Home Forums Hunting & Shooting Hunter's Campfire Ukraine very heated right now

Kadyrov is going to save the Wagner Orcs in Bakhmut.

Chechens to the rescue

Yellen gathering the financial ministers of the G7 nations this coming week to further tighten and deepen sanctions on Russia.

Would have been unthinkable before the weaponization of the dollar.

I just want to again predict that Russia will take all of the Donbas and all of coastal Ukraine to Moldova. That means Odessa. I will also predict that if NATO keeps up the provocations Russia will take ALL of the Ukraine.

One wonders how a few here can be so wrong for so long but yet still pontificate.

One wonders how a few here can be so wrong for so long but yet still pontificate.

I stand by this prediction 100%
I just want to again predict that Russia will take all of the Donbas and all of coastal Ukraine to Moldova. That means Odessa. I will also predict that if NATO keeps up the provocations Russia will take ALL of the Ukraine.

You need to pay closer attention before you cast aspersion upon others.

I'm not conservative, I'm libertarian. Nor am I "super excited" about "mega transfers of wealth" to Ukraine. I see it's in America's best interest to blunt the expansionary ambitions of an aggressive Russia. A strong, belligerent Russia's is not in the best interest of America, and if we can bleed Russia to the point they crawl back under their rock and no longer pose a conventional threat to the Western world for a few decades, while another country provided the blood, and we provide some of our old equipment, and a few billion dollar, I'll take that deal.

In the process we get a reinvigorated NATO, with the other member nations increasing their military spending going forward.

As for this war, to those of us who spent time in the business, it's no surprise. It was always going to happen. It wasn't a matter of if, but when, how many of the Soviet Era strategic choke points they recapture, and if they stop there or, or are stopped before they recapture all of them, many of which are in NATO held territory.

Russia's an expansionary nation. It always has been.

Since 1945 we've engaged in no less than the 63 following proxy wars against the Russians/Soviets and/or the puppet states, most of which you've probably never heard of, and many you probably can't find on a map. That's ok, men such as myself volunteered and gave a portion of our lives to the study and practice of war wouldn't have to.

Here's the list:

Chinese Civil War
1946 Iranian Crisis
Greek Civil War
First Indochina War, 1946-1954
Paraguayan Civil War
Malayan Emergency
Korean War
Mau Mau Uprising, Kenya
Vietnam War
First Taiwan Strait Crisis 1954-1955
Second Taiwan Crisis 1958
Lebanon Crisis 1958
Nicaragua
El Salvador
Guatemala
Congo Crisis
Eritrean War of Independence 1961-1991
North Yemen Civil War 1962-1970
Dhofar Rebellion 1962-1976
Sarawak Insurgency, Malaya, 1962-1990
Aden Emergency 1963-1967
Dominican Civil War 1965
Chadian Civil War 1965-1979
Communist Insurgency in Thailand 1965-1983
Bolivian Campaign 1966-1967
Korean DMZ Conflict 1966-1969
South African Border War 1966-1990
Years of Lead, Italy, 1968-1982
Communist Insurgency Malaysia 1968-1989
Operation Condor 1968-1989, Chile, Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Paraguay, and Uruguay.
Al-Wadiah War, Yemen and Saudi Arabia, 1969.
Bangladesh War of Liberation, 1971
Yemenite War of 1972
Angolan Civil War 1974-2002
Ethiopian Civil War 1974-1991
Uprising in East Timor, Indonesia, 1975-1999
Shaba 1, Zaire/Congo, 1977
Ogaden War Ethiopia/Somalia, 1977-1978
Cambodian-Vietnamese War, 1977-1991
Mozambican Civil War, 1977-1982
Chittagong Hill Conflict, Bangladesh, 1977-1997
Shaba II, Congo/Zaire 1978
Uganda-Tanzian War 1978-1979
UDF Rebellion, 1978-1982, Yemen
Chadian-Libyan Conflict 1978-1987
Yemenite War 1979
Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, 1979-1989
Ethiopian-Somali Border War, 1982
Thai-Laotian Border War, 1987-1988
Afghan Civil War 1989-1992
Insurgency in Laos, 1975-2008
Georgian Civil War 1991-1993
Yugoslav Wars, 1991-2001
Syrian Civil War in Lebanon 2012-2017

Israeli-Palestinian conflict, 1948 to present
Myanmar conflict, 1948 to present
Iran-Saudi proxy conflict 1979 to present
Abkhaz-Georgian conflict 1989 to present
Georgian-Ossetian conflict, 1989 to present
War in Darfur, 2003 to present
Syrian Civil War 2011 to present
Yemeni Crisis 2011 to present


Russian Invasion of Ukraine, 2014 to present.

If you're observant, you'll notice a wide range of locations across the globe. They include area geographical strategic interest, places with strategic resources, and some very close to home including most of South and Central America.

Now get yourself a map of the world and a Red crayon. Your fingers are probably too big, so have your daughter help you color all the countries above red, and see what that looks like.

Looks at what this means for the sea lanes, Russian navel and shipping access to the oceans, all the places they could refuel, and this would magnify their ability to project power around the globe. Keep in mind, unlike us, Russia doesn't have 10 super carriers they can just park anywhere they like.

Here's a few clues for you:
Korea and access to the Tsushima straight (Do you have ANY clue why that's significant?)

Tiawan and it's location in the First Island Chain (Do you even know what that is, and why it's important?)

Why's Russian interested in Vietnam?

How about Malaysia and Indonesia. Here's a clue, it's not for the cheap guitars they produce.

Italy, Greece?

Ethiopia, Yemen, Eritrea, , and South Africa, and I don't mean for the minerals, do you have any clue why these places are strategically important?

How about South and Central America, should we have let the Russian/Soviets have all of that?

Here's one for you, Georgia and Azerbaijan. I'm not saying it's important to us, but since you know so much about foreign affairs, war, conflict, and keeping America safe, can you at least tell me why it's important to Russia?

Afghanistan. What's the real reason the Russians were in Afghanistan? If you can figure that out, you'll be a step closer to figuring out why the Russians are in Ukraine.

I suspect all of this when right over your head. You'll give some answer about how you don't care about places across the globe because the only strategy you can glean from a map is the one for finding the best deer trails and fishing holes.

Spot on Daveinjax!

The rotation of Wagner may be a ruse but it may also be a normal rotation out. Some people don't seem to realize that Wagner grunts are human. They are fighting a very tough and ruthless enemy...even the toughest fighters can only endure so much until they may become ineffective.

IF they withdraw, they will be replaced not only by Chechens, but also by well trained and rested Russian forces. This against who?

Remember Prigoshin is actually a civilian now and Wagner answers to the Russian high command. Putin has been criticized by his people for not engaging in all out war. The Soviet economy is very stable and their arms production is second to none with R and D of ISR capabilities a priority.

This, of course unless you want to believe the Deep State "Empire of Lies" propaganda media that has been lying to the world for over a year.

The RussiansI just want to again predict that Russia will take all of the Donbas and all of coastal Ukraine to Moldova. That means Odessa. I will also predict that if NATO keeps up the provocations Russia will take ALL of the Ukraine. will prevail some time this Summer. Wait till the "Rasputitsa" dries out!