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Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048 |
Okay. 2 Quick questions. I don't post much anymore but still read, family is more important so I.... well you know... anyway young Arherhunter is now 12 and he received a new dart gun for Christmas. It's a 6 shooter wheel gun. He spun the wheel with one dart and pointed it at his head. I started laughing and said "1 in 6 chance". He pulled the trigger, then yelled "ouch!!" That thing shoots pretty hard for a toy. I hear his little sis yell and the dog yelp so I already know. Not to mention what he's done to his Ma with it, lol. I laughed and asked what's the odds of doing it again? "I dunno dad. But here it goes!" "He spins the wheel, pulls back the hammer, and shoots himself in the head a second time. Now I'm really laughing. So guess what he does next? Yep, you guessed it. He Spun again but this time pointed it at me and pulledd the trigger. Third time in a row first chamber had the dart. And that damned thing has some cabin pressure. Anyway, my questions are (because my math skills are limited) what is the odds of hitting a 1 in 6 chance 3 times in a row? And, should I have AH Jr go buy a lottery ticket?
BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG! PERVERTS OFFEND ME!
"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!" ---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress
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Joined: Feb 2018
Posts: 10,143 Likes: 4
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Feb 2018
Posts: 10,143 Likes: 4 |
Well.....before I did any math, I'd take the toy gun away before somebody gets shot in the eye.
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Joined: Jun 2004
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Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Jun 2004
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Joined: Mar 2013
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Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 27,091 |
Balance of the wheel is stopping where dart is lined up. Not odds, gravity and toy design.
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Joined: Jan 2002
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Campfire Regular
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Campfire Regular
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,704 |
Sounds like a father/son dumbass team....
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Joined: May 2004
Posts: 1,647
Campfire Regular
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Campfire Regular
Joined: May 2004
Posts: 1,647 |
I heard that 5 out of 6 people consider russian roulette to be perfectly safe.
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Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048 |
Well.....before I did any math, I'd take the toy gun away before somebody gets shot in the eye. Fear not. He and Archerhuntress Jr are well trained. We’re safe and so is the dog..... Well, except for its butt Thanks Mathman. I figured you’d be looking in. I’m not sure how but I got 256. Oh well. Thanks.
BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG! PERVERTS OFFEND ME!
"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!" ---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress
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Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048 |
Sounds like a father/son dumbass team.... It’s good to see you again, too, Jim. God bless you and yours and good hunting.
BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG! PERVERTS OFFEND ME!
"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!" ---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress
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Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048 |
Last edited by Archerhunter; 01/03/20. Reason: I double clutched
BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG! PERVERTS OFFEND ME!
"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!" ---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress
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Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 44,856 Likes: 3
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 44,856 Likes: 3 |
Well.....before I did any math, I'd take the toy gun away before somebody gets shot in the eye. Fear not. He and Archerhuntress Jr are well trained. We’re safe and so is the dog..... Well, except for its butt Thanks Mathman. I figured you’d be looking in. I’m not sure how but I got 256. Oh well. Thanks. 1/6 * 1/6 *1/6 = 1/216 Multiplication principle with the chances being independent.
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Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048 |
Got it, MM. Thanks again. I knew I could count on you. Get it? Count??? I know, I’m a lousy punster.
BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG! PERVERTS OFFEND ME!
"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!" ---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress
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Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,704
Campfire Regular
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Campfire Regular
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,704 |
Sounds like a father/son dumbass team.... It’s good to see you again, too, Jim. God bless you and yours and good hunting. It's good to hear that you can still see! Happy hunting to you!
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 69,390 Likes: 4
Campfire Kahuna
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Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 69,390 Likes: 4 |
The odds are very low, almost too low to be coincidence. I'm guessing that the way the cylinder is spun is the same each time, putting the loaded one at the top.
“In a time of deceit telling the truth is a revolutionary act.” ― George Orwell
It's not over when you lose. It's over when you quit.
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Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 28,082 Likes: 2
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 28,082 Likes: 2 |
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Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 28,082 Likes: 2
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 28,082 Likes: 2 |
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Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 32,130 Likes: 1
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 32,130 Likes: 1 |
Next Christmas he needs a copy of The Deer Hunter (1978).
If you put Taco Bell sauce in your ramen noodles it tastes just like poverty
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Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048
Campfire Ranger
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OP
Campfire Ranger
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 17,048 |
Next Christmas he needs a copy of The Deer Hunter (1978).
I thought of that, too. Sorry for the delayed response. Been busy and don't often check in on this here campfire. Christmas is now past. The answer is nope. He's not ready for that. Instead I got him "Primal Dreams". The Wensel twins. That right there is a hunting adventure worth watching... again and again and again. That's what it's all about.
BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG! PERVERTS OFFEND ME!
"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!" ---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress
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Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 54,284
Campfire Kahuna
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Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 54,284 |
Next Christmas he needs a copy of The Deer Hunter (1978).
I thought of that, too. Sorry for the delayed response. Been busy and don't often check in on this here campfire. Christmas is now past. The answer is nope. He's not ready for that. Instead I got him "Primal Dreams". The Wensel twins. That right there is a hunting adventure worth watching... again and again and again. That's what it's all about. Howdy AH. Glad you are with us again. I watched a movie called "Desolate" the other day. Not bad. SPOILERS In one scene, a Meth-Head is spouting off about The Deer Hunter and re-enacts the scene. Woops!
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 50,634
Campfire Kahuna
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Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 50,634 |
Pure math answer which "proves" within two orders of magnitude two other factors are at work...
Mark Begich, Joaquin Jackson, and Heller resistance... Three huge reasons to worry about the NRA.
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 50,634
Campfire Kahuna
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Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 50,634 |
Well.....before I did any math, I'd take the toy gun away before somebody gets shot in the eye. +1
Mark Begich, Joaquin Jackson, and Heller resistance... Three huge reasons to worry about the NRA.
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