Home Forums Hunting & Shooting Hunter's Campfire Do You Believe This ? Fauci Warns 100-200K Americans Could Die!

Well, don't know how it will pan out, but there is this...

Spanish flu from January 1918 to December 1920, it infected 500 million people—about one third of the world's population at the time.
Number of deaths: 50,000,000.
Deaths in US: 675,000.

Numbers from the Spanish Flu are hard to judge. They have ben revised by such simple things as counting grave stones. Estimates only, between 50 and 100 million. BTW the 675,000 are more than all the wars of the 20th century.

Trump believes it and he's better informed than I am.

This. ^
We'll be very lucky to be between 100,000-200,000.

Wasting your time with many of these flat earthers. They will think differently if someone they love succumbs to this scourge. I hope that doesn't happen for any of us.

............Watching the press conference today and the explanations of the graphs. The lines are going way up for NYC and Jersey (BAD NEWS) while the lines for the other 48 states are beginning to somewhat level out because of the reduction of cases......The 100K to 240K total USA deaths are based on up to date data, but does not mean that there will be that many deaths.

Italy now shows that they have past over the top of the curve and are on the downhill. So that is good news from Italy.

The hot spots gotta get over the top of the curve.

Not the whole population will get it. Estimates are 20-70% of 330mm. Take the median of 45% and that's 148.5mm. Assuming a 1% morltality, you're looking at 1.48mm dead. 100K-200K is us doing our part to social distance, wash our hands, and our outstanding medical care. People need to pay the fuuck attention. DJT just said the next couple weeks are going to be tough. Follow his order. Hunker down.

Chilnstructor: I think 600,000 (six hundred thousand) Americans died in the last "pandemic"?
So this one may be that bad if strong measures aren't taken/found!
Hope not.
Hold into the wind
VarmintGuy

Hydroxychloroquine.

President Trump's tax return be off by $.50, ministry o' propaganda'd be all over it like flies on Leroy Beans.

Clinton ass licker "Dr." Falsie and the other doc, whose husband works for the Clintons, and who herself formerly worked for the Clinton Foundation, come out, and says 100-200k, nobody blinks an eye.

Falsie won't reveal the methodology used to calculate his numbers, and "warns" everbody that he could "so easily be wrong and mislead people.”

Italy's over, and had less deaths than last year.

Washington State's over. Remember? Washington? Where everbody was gonna die a month age? Cept, dammit, they didn't.

Only thing growin exponentially in the US, is liberal stupidity about the cold virus.

% numbers are all over the place, from 5.6% Italy to .6% South Korea . Since even South Korea hasn't tested enough to get true number, it's hard to say. That .6% is 6X the average flu. The death toll will be over the whole event, likely 18 months.

The percentage that will get the covid is 60-80% based on the R factor. At that point there will be herd immunity. Most data suggests 60%. Certainly some areas will be closer to 80% due to high initial rate. Social distancing will be 60% At least that is what they teach in college because viral transmission in species is well studied.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herd_immunity

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_and_territories_by_median_age

That is supposed to lessen the illness. You won't get 100% as sick only 70% as sick. What if all it takes is 60% as sick to kill you? You're dead, that's what.

In Montucky we're peaking April 30!


https://www.breitbart.com/politics/...the-coronavirus-will-peak-in-each-state/




The United States, as a whole, is roughly two weeks away from reaching the peak of the coronavirus pandemic, but the peaks for individual states will vary, with most occurring over the next four weeks, according to projections from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME).

When it comes to the arrival of the coronavirus, not all states are facing the same timeline. Some states, like New York and Louisiana, have quickly become epicenters of the virus in the United States and, as a result, will reach a resource peak weeks sooner than states like Kentucky and Missouri, which are not expected to reach their highest demand until the second week of May. The various projections, based on peak hospital resource demand caused by the virus, could explain why some governors are taking more aggressive, imminent actions in their response to the pandemic.

Here are the projected peaks for all 50 states, plus D.C., per the IHME model. The model takes into consideration the number of beds needed, as well as ventilators.

New York, for example, is expected to hit its resource peak April 9. The current model, at the time of this publication, estimates a bed shortage of 60,610 and 9,055 ventilators needed. A state like Kentucky, however, is not expected to reach its peak until May 12. It shows the state having a surplus of beds and 288 ventilators needed.

Here is the resource peak for each state. Resource details can be found here:

Vermont: April 9
New York: April 9
New Jersey: April 9
Michigan: April 10
Connecticut: April 10
Louisiana: April 10
Idaho: April 12
Massachusetts: April 14
Iowa: April 15
Pennsylvania: April 15
Illinois: April 16
Oklahoma: April 17
Indiana: April 17
Colorado: April 17
Washington, DC: April 18
Rhode Island: April 19
Ohio: April 19
Delaware: April 20
Alabama: April 20
Arkansas: April 20
Nevada: April 20
Minnesota: April 21
Georgia: April 22
Mississippi: April 22
North Carolina: April 22
Arizona: April 24
South Carolina: April 24
Washington: April 24
Maine: April 25
Tennessee: April 26
California: April 26
Wisconsin: April 26
Utah: April 27
Kansas: April 28
New Hampshire: April 30
New Mexico: April 30
Alaska: April 30
Hawaii: April 30
Nebraska: April 30
Montana: April 30
West Virginia: May 1
North Dakota: May 1
South Dakota: May 1
Wyoming: May 1
Texas: May 2
Oregon: May 3
Florida: May 3
Missouri: May 11
Kentucky: May 12
Maryland: May 14
Virginia: May 17

The model shows April 14 as the peak for the United States as a whole. However, it notes that the projections are contingent on the continuation of “strong social distancing measures and other protective measures.”

President Trump officially extended the “Slow the Spread” coronavirus guidelines to April 30 during a press conference over the weekend.

“Nothing would be worse than declaring victory before the victory is won, that would be the greatest loss of all,” Trump, who had remained optimistic on reopening the economy on Easter, said during the press conference in the Rose Garden.

“The better you do the faster this whole nightmare will end, therefore we will extend our guidelines to April 30 to slow the spread,” he continued, predicting that the country will be “well on our way to recovering” by June 1.

I just got done working a 48 and covid is far from done in Washington. You’re a moron.

Can only go by the bullshit statistics provided.

And even by those, WA has "peaked", and it's over

Can't have it both ways.

Cute, excellent changing of my post. I actually am seeing the reality and you are in moms basement....you’re a moron.

Your bullshit story don't outweigh the "statistics".

Youre right, my story is bullshit..just like how covid is the same as the cold and all your other genius conclusions about the situation. You’ve cracked the case....moron.

It's a battle of whits and fairly one-sided....

You should consult canada lefty before ya post.

He's got much more on the ball than you.

Makes a good spokesman for all the covtards on the fire, actually.

But, you're wastin your time here.

Be nationwide.

Go argue with the guy from Seattle who was just on the Tucker Carlson show, and said it was over in Washington State.