events being labeled independent?


i was wrong , ignore my answer.

Last edited by persiandog; 04/16/21.
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Originally Posted by persiandog
Originally Posted by mathman
Originally Posted by persiandog
independent events , this like asking lotto numbers probability based on last week numbers.


What are the events being labeled independent?


each egg has p=0.5 and it does not affect the outcome of others.


The p=0.5 isn't what makes the eggs independent, though they are.

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What about double yokers?


Originally Posted by mauserand9mm
Originally Posted by mauserand9mm
Originally Posted by Raspy
Whatever you said...everyone knows you are a lying jerk.

That's a bold assertion. Point out where you think I lied.

Well?
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Originally Posted by mathman
Originally Posted by persiandog
Originally Posted by mathman
Originally Posted by persiandog
independent events , this like asking lotto numbers probability based on last week numbers.


What are the events being labeled independent?


each egg has p=0.5 and it does not affect the outcome of others.


The p=0.5 isn't what makes the eggs independent, though they are.


you are right . my answer was wrong.

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Originally Posted by mauserand9mm
Originally Posted by stxhunter
But why did the chicken cross the road?


To avoid all the statistical mathematics I suppose



For some foul reason!!


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Originally Posted by antelope_sniper
Per usual, you're wrong.

As usual, you demonstrate you are a pathetic mentally deranged cyber troll.

Been several decades since I took statistics.

Where is your homework?

Crickets.................


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Originally Posted by ElkSlayer91
Originally Posted by antelope_sniper
Per usual, you're wrong.

As usual, you demonstrate you are a pathetic mentally deranged cyber troll.

Been several decades since I took statistics.

Where is your homework?

Crickets.................


The correct answer had already been provided so I saw no reason to duplicate the work.

I find it interesting how different you response is from that of Persian Dog:

Originally Posted by persiandog
you are right . my answer was wrong.


You didn't use logic or reason to get into this opinion, I cannot use logic or reason to get you out of it.

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For the visual learners....

One egg, two equally possible outcomes.

MF

Two eggs, same two outcomes for the first egg if the other egg is male.... (MM MF) or female.... (FM FF) hence four equally possible outcome

MM MF

FM FF

Three eggs, same four outcomes for the original two eggs if the third egg is a male, and the same four possible outcomes for the original two eggs if the third eggs is a female.... hence eight equally possible outcomes

MMM MMF
MFM MFF

FMM FMF
FFM FFF

Four eggs, same eight possible outcomes for the original three eggs if the fourth egg is a male, same eight possible outcomes for those three eggs if the fourth egg is a female. Hence sixteen equally possible outcomes.

MMMM MMMF
MMFM MMFF
MFMM MFMF
MFFM MFFF

FMMM FMMF
FMFM FMFF
FFMM FFMF
FFFM FFFF

One out of sixteen probability of all male MMMM
(1/16=0.0625. 6.25%).
Same one out of sixteen probability of all females FFFF.

The other combinations yer gonna have to count for yourselves.


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What was the first response?

Originally Posted by BALLISTIK
1/(2x2x2x2) for the odds of all roosters, 1/(2x2x2) for 3 roosters or hens, etc. It's been quite a while since I took a course that covered statistics/probability material, but I think it's right. 1/16 of a chance for all roosters or hens.


You didn't use logic or reason to get into this opinion, I cannot use logic or reason to get you out of it.

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