one thing about flattening the curve but still making the assumption that many - a high % - will actually catch it is developing herd immunity to decrease the probability of a second wave next winter.

but at the moment, no one really knows how long immunity lasts

there are still two big unknowns that substantially affect how the pandemic will progress. First, we don’t know how long immunity against the new coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, lasts. When people are infected with OC43 and HKU1—two other coronaviruses that regularly circulate among humans and cause common colds—they stay immune for less than a year. By contrast, immunity against the first SARS virus (from 2003) holds for much longer. No one knows whether SARS-CoV-2 will hew to either of these extremes, and according to one recent study, its behavior could mean anything from annual outbreaks to a decades-long quiet spell.

they are also trying to get a handle on whether this will die down in warm humid weather, but based on information from China, its being reported that measures will still have to be taken to contain it in the warmer months.At the same time the Washington Post ran a story sourcing experts who believe the warmer weather will result in a decline.


have you paid your dues, can you moan the blues, can you bend them guitar strings