Expected vote An Associated Press estimate of how much of the vote in an election has been counted. It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns. The estimate may fluctuate as election officials report additional results and AP learns more about how many voters have cast a ballot.
Unclear to me how totals go DOWN once allocated to a particular candidate ????
This afternoon I heard a reporter on NPR say explain the reason these races are hard to predict is because of "increased voter access".