24hourcampfire.com
24hourcampfire.com
-->
Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
Hop To
Page 3 of 5 1 2 3 4 5
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 119
F
Campfire Member
Offline
Campfire Member
F
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 119
Originally Posted by RISJR
Isn't that where that dumbschit GOP throw away ballot criminal case is pending. How stupid could that Pa kid be,anyways? Rockingham was 70% for McCain in '08!


yes it is and he was no "kid" .. he lied about his age, name and just anything else he could... I figure him for a plant.. Did it in broad daylight in a business dumpster..

GB1

Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1,153
G
Campfire Regular
Offline
Campfire Regular
G
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1,153
Originally Posted by EthanEdwards
The Redskins factor predicts a Romney win. It's 94% accurate starting with 1940. The two Colorado profs who are accurate with their model back to 1980, predict a Romney win. That one is 100% accurate.
Remember the thing about that Colorado model is they were retroactively accurate, from what I can find it has only recently came about and hasn't been used since 1980, they just applied to model to past elections, but everyone can tell you its pretty easy to predict the past... But you do have the Redskins losing, but at the same time another sports political predictor is the LSU/Alabama game, when LSU wins the republican wins, and when Alabama wins the democrat wins. It current streak dates back to 1984. But don't despair yet Romney won the Halloween masks predictor! It has been accurate since Reagan/Carter.

Last edited by garyh9900; 11/05/12.

NRA Benefactor Member
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 62,043
I
Campfire Kahuna
Offline
Campfire Kahuna
I
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 62,043
Thank goodness Moran's son in Alexandria evened the "dumbasses" playing field. Plant seems plausible. It really makes no sense for it to have happened in Rockingham.

Beautiful county by the way.


The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.
William Arthur Ward




Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 54,284
Campfire Kahuna
Offline
Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 54,284
Originally Posted by garyh9900
Originally Posted by EthanEdwards
The Redskins factor predicts a Romney win. It's 94% accurate starting with 1940. The two Colorado profs who are accurate with their model back to 1980, predict a Romney win. That one is 100% accurate.
Remember the thing about that Colorado model is they were retroactively accurate, from what I can find it has only recently came about and hasn't been used since 1980, they just applied to model to past elections, but everyone can tell you its pretty easy to predict the past... But you do have the Redskins losing, but at the same time another sports political predictor is the LSU/Alabama game, when LSU wins the republican wins, and when Alabama wins the democrat wins. It current streak dates back to 1984. But don't despair yet Romney won the Halloween masks predictor! It has been accurate since Reagan/Carter.
Their predictions have been in play since 1996.

Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 12,541
Likes: 1
R
Campfire Outfitter
Offline
Campfire Outfitter
R
Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 12,541
Likes: 1
I did my own scientific poll just a while ago.

I took a giant, humongous mega-dump, and after three flushes, there were still some turds hanging around the bowl.

Therefore, I conclude that Obama loses, barely, but hangs around filing lawsuit after lawsuit after lawsuit, until the courts cave in and give it to him.



No, I'm not at all happy about it, but the data is unquestionable.


You can roll a turd in peanuts, dip it in chocolate, and it still ain't no damn Baby Ruth.
IC B2

Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048
Campfire Ranger
Offline
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048
LMAO!

laugh

Originally Posted by cmg
[Linked Image]




BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG!
PERVERTS OFFEND ME!

"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!"
---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress

Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 5,720
Campfire Tracker
Offline
Campfire Tracker
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 5,720
Originally Posted by Steve_NO
Rove is still being over cautious....NC and AZ have been solid R for weeks, Obama has pulled out his ads, but Rove still shows them only leaning R.

it will either be Obama by a gnat's ass or R in an electoral wipeout. I'm betting the latter.


NC will go Mitt,only Raleigh and Charlotte will go Obambam, that's where the pluckin suc-azz libs are homing up... It's funny,that on my street, there 6 "RR" signs and only one OB's out front. Plus I live next door to the biggest Demo in NC,former Clinton hand jerk(Bowles),who has nothing out front!!


