Home Forums Hunting & Shooting Hunter's Campfire Ukraine’s “Counter-Offensive” Major Belly Flop

Russian forces have ceased ground operations in their attempt to take Adviivka due to heavy troop losses and have since relied on aerial attacks.

Reuters, Forbes

You’re a waste of Bin’s bandwidth. Congratulations?! Now you can look up more tax records and employers.

The stupid bastard wails again.

Thank you for letting everyone know you’re guilty of that nonsense. Turn the internet off.

You first, dumb bastard.

Oh gosh....don't call our bosses Toot!

Need a safe space, Dicky? LMAO

Why is this thread still on the main page? Who gives a fùck about Ukraine.

I am concerned about our borrowed money going to Ukraine.

you go tooty girl!!!

We have no say in it and won't see it again. Let this stupid thread die off.

Dicky wants to deliver the news to you three times a news cycle with a glittered di lido. Aka Houston 2 aka Old Toot. LOL

Putler has to buy artillery shells from, wait a minute........North Korea, the land of the peasants who eat grass and tree bark or even dirt. i mean it, really...google it.


https://thediplomat.com/2022/09/why-would-russia-buy-north-korean-weapons/

Why Would Russia Buy North Korean Weapons?
Pyongyang reportedly intends to sell millions of rockets and artillery shells to Moscow.

By Hyung-Jin Kim and Kim Tong-Hyung
September 08, 2022

North Korea is apparently moving to sell millions of rockets and artillery shells — many of them likely from its old stock — to its Cold War ally Russia.

Russia has called a U.S. intelligence report on the purchasing plan “fake.” But U.S. officials say it shows Russia’s desperation with the war in Ukraine and that Moscow could buy additional military hardware from North Korea.

The ammunitions North Korea reportedly intends to sell to Moscow are likely copies of Soviet-era weapons that can fit Russian launchers. But there are still questions over the quality of the supplies and how much they could actually help the Russian military.

Slapped by international sanctions and export controls, Russia in August bought Iranian-made drones that U.S. officials said had technical problems. For Russia, North Korea is likely another good option for its ammunitions supply, because the North keeps a significant stockpile of shells, many of them copies of Soviet-era ones.

North Korea “may represent the single biggest source of compatible legacy artillery ammunition outside of Russia, including domestic production facilities to further supplies,” said Joseph Dempsey, research associate for defense and military analysis at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS).

Lee Illwoo, an expert with the Korea Defense Network in South Korea, said both North and South Korea — split along the world’s most heavily fortified border for more than 70 years — keep tens of millions of artillery shells each. North Korea will likely sell older shells that it wants to replace with newer ones for multiple rocket launch systems or sophisticated missiles in its front-line army bases, he said.

North Korea’s greater reliance on nuclear weapons and guided missiles may also remove the need for many of its older, unguided artillery shells that once played a prominent role, said Ankit Panda, an expert with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

But Bruce Bennett, a senior security expert at the California-based Rand Corporation, said most of the artillery rounds to be sent to Russia are likely to be ammunition for small arms, such as AK-47 rifles or machine guns.

“It’s not millions of artillery shells and rockets – that’s more than the likely consumption. It could be millions of small arms rounds,” Bennett said.

According to an IISS assessment, North Korea has an estimated 20,000 artillery pieces including multiple rocket launchers in service, a number that Dempsey described as “significantly more than any other country in the world.”

North Korea’s state media have called its artillery guns “the first arm of the People’s Army and the most powerful arm in the world” that can reduce enemy position into “a sea of flames.”

But its old artillery systems, whose ammunitions will likely be supplied to Russia, have a reputation for poor accuracy.

During North Korea’s artillery bombardment of South Korea’s front-line Yeonpyeong Island in 2010 that killed four people, Bennett said that only 80 of the 300-400 weapons North Korea should have fired likely hit their target. In his assessment, Lee said about half of the North Korean shells launched ended up falling into waters before reaching the island.

“That is miserable artillery performance. The Russians may experience the same thing, which will not make them very happy,” Bennett said.

Observers doubt the usefulness of North Korean ammunition for the Russian campaign in Ukraine, which they say has depleted the military. There have been photos of barrel-busted Russian guns on social media.

It’s unclear how serious Russian shortage of ammunitions is. In July, a senior U.S. defense official told reporters that Russia was launching tens of thousands artillery rounds each day and couldn’t keep it up forever.

“While substantial stockpiles likely still exist, they may be increasingly infringing on those reserved for the contingency of a wider future conflict,” Dempsey said.

It’s unlikely North Korea would provide Russia with ballistic missiles that it views as crucial in its military strategies toward Washington and Seoul, said Yang Uk, an analyst at Seoul’s Asan Institute for Policy Studies.

