Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 19, 2023
Key Takeaways:
The Russian government quickly signaled on September 19 that Russian peacekeeping forces would not intervene in Azerbaijan’s military operation into Nagorno-Karabakh, despite Russia’s previous security ties to Armenia. Russian and Ukrainian sources credited superior Ukrainian combat coordination, more precise artillery fire, and stronger electronic warfare (EW) systems for recent Ukrainian advances south of Bakhmut amid continued discussions of significant Russian losses in the area. Russian losses have reportedly significantly increased in western Zaporizhia Oblast in recent days, and the Russian military likely struggles with a lack of available combat effective units that the Russian command is willing to laterally redeploy to this sector of the front. Russian forces conducted a series of Shahed-131/-136 drone and ballistic missile strikes on Ukrainian rear areas on September 19. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu met with Iranian Armed Forces General Staff Chief Major General Mohammad Bagheri in Tehran, Iran on September 19. Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast but did not advance on September 19. Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations in at least two sectors of the front on September 19 and advanced along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line and in western Zaporizhia Oblast. A Latvian company has reportedly been exporting chips and microcircuits to Russian defense industrial base (DIB) companies despite international sanctions designed to prevent Russia from importing such components.
"Russia sucks." ---- Me, US Army (retired) 12B & 51B
Russian Admiral said, after the Moskva sank, "we have the world's worst navy but we aren't as bad as our army".
The New York Times is finally acknowledging that the September 6 deadly impact of a missile in the center of Kostiantynivka was caused by a Ukrainian missile:
The Sept. 6 missile strike on Kostiantynivka in eastern Ukraine was one of the deadliest in the country in months, killing at least 15 civilians and injuring more than 30 others. The weapon’s payload of metal fragments struck a market, piercing windows and walls and wounding some victims beyond recognition.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 20, 2023
Grace Mappes, Nicole Wolkov, Angelica Evans, Kateryna Stepanenko, and Frederick W. Kagan
Key Takeaways:
Ukrainian forces continued offensive actions near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on September 20. Russian servicemen and milbloggers revealed that the Russian military command orders Russian troops to carry out “ill-conceived and unsupported” counterattacks on Bakhmut’s southern flank to urgently regain lost ground. Russian forces conducted another round of Shahed drone strikes against Ukraine overnight on September 19-20. A Russian milblogger outlined Russian reconnaissance groups’ drone operator training and operation tactics in Ukraine. Ukraine’s Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported that unspecified saboteurs damaged Russian strategic aircraft at Chkalovsky airfield near Moscow on September 18. Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov claimed on September 20 that he is in good health amidst continued speculations about his possible illness or death. Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu met with Iranian Chief of the General Staff Mohammad Bagheri in Tehran, Iran to discuss Russian-Iranian military cooperation on September 19, a day after Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi denied Iran’s provision of drones to Russia. Russian President Vladimir Putin emphasized Russian peacekeepers’ humanitarian actions in Nagorno-Karabakh as the Russian information space continues to observe that Russia is losing influence in Armenia. Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove line, near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast but did not make confirmed gains. The Russian Red Cross (RKK) indicated that the Russian full-scale invasion of Ukraine, particularly partial mobilization efforts in autumn 2022, caused a decline in mental health among many Russians. Russian and occupation authorities continue efforts to deport Ukrainian children to Russia and integrate Ukrainian children into Russian culture.
"Russia sucks." ---- Me, US Army (retired) 12B & 51B
Russian Admiral said, after the Moskva sank, "we have the world's worst navy but we aren't as bad as our army".
Sean penn says its worth starting a nuclear war to defend Ukraine democracy. and Americans are cowards for not sending more money and Americans not fighting in Ukraine lmao
Grace Mappes, Nicole Wolkov, Angelica Evans, Kateryna Stepanenko, and Frederick W. Kagan. Great, four broads and a yid.. I'll pass
A good principle to guide me through life: “This is all I have come to expect, standard lackluster performance. Trust nothing, believe no one and realize it will only get worse…”
Poland has bailed on the Ukraine situation. No more support from Poland will be going to Ukraine.
Europe has had enough. Poland is the first to step away from the insanity. Others will follow.
You have a source for this? I want to stick it in somebody's eye..
A good principle to guide me through life: “This is all I have come to expect, standard lackluster performance. Trust nothing, believe no one and realize it will only get worse…”
Remember why, specifically, the Bill of Rights was written...remember its purpose. It was written to limit the power of government over the individual.
There is no believing a liar, even when he speaks the truth.
It appears that some things got ironed out at the UN Security Council meeting.
My opinion, everybody looked at the situation, realized that it was leading to the serious possibility of a nuclear exchange, and decided that it was time to cool the situation down considerably.
