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Originally Posted by kingston
Did you sell today?

Everything but HBAN. It closed down so probably should have sold just after open, but I am confident they'll be fine.

GB1

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I sold UTWO into the hysteria yesterday and should have bought regional banks, but hadn't done my research. There's really no excuse, I had all weekend... LOL.

I hope you killed it!


Originally Posted by 16penny
If you put Taco Bell sauce in your ramen noodles it tastes just like poverty
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Yesterday's Dead Cat Bounce will be BLOODY today.

Last edited by Sasha_and_Abby; 03/15/23.

"If there are no dogs in Heaven, then when I die, I want to go where they went"
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Originally Posted by Stickfight
Also HBAN but it is stuck down. Odd, since their balance sheet actually looks pretty good and they’ve historically been able to avoid exposure to crashes.
Are you comparing net loans to cash? Their exposure to Treasury securities went from 5 million in 2021 to 103 million in 2022. I've never really looked under the hood in this sector, what would you call a good balance sheet in today's environment?


@jameslavish

If you work 40 hrs/wk: at 5% inflation and after 5 years, you need a 28% pay raise or to work 44 more hours (*one full extra week* per month+) to make up the difference.

This is inflation
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Been trading them last 3 days. No way I would " invest " in any right here, I don't think the old long term, brain dead mantra of " buy and hold " will suit folks well at this juncture. Not in financials, We are in a little bit of a pickle...some dang good money to be made trading though.


Cowardice is the greatest pandemic that has ever affected mankind.
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Originally Posted by erikj
Are you comparing net loans to cash?

I am looking at the below primarily, which just the percentage their hold to maturity securities have fallen. But their loan to deposit ratio is not bad either, and those loans aren't focused on one sector like a lot of the specialty banks are/were.

But of course I bought some SCHW....

[Linked Image from i.ibb.co]

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Look at B of A.

$108.5 Billion loss at market value.

What date are these stats calculated from? Feb.?


Originally Posted by 16penny
If you put Taco Bell sauce in your ramen noodles it tastes just like poverty
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Thanks Stick.
I don’t trade much, but probably time to start looking for deals.


@jameslavish

If you work 40 hrs/wk: at 5% inflation and after 5 years, you need a 28% pay raise or to work 44 more hours (*one full extra week* per month+) to make up the difference.

This is inflation
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Originally Posted by Stickfight
I bought FRC not long after open yesterday and am up over 40%. SCHW also but it is back only 10%.

Also HBAN but it is stuck down. Odd, since their balance sheet actually looks pretty good and they’ve historically been able to avoid exposure to crashes.


yep, its a schitshow now


bought frc at average of 21 the other day. bought some CS this morning at 1.82 big gamble obviously

they'll get bailed out again. Have stop orders in place obviously


energy is starting to look attractive. dly, dsl are a buy I think too

Last edited by ribka; 03/15/23.
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Originally Posted by kingston
What date are these stats calculated from? Feb.?

The end of February is my understanding.

It is good to know but only a partial picture. Schwab, for example, is mostly a brokerage and is definitely in the “too big to fail” category, especially now. And they have ~$100BB in cash.

Huntington is in good shape here, and their deposit base is really diverse.

Both seem well insulated against any run that could reasonably happen.

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I'd love to see what that spreadsheet looks like today.


Originally Posted by 16penny
If you put Taco Bell sauce in your ramen noodles it tastes just like poverty
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Originally Posted by Stickfight
Originally Posted by kingston
What date are these stats calculated from? Feb.?

The end of February is my understanding.

It is good to know but only a partial picture. Schwab, for example, is mostly a brokerage and is definitely in the “too big to fail” category, especially now. And they have ~$100BB in cash.

Huntington is in good shape here, and their deposit base is really diverse.

Both seem well insulated against any run that could reasonably happen.

Regarding SCHW, how much of that has to do with their brokerage business?


Originally Posted by 16penny
If you put Taco Bell sauce in your ramen noodles it tastes just like poverty
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I had JPM and sold it 6 months ago. I had FNCL ( Fidelity Financial ETF) for 3 yrs and sold it a few days ago for a very respectable profit and used the money to buy Associated Bank. Monday morning I sold Ally Capital that I only had 2 months. I was up 30% but took a loss of 8%. I am looking at banks fairly soon. but I wont buy much cause my ETF's have a lot of financials in them.


But the fruits of the spirit is love, joy, peace, patience, kindness, goodness,faithfulness, Gentleness and self control. Against such things there is no law. Galations 5: 22&23
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I sold JPM too early too, but I bought it in May of 2020. I also had bought ALLY around the same time and sold it too early.


Originally Posted by 16penny
If you put Taco Bell sauce in your ramen noodles it tastes just like poverty
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I hope everyone did well today and got a piece of the bank stimulus.


Originally Posted by 16penny
If you put Taco Bell sauce in your ramen noodles it tastes just like poverty
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Fed poised to approve quarter-point rate hike next week, despite market turmoil

The Federal Reserve likely will approve a quarter-percentage-point interest rate increase next week, according to market pricing and many Wall Street experts.

A rate increase would come just over a week after other regulators rolled out an emergency lending facility to halt a crisis of confidence in the banking industry.

“This might be one of those times where there’s a difference between what they should do and what I think they will do. They definitely should not tighten policy,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/17/fed...ke-next-week-despite-market-turmoil.html

As if banks weren't already radioactive.

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Banks aren't radioactive.


Originally Posted by 16penny
If you put Taco Bell sauce in your ramen noodles it tastes just like poverty
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Nope! Why? Stick with the big banks. I heard SVB was 20% in Crypto, not sure if this was true.

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The regionals are where the upside is. SVB was a huge outlier. The big banks would love to turn this into a catalyst for consolidation.

There's lots of noise out there.


Originally Posted by 16penny
If you put Taco Bell sauce in your ramen noodles it tastes just like poverty
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Key Bank is on sale

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