And if North Korea decides to supply missiles to Russia, it would need to send their launch platforms as well because Russia doesn’t have launchers for the North’s Scuds and other missiles. North Korea has developed a highly maneuverable, nuclear-cable ballistic missile that was likely modeled on Russia’s Iskander. But the two missiles are of different sizes, according to Shin Jongwoo, a military expert at the Seoul-based Korea Defense and Security Forum,

There would be a number of items that North Korea could provide to Russia, given that the two countries share weapons systems going back to Soviet times. But the type of ammunitions North Korea would provide to Russia “are likely to be old and somewhere close to expiring,” said Moon Seong Mook, an analyst at South Korea’s Korea Research Institute for National Strategy.

In return for weapons, North Korea will likely want food, fuel, and other materials from Russia because the North finds it difficult to buy such goods from abroad under U.N. sanctions imposed over its nuclear program.

Panda said North Korea is likely benefiting in the form of cash transfers from Russia, or perhaps greater Russian leniency in not enforcing other sanctions on Pyongyang, including the transfer of materials necessary for the growth of North Korea’s missile programs.

According to Bennett, North Korea would be willing to be compensated with fuel. For its more advanced arms, it could seek advanced weapons technologies from Russia, possibly including those it needs for its expected nuclear test, the first of its kind in five years, he said.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates


Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 25, 2023

click here to read the full report

Riley Bailey, Angelica Evans, Nicole Wolkov, Karolina Hird, and Frederick W. Kagan


Key Takeaways:

Ukrainian forces marginally advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast and continued offensive operations near Bakhmut on October 25.
Russian forces conducted offensive operations near Avdiivka on October 25 and made a confirmed advance.
Russian sources claimed on October 25 that Ukrainian forces resumed larger-than-usual ground operations on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast and maintain positions in several areas on the east bank. Only a handful of Russian sources are currently claiming that Ukrainian forces have resumed larger-than-usual ground operations on the east bank, however.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky noted that Ukrainian forces are preparing for a fall-winter Russian strike campaign against Ukraine after another series of Russian drone strikes on the night of October 24 to 25.
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu visited an Eastern Grouping of Forces command post in the south Donetsk direction (Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area) on October 25.
The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) confirmed that Lieutenant General Andrei Kuzmenko is the Russian Eastern Grouping of Forces Commander on October 25, likely also confirming Kuzmenko’s position as Eastern Military District (EMD) commander.
The Kremlin’s support for ultranationalist Russian Orthodox religion and ideology appears to be complicating Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov’s ability to balance appealing to his Chechen Muslim constituencies with keeping the Kremlin’s favor.
Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove line, near Bakhmut, southwest of Donetsk City, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia but did not make confirmed advances.
Russian National Security Council Deputy Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev claimed that nearly 385,000 people have entered service with the Russian armed forces between January 1 and October 25, 2023.
Russian occupation authorities continue to use medical infrastructure to justify the deportation of Ukrainian children to Russia and to further consolidate control of occupied areas of Ukraine.

tdoyka: Have you noticed the steady rise of the Russian Ruble lately? It is 93.65 to the dollar this morning and gaining. In comparison the Jap Yen is 150.36 to the dollar and down this morning. Does this equate to good news for Russia? May be just bad news for the U.S. and Japan.

Over a year ago the Ruble was at 139 to the dollar, so it has made a serious recovery.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 26, 2023

Riley Bailey, Christina Harward, Grace Mappes, Nicole Wolkov, Ashka Jhaveri, Annika Ganzeveld, and Frederick W. Kagan


Key Takeaways:

Heavy Russian equipment losses around Avdiivka will likely undermine Russian offensive capabilities over the long term.
Ukrainian forces marginally advanced on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast and continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
Ukrainian officials denied reports that Ukraine suspended a corridor for civilian vessels in the Black Sea on October 26.
An amendment to the Russian citizenship law allowing for the revocation of naturalized Russian citizenship came into force on October 26, providing the Russian government with a new mechanism to coerce migrants into Russian military service.
A senior Hamas delegation traveled to Moscow and met with Russian and Iranian officials on October 26.
Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, southwest of Donetsk City, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and advanced in some areas.
Several Russian opposition outlets reported that Russian defense industrial base (DIB) companies continue to use Western components supplied through intermediaries to manufacture missiles to use against Ukraine.
Russian occupation authorities continue efforts to forcibly indoctrinate Ukrainian youth into Russian culture and identity through the expansion of military-patriotic educational programs.

