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Joined: Dec 2007
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Okay. 2 Quick questions.

I don't post much anymore but still read, family is more important so I.... well you know...
anyway young Arherhunter is now 12 and he received a new dart gun for Christmas. It's a 6 shooter wheel gun.

He spun the wheel with one dart and pointed it at his head. I started laughing and said "1 in 6 chance".

He pulled the trigger, then yelled "ouch!!"

That thing shoots pretty hard for a toy. I hear his little sis yell and the dog yelp so I already know. Not to mention what he's done to his Ma with it, lol.

I laughed and asked what's the odds of doing it again?
"I dunno dad. But here it goes!"

"He spins the wheel, pulls back the hammer, and shoots himself in the head a second time.
Now I'm really laughing.

So guess what he does next?
Yep, you guessed it. He Spun again but this time pointed it at me and pulledd the trigger.

Third time in a row first chamber had the dart.
And that damned thing has some cabin pressure.

Anyway, my questions are (because my math skills are limited) what is the odds of hitting a 1 in 6 chance 3 times in a row?
And, should I have AH Jr go buy a lottery ticket?
smile


BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG!
PERVERTS OFFEND ME!

"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!"
---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress


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Well.....before I did any math, I'd take the toy gun away before somebody gets shot in the eye.

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1/216

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Balance of the wheel is stopping where dart is lined up. Not odds, gravity and toy design.

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Sounds like a father/son dumbass team....

IC B2

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I heard that 5 out of 6 people consider russian roulette to be perfectly safe.

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Originally Posted by reivertom
Well.....before I did any math, I'd take the toy gun away before somebody gets shot in the eye.


Fear not. He and Archerhuntress Jr are well trained.
We’re safe and so is the dog.....
Well, except for its butt smile

Thanks Mathman.
I figured you’d be looking in.
I’m not sure how but I got 256.
Oh well.
Thanks.


BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG!
PERVERTS OFFEND ME!

"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!"
---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress

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Originally Posted by JimH
Sounds like a father/son dumbass team....


It’s good to see you again, too, Jim.
God bless you and yours and good hunting.


BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG!
PERVERTS OFFEND ME!

"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!"
---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress

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Last edited by Archerhunter; 01/03/20. Reason: I double clutched

BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG!
PERVERTS OFFEND ME!

"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!"
---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress

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Originally Posted by Archerhunter
Originally Posted by reivertom
Well.....before I did any math, I'd take the toy gun away before somebody gets shot in the eye.


Fear not. He and Archerhuntress Jr are well trained.
We’re safe and so is the dog.....
Well, except for its butt smile

Thanks Mathman.
I figured you’d be looking in.
I’m not sure how but I got 256.
Oh well.
Thanks.



1/6 * 1/6 *1/6 = 1/216

Multiplication principle with the chances being independent.

IC B3

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Got it, MM.
Thanks again.
I knew I could count on you.

Get it?
Count???

I know, I’m a lousy punster.
smile


BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG!
PERVERTS OFFEND ME!

"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!"
---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress

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Originally Posted by Archerhunter
Originally Posted by JimH
Sounds like a father/son dumbass team....


It’s good to see you again, too, Jim.
God bless you and yours and good hunting.

It's good to hear that you can still see! Happy hunting to you!

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The odds are very low, almost too low to be coincidence. I'm guessing that the way the cylinder is spun is the same each time, putting the loaded one at the top.


“In a time of deceit telling the truth is a revolutionary act.”
― George Orwell

It's not over when you lose. It's over when you quit.
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Originally Posted by mathman
1/216

This


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Happy new year


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Next Christmas he needs a copy of The Deer Hunter (1978).


Originally Posted by 16penny
If you put Taco Bell sauce in your ramen noodles it tastes just like poverty
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Originally Posted by kingston
Next Christmas he needs a copy of The Deer Hunter (1978).



I thought of that, too.
Sorry for the delayed response. Been busy and don't often check in on this here campfire.

Christmas is now past.

The answer is nope. He's not ready for that.
Instead I got him "Primal Dreams".
The Wensel twins.
That right there is a hunting adventure worth watching... again and again and again.
That's what it's all about.


BAN THE RAINBOW FLAG!
PERVERTS OFFEND ME!

"When is penguin season, daddy? I wanna go kill a penguin!"
---- 4 yr old Archerhuntress

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Originally Posted by Archerhunter
Originally Posted by kingston
Next Christmas he needs a copy of The Deer Hunter (1978).



I thought of that, too.
Sorry for the delayed response. Been busy and don't often check in on this here campfire.

Christmas is now past.

The answer is nope. He's not ready for that.
Instead I got him "Primal Dreams".
The Wensel twins.
That right there is a hunting adventure worth watching... again and again and again.
That's what it's all about.


Howdy AH. Glad you are with us again.

I watched a movie called "Desolate" the other day. Not bad. SPOILERS In one scene, a Meth-Head is spouting off about The Deer Hunter and re-enacts the scene. Woops!

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Originally Posted by mathman
1/216

Pure math answer which "proves" within two orders of magnitude two other factors are at work...


Mark Begich, Joaquin Jackson, and Heller resistance... Three huge reasons to worry about the NRA.
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Originally Posted by reivertom
Well.....before I did any math, I'd take the toy gun away before somebody gets shot in the eye.

+1


Mark Begich, Joaquin Jackson, and Heller resistance... Three huge reasons to worry about the NRA.
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