The OP asked for a prediction.
My prediction is that five Republican senators will vote to convict. That means acquittal.
Acquittal will help the Trump brand.
BTW: The five will be senators whose next election is not until at least 2024.
Liiisa will vote to convict. If she decides to run for re-election, that race will occur in 2022.
But, 17 Rs will not vote for conviction. The separate vote to remove Trump’s SS protection or prevent running again, will not occur.