Ukrainians want some more Russkie steel.

https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html

Russia - 12819, of which: destroyed: 8875, damaged: 549, abandoned: 495, captured: 2900


Tanks (2461, of which destroyed: 1589, damaged: 137, abandoned: 158, captured: 550)
Russkies say it is best tank in the world:

34 T-90A: (1, destroyed) (2, destroyed) (3, destroyed) (4, destroyed) (5, destroyed) (6, destroyed) (7, destroyed) (8, destroyed) (9, abandoned and later destroyed) (10, destroyed) (11, destroyed) (12, destroyed) (13, destroyed) (14, destroyed) (15, destroyed) (16, destroyed) (17, destroyed) (18, destroyed) (19, destroyed) (20, destroyed) (21, destroyed) (1, damaged) (1, abandoned) (2, damaged and abandoned) (1, captured) (2, captured) (3, captured) (4, captured) (5, captured) (6, captured) (7, captured) (8, captured) (9 and 10, captured)

1 T-90AK: (1, captured)

7 T-90S: (1, destroyed) (2, destroyed) (3 and 4, destroyed) (5, destroyed) (1, damaged and abandoned) (1, captured)

46 T-90M: (1, destroyed) (2, destroyed) (3, destroyed) (4, destroyed) (5, destroyed) (6, destroyed) (7, destroyed) (8, destroyed) (9, destroyed) (10, destroyed) (11, destroyed) (12, destroyed) (13, destroyed) (14, destroyed) (15, destroyed) (16, destroyed) (17, destroyed) (18, destroyed) (19, destroyed) (20, destroyed) (21, destroyed) (22, destroyed) (23, destroyed) (24, destroyed) (25, destroyed) (26, destroyed) (27, destroyed) (28, destroyed) (1, damaged) (2, damaged) (3, damaged) (4, damaged) (5, damaged) (6, damaged) (7, damaged) (1, damaged and abandoned) (2, damaged and abandoned) (3, damaged and abandoned) (4 and 5, damaged and abandoned) (6, damaged and abandoned) (7, damaged and abandoned) (8, damaged and abandoned) (1, captured) (2, captured) (3, captured)

Armoured Fighting Vehicles (1015, of which destroyed: 677, damaged: 29, abandoned: 40, captured: 269)
Infantry Fighting Vehicles (2942, of which destroyed: 2056, damaged: 112, abandoned: 158, captured: 616)
Armoured Personnel Carriers (367, of which destroyed: 246, damaged: 11, abandoned: 18, captured: 92)
Command Posts And Communications Stations (254, of which destroyed: 166, damaged: 2, abandoned: 2, captured: 84)
Engineering Vehicles And Equipment (354, of which destroyed: 177, damaged: 10, abandoned: 42, captured: 125)
Towed Artillery (328, of which destroyed: 188, damaged: 34, abandoned: 5, captured: 101)
Self-Propelled Artillery (580, of which destroyed: 434, damaged: 32, abandoned: 7, captured: 107)
Multiple Rocket Launchers (298, of which destroyed: 222, damaged: 21, abandoned: 2, captured: 53)
Surface-To-Air Missile Systems (174, of which destroyed: 121, damaged: 25, abandoned: 4, captured: 24)
Aircraft (93, of which destroyed: 85, damaged: 8)
Helicopters (132, of which destroyed: 102, damaged: 28, captured: 2)
Naval Ships and Submarines (16, of which destroyed: 11, damaged: 5)



https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html


Ukraine - 4651, of which: destroyed: 3167, damaged: 351, abandoned: 173, captured: 962

Tanks (679, of which destroyed: 448, damaged: 55, abandoned: 34, captured: 142)
Armoured Fighting Vehicles (333, of which destroyed: 236, damaged: 9, abandoned: 8, captured: 80)
Infantry Fighting Vehicles (782, of which destroyed: 558, damaged: 48, abandoned: 59, captured: 116)
Armoured Personnel Carriers (359, of which destroyed: 218, damaged: 25, abandoned: 23, captured: 93)
Engineering VehTowed Artillery (165, of which destroyed: 93, damaged: 52, abandoned: 2, captured: 18)icles And Equipment (92, of which destroyed: 52, damaged: 10, abandoned: 5, captured: 25)
Self-Propelled Artillery (234, of which destroyed: 163, damaged: 48, captured: 23)
Multiple Rocket Launchers (50, of which destroyed: 32, damaged: 9, captured: 9)
Surface-To-Air Missile Systems (129, of which destroyed: 108, damaged: 14, abandoned: 1, captured: 6)
Aircraft (77, of which destroyed: 75, damaged: 1, captured: 1)
Helicopters (37, of which destroyed: 33, damaged: 1, captured: 3)
Naval Ships (27, of which destroyed: 9, damaged: 1, captured: 17)


and Ukrainians are stopping Russians with the US 1990s tech.

Russia has nearly encircled Avdeevka, utilizing the pincer strategy from Artemovsk (fka Bahkmut) that resulted in the deaths tens of thousands of cuckraine troops that were trapped and could only withdraw through the area left open by Russia.

Cuckraine general Zaluzhny advised Gaylensky not to repeat the strategy of Artemovsk at Avdeevka.

So far, Gaylensky has ignored this advice, and sent more troops to the slaughter, while he negotiates.

Russian commanders are executing soldiers not taking orders and refusing to fight. Defectors to the Ukraine have said as many as 85 have been executed.

Commanders have said that any troops retreating would all be executed.

Institute for The Study of War, WSJ

Cuckraine army refuses to evacuate their wounded until nightfall, due to heavy losses in trying to move them during the day.

Soldiers wounded in the morning have a 90% casualty rate.