Come on America,
Athletes and actors are not heroes, only soldiers, airmen,marines and sailors get that respect�and let's add firemen and LEO's




Joined: May 2003
Posts: 48,411
Campfire 'Bwana
Offline
Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 48,411
had lunch with (among others) a guy who is a classic southern liberal, dad was an Epsicopal bishop in KY, always the only democrat in the room. he's a stockbroker and you can imagine there ain't many democrats at Smith Barney around the coffee room.

we always bet lunches on elections, usually at Galatoire's, and this guy makes a ton of eletion bets. he ate free for about a month after Obama won last time, but this time when I said "usual bet?" he wanted to make it a different, and much less expensive restaurant. I think he's figured out he's going to lose a bunch of bets and is trying to limit his losses now. good sign.


Proudly representing oil companies, defense contractors, and firearms manufacturers since 1980. Because merchants of death need lawyers, too.
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 3,936
Likes: 1
Campfire Tracker
Offline
Campfire Tracker
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 3,936
Likes: 1
Originally Posted by JohnMoses
Nice map. Makes it easy to see where all the dumbasses live.

Republican voters are busy working and are intelligent enough to not answer phone calls from telemarketers.

Libtards on the other hand, are thrilled if anyone calls.


If you saw the map by county, then you would see the real picture. Republicans, or more conservative people tend to reside in rural America, and Democrats tend to dwell in the larger cities in America. Most rural areas in Ca, and that is most of the geograpical state, vote Republican, the problem is the bay area, coastal areas, and So Cal that vote Democratic, and they have the popular vote. ie Sacramento, heavily govt jobs area, votes democratic.

Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 24,239
Campfire Ranger
Offline
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 24,239
This is shaping up like a "title fight",you don't dethrone a champ with a decision............. you gotta knock him out.

Romney has to win by a big margin in the "swing states" or the chicago thugs will outlawyer him.


Never holler whoa or look back in a tight place
IC B3

Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 16,365
Likes: 12
A
add Offline
Campfire Ranger
Offline
Campfire Ranger
A
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 16,365
Likes: 12
So how does one look at this map (by a Republican strategist/compiler) and place good money against the current occupant?



Epstein didn't kill himself.

"Play Cinnamon Girl you Sonuvabitch!"

Biden didn't win the election.
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 7,634
N
Campfire Outfitter
Offline
Campfire Outfitter
N
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 7,634
How about this Poll?

http://www.examiner.com/article/an-updated-look-at-the-2012-electoral-college-map-with-polls-16

Quote
The last Electoral College projection gave Obama 303 votes, compared to 235 votes for Mitt Romney. Today's update includes 19 new state polls released over the last over the last 72 hours, but the overall projection has not changed. President Obama is still projected to win re-election with a 303-235 Electoral College vote majority.

Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 7,634
N
Campfire Outfitter
Offline
Campfire Outfitter
N
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 7,634
Prediction Time: Obama Survives


A
Quote
s of this writing, my colleague Nate Silver�s election forecast has President Obama�s odds of re-election at 86 percent. The details of his famous forecasting method may be proprietary, but the argument, at this point, is straightforward:


http://douthat.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/05/prediction-time-obama-survives/


Quote
To pull the election out, Romney needs to win several states where the polls show him basically tied with the president (or even slightly behind, in some of the latest Virginia polling) and then win a state or two from a list (Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada, longer shots like Pennsylvania) where the polling has never really shown him doing anything but trailing. This is possible but unlikely; it has grown more unlikely with every passing day;



Gooooooood Night Mitt!

Last edited by northwestalaska; 11/05/12.
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 24,239
Campfire Ranger
Offline
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 24,239
Originally Posted by northwestalaska
How about this Poll?

http://www.examiner.com/article/an-updated-look-at-the-2012-electoral-college-map-with-polls-16

Quote
The last Electoral College projection gave Obama 303 votes, compared to 235 votes for Mitt Romney. Today's update includes 19 new state polls released over the last over the last 72 hours, but the overall projection has not changed. President Obama is still projected to win re-election with a 303-235 Electoral College vote majority.


You left out this part of the article:




"The projection above is made using the most recent polls linked below, while also giving consideration to the historical trends of each state, other polls released over the last two weeks, and any historical bias of any pollster. Special emphasis is given to how the state voted in 2008."

Maybe they forgot we had an election in 2010.


Never holler whoa or look back in a tight place
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 48,411
Campfire 'Bwana
Offline
Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 48,411
add, raisuli and nwa have to lie even about left wing polls.


you can kiss Ohio goodbye, along with WIS, and probably PA. Nevada looks like it's gone, but you can never underestimate the SEIU thugs from the casinos...they might pull it out.

