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Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1,556 Likes: 1
Campfire Regular
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OP
Campfire Regular
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1,556 Likes: 1 |
NBC (of all places) has a pretty easy to navigate, by state, early voting and mail in ballot section on their website. Numbers are per D, R, and independent ballots.
Joe's big lead per early voting ain't there. DJT is killing him in TX and GA, even including mail in ballots that are still out there. Biden has a slight edge in FL at the moment, which we all know will disappear Tuesday (even the polls are now calling it a "tossup"), Trump has a solid 2% lead in MI, and an 8% lead in WI. Biden has a 5% lead in NC, but 31% of the ballots there are "other" (independent voter).
The numbers show Trump currently getting killed in PA early voting, but 7 strong Trump counties say they are not releasing any results until election day. If he wins, everything he won in 2016, he doesn't need PA anyway. Early voting seems low, at only around 50% of 2016 numbers, but that's with 7 counties withholding their info.
D ballots lead R ballots by 15% in MN, but 23% of the ballots are Independent. Again, early voting seems pretty week vs. other "swing" states at only 56% of the 2016 vote. No counties are withholding their info that I could find.
D's are only showing a 3% lead in NV, with 25% Independent ballots.
There are two anomolies, KY and IA, they don't look good for Trump right now, but NO ONE is looking for Biden to actually take them.
News outlets and polls appear to be "managing expectations", though NONE OF THEM are talking about the actual early vote results, instead sticking to various "polls".
I get that I'm trying to read the future in chicken bones, but where is the blue wave in MI, WI, NC, GA, FL, and TX? Or the rest of the country for that matter?
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 69,559 Likes: 26
Campfire Kahuna
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Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 69,559 Likes: 26 |
Do any states have any independents or 3d parties on the ballot who are strong enough to get their EC votes? Idaho has 5 independent and 3d party candidates but all of them together won't pull a fraction of the major party votes.
“In a time of deceit telling the truth is a revolutionary act.” ― George Orwell
It's not over when you lose. It's over when you quit.
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Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 46,296 Likes: 6
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 46,296 Likes: 6 |
Trump voters like me haven't even voted yet, i'll hit it on election day.
Trump Won!
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Joined: Jul 2018
Posts: 10,691
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Jul 2018
Posts: 10,691 |
Trump voters like me haven't even voted yet, i'll hit it on election day. Hope you're right and we see a massive last minute tsunami.
Progressives are the most open minded, tolerant, and inclusive people on the planet, as long as you agree with everything they say, and do exactly as you're told.
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Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 6,412
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 6,412 |
A local paper (California) was touting a "Biden landslide" for California. It was boasting of a 58% popular vote for old Joe calling it the fifth largest landslide in California.
58%. That's all?
I hope our democrat one party system is crapping itself.
Me solum relinquatis
Molon Labe
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Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1,556 Likes: 1
Campfire Regular
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OP
Campfire Regular
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1,556 Likes: 1 |
I assumed the “other” ballots were undeclared. They could vote for either Trump or Biden or Libertarian/Green or whoever.
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Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 46,296 Likes: 6
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 46,296 Likes: 6 |
Trump voters like me haven't even voted yet, i'll hit it on election day. Hope you're right and we see a massive last minute tsunami. Yep, the 'last' November surprise the commies are going to get!
Trump Won!
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Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 23,694 Likes: 3
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 23,694 Likes: 3 |
Trump voters like me haven't even voted yet, i'll hit it on election day. Nobody I know has voted early except my daughter Saturday because she’ll be at school tues. , and her and everyone I know will be voting for Trump except two idiots on the job. Subcontractors that will never work for me again after I heard that.
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Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1,556 Likes: 1
Campfire Regular
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OP
Campfire Regular
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1,556 Likes: 1 |
Wife and I voted Tuesday. Trump will win TN by 2 more votes....
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Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 46,296 Likes: 6
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 46,296 Likes: 6 |
Trump voters like me haven't even voted yet, i'll hit it on election day. Nobody I know has voted early except my daughter Saturday because she’ll be at school tues. , and her and everyone I know will be voting for Trump except two idiots on the job. Subcontractors that will never work for me again after I heard that. Yup, Wife and me are not setting ourselves up for fraud!
Trump Won!
