Home Forums Hunting & Shooting Hunter's Campfire The unofficial Electoral vote thread

I know there are varying opinions on the EC, but who has the moxy to call this one:

Alabama (9)
Alaska (3)
Arizona (11)
Arkansas (6)
California (55)
Colorado (9)
Connecticut (7)
Delaware (3)
Dist. of Columbia (3)
Florida (29)
Georgia (16)
Hawaii (4)
Idaho (4)
Illinois (20)
Indiana (11)
Iowa (6)
Kansas (6)
Kentucky (8)
Louisiana (8)
Maine (1), District 1
Maine (1), District 2
Maine (2), popular vote
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (11)
Michigan (16)
Minnesota (10)
Mississippi (6)
Missouri (10)
Montana (3)
N. Carolina (15)
Nebraska, popular vote (2)
Nebraska, 1st District (1)
Nebraska, 2nd District (1)
Nebraska, 3rd District (1)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
New Jersey (14)
New Mexico (5)
New York (29)
North Dakota (3)
Ohio (18)
Oklahoma (7)
Oregon (7)
Pennsylvania (20)
Rhode Island (4)
South Carolina (9)
South Dakota (3)
Tennessee (11)
Texas (38)
Utah (6)
Vermont (3)
Virginia (13)
Washington (12)
West Virginia (5)
Wisconsin (10)
Wyoming (3)

Way too close to call at the moment.

Just looking at the Real Clear Politics map what concerns me are the "solid" and "likely" electoral map numbers.

Alabama (9).......... R
Alaska (3)............R
Arizona (11)..........R
Arkansas (6)..........R
California (55).......O
Colorado (9)..........R
Connecticut (7).......O
Delaware (3)..........O
Dist. of Columbia (3).O
Florida (29)..........R
Georgia (16)..........R
Hawaii (4)............O
Idaho (4).............R
Illinois (20).........O
Indiana (11)..........R
Iowa (6)..............R
Kansas (6)............R
Kentucky (8)..........R
Louisiana (8).........R
Maine (1), District 1.O
Maine (1), District 2 O
Maine (2), popular vote.O
Maryland (10)..........O
Massachusetts (11).....O
Michigan (16)..........O
Minnesota (10).........O
Mississippi (6)........R
Missouri (10)..........R
Montana (3)............R
N. Carolina (15).......R
Nebraska, popular vote (2)R
Nebraska, 1st District (1)R
Nebraska, 2nd District (1)R
Nebraska, 3rd District (1)R
Nevada (6)...............R
New Hampshire (4)........O
New Jersey (14)..........O
New Mexico (5)...........O
New York (29)............O
North Dakota (3).........O
Ohio (18)................R
Oklahoma (7).............R
Oregon (7)...............R
Pennsylvania (20)........O
Rhode Island (4).........O
South Carolina (9).......R
South Dakota (3).........R
Tennessee (11)...........R
Texas (38)...............R
Utah (6).................R
Vermont (3)..............O
Virginia (13)............R.. VA turn it around!
Washington (12)..........R
West Virginia (5)........R
Wisconsin (10)...........O
Wyoming (3)..............R
_________________________
Thats my stab at it ..

Obama drops 64 Electoral votes in 15 Days.

RealClearPolitics Electoral Map:

September 30:
Obama 265
Romney 191
Difference was 74

October 14:
Obama 201
Romney 191
Difference is now 10

RealClearPolitics Electoral Map:

September 30:
Obama 265
Romney 191
Difference was 74

October 14:
Obama 201
Romney 191
Difference is now 10

October 18:
Obama 201
Romney 206
Toss up 131
Difference is now 5 and for the first time in favor of Romney

Seems to me it all comes down to Ohio. If Romney loses Ohio does he still have a chance?

This is my first call:

Alabama (9) *Romney*
Alaska (3) *Romney*
Arizona (11) *Romney*
Arkansas (6) *Romney*
California (55) *Obama*
Colorado (9) *Romney*
Connecticut (7) *Obama*
Delaware (3) *Obama*
Dist. of Columbia (3) *Obama*
Florida (29) *Romney*
Georgia (16) *Romney*
Hawaii (4) *Romney*
Idaho (4) *Romney*
Illinois (20) *Obama*
Indiana (11) *Romney*
Iowa (6) *Romney*
Kansas (6) *Romney*
Kentucky (8) *Romney*
Louisiana (8) *Romney*
Maine (1), District 1 *Obama*
Maine (1), District 2 *Obama*
Maine (2), popular vote *Obama*
Maryland (10) *Obama*
Massachusetts (11) *Obama*
Michigan (16) *Obama*
Minnesota (10) *Obama*
Mississippi (6) *Romney*
Missouri (10) *Romney*
Montana (3) *Romney*
N. Carolina (15) *Romney*
Nebraska, popular vote (2) *Romney*
Nebraska, 1st District (1) *Romney*
Nebraska, 2nd District (1) *Romney*
Nebraska, 3rd District (1) *Romney*
Nevada (6) *Obama*
New Hampshire (4) *Obama*
New Jersey (14) *Obama*
New Mexico (5) *Obama*
New York (29) *Obama*
North Dakota (3) *Romney*
Ohio (18) *Obama*
Oklahoma (7) *Romney*
Oregon (7) *Obama*
Pennsylvania (20) *Obama*
Rhode Island (4) *Obama*
South Carolina (9) *Romney*
South Dakota (3) *Romney*
Tennessee (11) *Romney*
Texas (38) *Romney*
Utah (6) *Romney*
Vermont (3) *Obama*
Virginia (13) *Romney*
Washington (12) *Obama*
West Virginia (5) *Romney*
Wisconsin (10) *Obama*
Wyoming (3)

Obama 275
Romney 263

Yes, if he wins Iowa, Wisconsin and Colorado then he doesn't have to win Ohio. But if he wins Ohio he's just about a lock to win it.

Would certainly make things easier, but if Mitt picks up Wisconsin, Florida, Colorado, Virgina, and Iowa. Obama can take Ohio and Mitt still wins.

Newest electoral map prediction shows Romney now ahead of Obama.

E-Map

Romney will take 335 electorial votes.

But, they also show Obama leading in 8 of the 10 tossup states. But the one bright spot to their methods is they average the polls. But Rasmussen even has a slight electoral advantage to Obama at this point. But most of the polls we are getting are still contain mostly pre-debtate #2 surveys. Maybe Romney's momentum will increase once we start seeing that info.

damn shame it might come down to Ohio, we know which way that liberal state will lean.