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There are new rules for the game in 2012 and Sarah Palin has already got them figured out. If she is the point guard-she wins.

First off-about the 2012 electoral votes-the coming redistricting will be a big factor and the Tea Party will have their way with it.
With less gerrymandered districts, quite a few of the Republicans who narrowly lost in November are looking good for 2012.

Winning Ohio was big. Illinois, New Mexico, Virginia, Wisconsin�no longer Obama country.
Obama states like California�New York�are also losing population and electoral votes.
Things are looking good for 2012.

Wait-it gets even better�almost everyone that will vote in the 2012 GOP primaries will be making their judgments about the contenders based on what they seeing on FOX news.
According to Dick Morris�in 2010-50% of Republican voters-41% of Independents-21% of Democrats watched FOX news/opinion shows at least 3 times a week.

The folks in the first caucus in Iowa and the first primary in New Hampshire who will narrow the GOP field down to just 2 or 3 contenders are the same folks watching Fox news.
Along with the rest of us they will see and judge all the candidates vetted on Fox News.

More than ever before-we will get a better look at the whole bunch-learn their core values-their vision for the country-how they handle themselves under pressure and answer questions.
We will all-not just the first two small states-pick the GOP winners by how they do on the FOX prime time news/opinion shows.

Of course, Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin have a head start as they have been working for FOX and will have to resign when they throw their hats into the ring.
And Gomer Pyle already thinks Sarah may well run away with the nomination.
Mike is smarter than he looks.

That leaves the rest of the field-many of which are RINOs.
Tea Party don�t need no stinkin� RINOs.
And NOBODY gets the GOP nomination without the Tea Party.

That leaves the non RINOs-mostly younger-newer faces that will be coming on strong and making a big impact-but maybe not in the next few months before the field of contenders is set�

That leaves one more problem-all those negatives-all that baggage that they all carry.
Whomever gets the top spot will have everything including the kitchen sink tossed at them by we-all-know-who.

But wait-when they reach back to grab the sink to toss at Palin-it ain�t there!
Already been tossed and it bounced off.
And Obama people ain�t saying much about �quitters� in Alaska or the US Senate.
They be letting the far Right do that for them.

As for the inevitable new incoming crap-Sarah has got that part figured out too-in these next two years-let the folks see for themselves who you really are.
Just like her Hero and Mentor did-Ron Reagan.

This is where Palin is already pulling ahead with some of the other New Rules.

She knows that a lot of voters don�t watch Fox or any other news/opinion programs.
They watch Dancing with the Stars and TLC reality shows.

Mitt needs to get his �Romney�s Estates� TV series going real soon.
Huckabee needs to get his band back together and on the late night shows.
They have some catching up to do with Prime Time Palin.

And there is a another whole set of New Rules about things called Twitter and Facebook and other stuff I don�t understand but Sarah does�her traffic beats all the others combined.

Twitter: Romney has over 21,000 and Palin has over 300,000 followers.
Facebook: Romney has 750,000 and Palin has 2,500,000 fans.

Don�t forget the book sales-the 2.5 million top best seller of 2009 and her new book which isn�t supposed to do as well as the first book-but it is�

All those stories about the 5-6 hours drives and the 8-12 hour waiting in line for Sarah book signing�don�t remember any stories about the Romney book tour or even Bush like these:

�Terri Batts said she met Palin after her son, who had been stationed in Alaska, Palin, who was governor of Alaska at the time, attended the memorial services.
�I just want to come see her again,� Batts said.
Click-other 500 votes.

And at Dillons in Andover, Kansas-five year Sarah Kester was first in line; thanks to her grandmother who couldn�t say no and held the spot all night.
When Sarah sat down to start signing books and hear the story-she simply took off one of her bracelets and gave it to little Sarah. Invited her to go fishing.
Click-other 1000 votes.

And you betcha your life this stuff is important-you can have the best ideas in the world, but if the vast middle of the road voters don�t take a liking to ya�ask old whatshisname-Ron Paul.
Ask the ghost of Ron Reagan how well it can work�

As for the other stuff that the rest of us think is the important stuff�the Palin Position Papers are starting to flow and under these new rules, they are getting the media coverage, good and bad, that the rest of the field would kill for.

ObamaCare-check
Mid East Wars-check
Border Wars-check
Stimulus bills and Bailouts-check
Qualitative Easing-check
Budgets and reducing general fund spending-check-check
Energy policy and oil spills-check-check-check�

No doubt that all this and more will be bundled and ready as �Palin�s Roadmap to the Contract with American Solutions� Gravitas Package that Sarah will bring to the table when she jumps into the fray.

And there is this little thing about Obama losing his left wing base-dropping in the polls like a rock-even the late night shows poking� him with a stick�

Maybe we will see his new TV show-�Obama�s Chicagoland�
When the left loons run �Jerry Brown�s Moonbeamland� at him in the Dems primaries.

Using the Gallup numbers originally posted by Flyfast to look at the popular vote:
40% conservative
35% moderate
20% liberal
5% �don�t have a clue�

If Obama pulls a Clinton and moves center and the Tea Party wins a few fights in 2011/12 and staves off disaster-I see:
40% conservative for Palin
15/20% split moderates for Palin AND her Tea Party
Judging by the last election that should be maybe 5/30% split.
40+20=60% or more for Palin and Obama loses 5-10% of his pissed off liberal base and some of the undecided that will vote for Jerry Brown or some other leftwing nut.

If Obama hunkers down on the left and Everything goes south:
30% moderate for Palin. Obama gets the other 5% and keeps the 20% liberal and 5% undecided.
70% Palin 30% Obama.

If Obama is benched and they sign Hillary-I see about the same percentages.
She has her baggage too.

Goodbye President Obama�Hullo President Palin!