Then desperate acts by a desperate man will be forthcoming with certainty.
Interesting Bio on Zeihan... doing some reading on him.
I am starting to think that the Rona was not an accident... caused by some dude eating a McBat at McChina...
It would make no sense for the Chinese to do this to themselves. This is the closest they've been to Civil War since Mao.
As much as everyone hates here hates our vaccines, they are substantially better than the Chinese version which provides NO protection at all, which is large swaths of China are still under lockdown.
If this was an intentional act, we did it to them, not the other way around. The U.S. can survive in a post globalized world just fine. The China returns to a nation of subsistence level farmers.
Here's a good summary of why the U.S. and our close trading partners will come out in the strongest position.
You didn't use logic or reason to get into this opinion, I cannot use logic or reason to get you out of it.
You cannot over estimate the unimportance of nearly everything. John Maxwell
China includes NKorea IMHO when we are talking endgame.
China's in the middle of a population collapse.
They really fooked themselves with One Child:
Your opinion? Wouldn't China be better off with about half the population (or less) than it now has? I understand there is the temporary problem of a bunch of people too old to work. But the Asians aren't burdened with the feelings that westerners have about the infirm. Or are they?
No that's an old economic fallacy.
People = power. People = soldiers People = production
And more importantly, you need YOUNG people for all these things. China's the most rapidly aging country IN HISTORY, and they baby boomer world wide hit peak retirement rate this quarter. In the U.S. for every babyboomer retiring only one Gen Zer's entering the work force. I don't know the exact number for China, but it's probably 4x worse.
Let me express this a different way. When we look at long term GDP, in simple terms, the rate of change is the sum of two numbers; the growth rate of per worker productivity, and historically, population growth. Historically most countries has a nice even population triangle, more 20 year old's, than 30 year old's, than 40 year old's, etc.. In other words your populations concentrated in the younger working generations. Today China population structure is the opposite. So they'll have more people retired than working.
As you can see, we must adjust the above equation to growth in GDP = increase in per worker productivity + increase in work force. We've established the delta on their work force in the coming decades is negative, but what about their productivity.
One of the keys to productivity is specialization and the division of labor. The more people you have the finer you can subdivide and specialize your labor. In general, for every order of magnitude increase of the number of people in an economic system, there's a 10% increase in per person productivity. In other words, on average, the people in a city of million people are 50% more productive on a per person basis than those in a hamlet of 100 folks.
Now apply this to what's happen in China. As their work force implodes, so their their productivity. Then means both numbers, the change in population and change in productivity will be negative for the foreseeable future. This is not good for China. They're in for a very dark future.
You didn't use logic or reason to get into this opinion, I cannot use logic or reason to get you out of it.
You cannot over estimate the unimportance of nearly everything. John Maxwell
"Every man has a final weapon: his own life. If he's afraid to lose it he throws the weapon away."
Founder Ancient Order of the 1895 Winchester
"Come, shall we go and kill us venison? And yet it irks me the poor dappled fools, Being native burghers of this desert city, Should in their own confines with forked heads Have their round haunches gored."
China has 152,000,000 men between the ages of 20 and 35.
2,000,000 active military personnel.
Yes, right now they do. But, where are the young ones to replace those young military age personnel ? They don't exist. They are dangerous now. What will the Chinese military look like in 30 years ?
I agree the risk today is big. If China wants to make a move on Tiawan they have to do it soon or they have to get more people (countries) into their sphere of influence so they can draft them too. China has been doing that. But, will those countries let their young people be drafted by China ? I can only hope we can hold them off or defeat them in some way without a war before China becomes impotent.
kwg
For liberals and anarchists, power and control is opium, selling envy is the fastest and easiest way to get it. TRR. American conservative. Never trust a white liberal. Malcom X Current NRA member.
I believe this to be correct. Not that i know shinola but them bastids have designs on ruling the world and are patient enough to see it through
China is just sitting back waiting for the west to implode. Some German industrialists, along with Chancellor Scholz traveled to China very recently to see if it was possible for Germany to leave the NATO sinking ship.
I can't say that I blame Germany. Their alliance with the U.S.A. has crashed their country.
Would love to hear thoughts from you guys on us ending up in a war with china and russia. So you think its going to happen? How fast? Do we have the capability to take on china, russia, possibly india? Seems we are marching closer every day. Just curious on you alls thoughts
I can promise you this:
90% of America won’t be watching this one from their living room.
LOL
Originally Posted by Geno67
Trump being classless,tasteless and clueless as usual.
Originally Posted by Judman
Sorry, trump is a no tax payin pile of shiit.
Originally Posted by KSMITH
My young wife decided to play the field and had moved several dudes into my house
About 8 million Chinese men reach military age this year. China recently released new demographic information missing 100 million people.....all of which were young people.
You didn't use logic or reason to get into this opinion, I cannot use logic or reason to get you out of it.
You cannot over estimate the unimportance of nearly everything. John Maxwell
Would love to hear thoughts from you guys on us ending up in a war with china and russia. So you think its going to happen? How fast? Do we have the capability to take on china, russia, possibly india? Seems we are marching closer every day. Just curious on you alls thoughts
I can promise you this:
90% of America won’t be watching this one from their living room.
LOL
i think this and whats more, it isnt china or russia we need worry about, its our own gov calling in UN forces to squelsh us Patriots
Would love to hear thoughts from you guys on us ending up in a war with china and russia. So you think its going to happen? How fast? Do we have the capability to take on china, russia, possibly india? Seems we are marching closer every day. Just curious on you alls thoughts
I can promise you this:
90% of America won’t be watching this one from their living room.
LOL
i think this and whats more, it isnt china or russia we need worry about, its our own gov calling in UN forces to squelsh us Patriots
That would have to go through the security council where Britain and France have veto powers, neither of which would be interested in committing troops to an internal U.S. issue.
You didn't use logic or reason to get into this opinion, I cannot use logic or reason to get you out of it.
You cannot over estimate the unimportance of nearly everything. John Maxwell