Poland had been the most aggressive nation in Europe regarding the Ukraine situation and it sounds like several Security Council members had a discussion with the Polish representatives.
Everybody except the crazies in D.C. are looking for a solution to the mess. It obviously benefits nobody.
It appears that some things got ironed out at the UN Security Council meeting.
My opinion, everybody looked at the situation, realized that it was leading to the serious possibility of a nuclear exchange, and decided that it was time to cool the situation down considerably.
Poland had been the most aggressive nation in Europe regarding the Ukraine situation and it sounds like several Security Council members had a discussion with the Polish representatives.
Everybody except the crazies in D.C. are looking for a solution to the mess. It obviously benefits nobody.
The fact is that it’s becoming increasingly clear that some of the worst, most extreme predictions on Ukrainian losses could in fact be true. This extends to things like POW captures, for instance with yesterday’s new report that already 3,500 AFU soldiers had surrendered since the launch of Russia’s new project to have a special “surrender frequency” on all radio channels where Ukrainians can dial in and safely surrender to Russian forces:
Since the launch of the Volga project, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine are invited to go to the frequency of 149.200 for surrender, just over 3,500 enemy soldiers and officers have voluntarily surrendered. In fact, a whole brigade of "counter-offensive".
The problem is, this project is only a few months old. That means 3,500 have surrendered just since July or so when I believe it was launched. That would explain the sudden uptick to 18k total POWs, as the new radio channel made it very convenient for AFU to surrender safely—which had classically been one of the main barriers preventing their surrender. They feared by going out into an open field, etc., they would be shot by jumpy snipers or anyone not seeing their makeshift white flag.
The American tranny pedo drag queen and Ukro nazi spokesman suspended for death threats against American journalists posting the truth about the Ukraine war
80 Percent Of Russians Consider Their Country To Be ‘Great’ As Putin Begs North Korea For Weapons
By Alexander Motyl Published1 day ago
Just as Russia’s erstwhile strongman Vladimir Putin met with North Korea’s great leader with cup in hand, the Levada Center, a respectable Moscow-based polling organization, revealed that 80 percent of Russians consider their country to be “great.”
The irony should be painful.
Putin goes begging to one of the world’s least great countries, thereby demonstrating that Russia is anything but great, while Russians remain persuaded that Mother Russia exudes greatness.
It’s actually worse than that.
Back in 2016, only 64 percent thought Russia was great. And in 2002, three years after Putin ascended the Kremlin’s throne, the figure stood at 43 percent.
Any minimally objective person capable of withstanding the allure of Putin’s crumbling personality cult would recognize that his misrule has succeeded in transforming Russia from the status of a great power to the status of a geopolitical lightweight, an economic beggar, and an international rogue. If those qualities make a country great, then all the more power to Mother Russia.
But note that perceptions of greatness almost doubled from the time Putin seized power in 1999 to today. This suggests that Russians identify Russia with Putin and, therefore, view their country as great only because they still continue to view Putin in a positive light.
And that, in turn, is ultimately testimony to the power of Putin’s propaganda machine and the continued influence of his ragged personality cult.
In a recent Telegram posting, the rabid propagandist Margarita Simonian referred to Putin as her Nachalnik (NB the upper case), a Russian word that translates best as boss. She should have referred to him as President, so calling him Boss reveals that her attitude toward Putin is not one of institutional respect, but of adulatory subservience. As the Levada poll indicates, Simonyan isn’t the only Russian with “Putin envy.”
Hence, even though Putin has pushed his country over a cliff and is likely to bring about chaos, civil war, and collapse, Russians blithely continue to ignore the writing on the wall and fixate on their Bossman.
There is a silver lining in this sad tale. Contrary to his expectations, Putin is not eternal, and some Russian analysts predict his physical and political demise by the end of the year. Whenever that event transpires, the end of Putin will leave his Russian fans with a political vacuum at the core of their political lives. It’s possible, given Russian political culture’s authoritarian bent, that they’ll fixate their adoration on some other man.
But it’s also possible that their love of greatness and their identification of great Russia with Putin will also open opportunities for change. When their Bossman goes, who knows? Russians might even consider growing up and abandoning their infantile infatuation with “great” father figures.
Nice write-up. Very accurate. The Russians for centuries have always : had a strong-man in charge harassed and subjugated their neighbors does not look like anything has changed it's a place to flee, like so many have done
LMAO! Sock puppets congratulating each other
Yep it would be funny, if they weren’t so pathetic!
Each one a traitor to your country.
And blatantly cowards.
Slaves get what they need. Free men get what they want.
The American tranny pedo drag queen and Ukro nazi spokesman suspended for death threats against American journalists posting the truth about the Ukraine war
