Any man who'd bet anything on what comes next is a fool.

Iran hit the Saudi oil facilities from long distance. Iran targeted very specific locations within those facilities. The last I heard they hit everything they targeted with startling accuracy. Not a single missile launched was stopped without hitting it's target. That makes it a pretty safe bet for them that they can hit whatever target they might choose and probably do a good job of it when they deliver a missile. That they are taking the time to think this through is not reassuring. Allah welcomes martyrs and they do not seem to be short of volunteers. We on the other hand have constraints on what we will not likely do unless under existential duress. Even were they to retaliate with a nuclear weapon, it is not a guarantee that we would return the favor. Nor if Trump ordered a nuclear response is there a guarantee that it would be fully implemented or at all short of an existential threat.

What Iran has in it's pocket from Pakistan and North Korea is unknown. What we do know is that Saudi strike taught us we had underestimated them.