NC and FLA left town weeks ago. VA will go red, as will NH. Obama's toast, and if you were a poker player you'd see the tells on Axelrod and that stupid broad Cutter's faces.

the problem with living inside the MSNBC circle jerk bubble is that the rest of the world doesn't.....and it's sooooo heartbreaking to learn that when the results come in.

BTW....did they lock up Wasserman Schultz for the duration to shut up her idiocies? she hasn't been seen in public for a while now.


Proudly representing oil companies, defense contractors, and firearms manufacturers since 1980. Because merchants of death need lawyers, too.
Joined: Aug 2003
Posts: 39,411
Likes: 66
Campfire 'Bwana
Offline
Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Aug 2003
Posts: 39,411
Likes: 66
Still not seeing Mitt winning WI.


Me



Joined: Aug 2003
Posts: 39,411
Likes: 66
Campfire 'Bwana
Offline
Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Aug 2003
Posts: 39,411
Likes: 66
Originally Posted by Steve_NO


BTW....did they lock up Wasserman Schultz for the duration to shut up her idiocies? she hasn't been seen in public for a while now.


Didn't you hear? Disney bought the Star Wars franchise - Jar Jar Binks is now mothballed.


Me



Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 33,856
E
Campfire 'Bwana
Offline
Campfire 'Bwana
E
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 33,856
add, rai, and nwa think it would be good for the seiu room cleaners to make more than drs. It would serve us right for being drs. They are too stupid to realize no one would want to be drs as evidenced by the fact there are already projected to be a shortage of well over a 100,000 in just a few years just due to the problems looming from zerocare now. It hasn't hurt them yet so they don't care.


The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time by the blood of patriots and tyrants.

If being stupid allows me to believe in Him, I'd wish to be a retard. Eisenhower and G Washington should be good company.
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 15,654
O
Campfire Ranger
Offline
Campfire Ranger
O
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 15,654
They do not realize that posting a piece of paper on a warm body does not a good Dr. make. There are only so many good Dr. candidates out there and they are smart enough to read the tea leaves.


https://postimg.cc/xXjW1cqx/81efa4c5

[Linked Image from i.postimg.cc]

Soli Deo Gloria

democrats ARE the plague.

Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 16,365
Likes: 12
A
add Offline
Campfire Ranger
Offline
Campfire Ranger
A
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 16,365
Likes: 12
Originally Posted by add
So how does one look at this map (by a Republican strategist/compiler) and place good money against the current occupant?


Originally Posted by Steve_NO
add, raisuli and nwa have to lie even about left wing polls.
the problem with living inside the MSNBC circle jerk bubble is that the rest of the world doesn't.....and it's sooooo heartbreaking to learn that when the results come in.


Just whoa there now critical thinker.

Rove's map shows a 184 to 180 lead for Obama in the definite category.

Add in his 47 to 26 in leaning to numbers.

That makes it 231 to 206.

Of the 8 states Rove figures as toss-ups, Romney leads in only 1 (FL).
And it is by a single percentage point.

What am I missing here (and perhaps I am) in interpreting ROVE'S map ?

You would bet money against the incumbent based on this data from Bush's Brain?


Epstein didn't kill himself.

"Play Cinnamon Girl you Sonuvabitch!"

Biden didn't win the election.
Page 3 of 5 1 2 3 4 5

Moderated by  RickBin 

Link Copied to Clipboard
AX24



280 members (10ring1, 426crown, 222ND, 12344mag, 270wsmnutt, 44mc, 24 invisible), 2,674 guests, and 1,065 robots.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Forum Statistics
Forums81
Topics1,194,647
Posts18,533,769
Members74,041
Most Online11,491
Jul 7th, 2023


 


Fish & Game Departments | Solunar Tables | Mission Statement | Privacy Policy | Contact Us | DMCA
Hunting | Fishing | Camping | Backpacking | Reloading | Campfire Forums | Gear Shop
Copyright © 2000-2024 24hourcampfire.com, Inc. All Rights Reserved.



Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 7.7.5
(Release build 20201027)
Responsive Width:

PHP: 7.3.33 Page Time: 0.138s Queries: 55 (0.042s) Memory: 0.9156 MB (Peak: 1.0345 MB) Data Comp: Zlib Server Time: 2024-05-24 11:04:36 UTC
Valid HTML 5 and Valid CSS