Home Forums Hunting & Shooting Canada Federal Election - 20 Sept

The nightly polls are a snapshot of what people are saying on a given day.

Today, the NDP polled lower, giving up a small percentage to the Liberals. The Conservatives are still polling about the same. They have to pick up support from the undecided and the other two parties in order to make a move. The undecided often choose to support a particular party after watching the debate.

It's a little more than a week away until the debate. It's reasonable to expect a carrot from the Liberals the week of the debate.

Conservatives - 33.4%
Liberals - 31.5%
New Democrats - 19.8%

Eric Grenier says in this report that the Conservatives are moving ahead of the Liberals. That's not exactly the case. It is not so much that the Conservatives are gaining. They have only increased their share of decided voters by 1% to 1.5% in two weeks, depending on the poll. It's more that the Liberals are slipping. The question is, where are these former Liberal supporters going? You might be saying, who cares, as long as they keep slipping! That's unlikely. The Liberals can quite easily gain a few percent back. The power still lies with the Liberals and the NDP.

I expect that the Conservative planners are looking for slow and steady. Debate week is almost here and Justin hasn't handed out the goodies yet.

Here is Grenier's read.

https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/1940179523988/