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Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 19,293 Likes: 7
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 19,293 Likes: 7 |
Trump voters like me haven't even voted yet, i'll hit it on election day. There are literally 10's of thousand voters just like you. Folks who do not want their vote stolen or tampered with. They (you) are sending a message to the dark forces who will steal and cheat their way to the top that you won't be messed with. Thumbs up. kwg
For liberals and anarchists, power and control is opium, selling envy is the fastest and easiest way to get it. TRR. American conservative. Never trust a white liberal. Malcom X Current NRA member.
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Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 7,369 Likes: 3
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 7,369 Likes: 3 |
I wouldn't assume all registered D voters are voting for Biden and I wouldn't assume all registered R voters are voting for Trump.
Remember why, specifically, the Bill of Rights was written...remember its purpose. It was written to limit the power of government over the individual.
There is no believing a liar, even when he speaks the truth.
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Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 46,296 Likes: 6
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 46,296 Likes: 6 |
^^^^^^^^^^^^^Thank You Sir^^^^^^^^^^^^^^it remains our pleasure.
Trump Won!
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Joined: Dec 2015
Posts: 8,346 Likes: 2
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Dec 2015
Posts: 8,346 Likes: 2 |
my family is all voting RED here in Minnesota we are just taxpaying working Christians people in the country ,what will happen is Biden will win Minnesota in the twin cities,2 counties only because of the huge population of welfare,somalis, other people of color who don`t pay taxes or work,queers and foolish liberals . these are the people that burned down part of the cities with the help of mayor Frey and governor Walzo, both true blue worthless lie`n idiot liberals.
LIFE NRA , we vote Red up here, Norseman
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Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1,556 Likes: 1
Campfire Regular
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OP
Campfire Regular
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1,556 Likes: 1 |
I wouldn't assume all registered D voters are voting for Biden and I wouldn't assume all registered R voters are voting for Trump. True. I also wondered if a lot of the “other” ballots in NC didn’t have something to do with the senate race. Like I said, I’m trying to read chicken bones, but there sure isn’t anything obvious for Biden.......
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Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 54,284
Campfire Kahuna
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Campfire Kahuna
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 54,284 |
my family is all voting RED here in Minnesota we are just taxpaying working Christians people in the country ,what will happen is Biden will win Minnesota in the twin cities,2 counties only because of the huge population of welfare,somalis, other people of color who don`t pay taxes or work,queers and foolish liberals . these are the people that burned down part of the cities with the help of mayor Frey and governor Walzo, both true blue worthless lie`n idiot liberals. Thank you.
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Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 4,728
Campfire Tracker
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Campfire Tracker
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 4,728 |
There ahould be NO early counting. Close the polls, count everything, then give results.
It discourages voting if you think your vote is in vain or is just frosting on the cake. And how many votes have to be manufactured to " find".
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Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 23,694 Likes: 3
Campfire Ranger
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Campfire Ranger
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 23,694 Likes: 3 |
Trump voters like me haven't even voted yet, i'll hit it on election day. Nobody I know has voted early except my daughter Saturday because she’ll be at school tues. , and her and everyone I know will be voting for Trump except two idiots on the job. Subcontractors that will never work for me again after I heard that. Yup, Wife and me are not setting ourselves up for fraud! Talked to a guy a week ago said that anyone that voted early should go to the poll Tuesday and see what happens. Be interesting to see.
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Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 44,836 Likes: 28
Campfire 'Bwana
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Campfire 'Bwana
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 44,836 Likes: 28 |
Trump voters like me haven't even voted yet, i'll hit it on election day. That's good to know, gunner. I voted the 2nd day of early voting here. Back on Oct 20th.
Slaves get what they need. Free men get what they want. Rehabilitation is way overrated. Orwell wasn't wrong. GOA member disappointed NRA member 24HCF SEARCH
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Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 11,834 Likes: 3
Campfire Outfitter
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Campfire Outfitter
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 11,834 Likes: 3 |
my family is all voting RED here in Minnesota we are just taxpaying working Christians people in the country ,what will happen is Biden will win Minnesota in the twin cities,2 counties only because of the huge population of welfare,somalis, other people of color who don`t pay taxes or work,queers and foolish liberals . these are the people that burned down part of the cities with the help of mayor Frey and governor Walzo, both true blue worthless lie`n idiot liberals. Ditto
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